Las Vegas @ Denver props

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Sean Payton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 1.4% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized). The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-least plays run among all games this week at 125.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Greg Dulcich has been among the most hard-handed receivers in the league among TEs, hauling in a measly 63.8% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 11th percentile.

The Raiders are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 61.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. Josh Jacobs has run a route on 52.7% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 88th percentile among running backs. THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to total 3.7 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among RBs. Josh Jacobs has been among the top RB receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 3.1 receptions per game while ranking in the 89th percentile.

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Sean Payton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 1.4% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized). The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-least plays run among all games this week at 125.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Courtland Sutton has been among the worst possession receivers in the NFL, catching a mere 59.2% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 13th percentile among wide receivers

The Raiders are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script. THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 8th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 61.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects Davante Adams to accumulate 9.9 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 98th percentile among wide receivers. Davante Adams has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 30.7% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 99th percentile among wide receivers. Davante Adams has been among the leading wide receivers in the game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 5.9 receptions per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.

Javonte Williams has gone over 1.5 in 10 of his last 10 games.

Austin Hooper has gone over 2.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Hunter Renfrow has gone over 2.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Jakobi Meyers has gone over 3.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Marvin Mims Jr. has gone over 3.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.