NFL Rookie of the Year Odds 2024: The Future is Bright in the Windy City

With the 2024 NFL Draft complete, which crop of rookies are expected to make the biggest mark next season?

Publishing Editor
May 14, 2024 • 11:34 ET • 4 min read
Caleb Williams Chicago Bears NFL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Last season saw Houston Texans stars C.J. Stroud and Will Anderson Jr. steal the show, with the two players winning Offensive Rookie of the Year and Defensive Rookie of the Year, respectively.

Now it's time to find out which first-year players will shine brightest in the 2024-25 season. With the latest NFL Draft in the books, let's take a look at the NFL odds below for the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year and NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award races.

Make sure to check back throughout the season as their odds fluctuate from game to game.

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds

Player Position FanDuel
Bears Caleb Williams QB +170
Commanders Jayden Daniels QB +600
Cardinals Marvin Harrison Jr. WR +700
Vikings J.J. McCarthy QB +1,400
Giants Malik Nabers WR +1,400
Patriots Drake Maye QB +2,000
Chiefs Xavier Worthy WR +2,000
Broncos Bo Nix QB +2,000
Bills Keon Coleman WR +2,500
Bears Rome Odunze WR +2,500

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook 5/14

Favorites to win the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award

Caleb Williams (+170)

Setting a USC school record in 2022 for single-season passing yards, Caleb Williams ran away with the Heisman Trophy in 2022 and followed up with a 30-5 TD-INT ratio in 2023. 

To no one's surprise, Williams was the first pick off the board, becoming the face of a Chicago Bears offense that boasts an embarrassment of riches at wide receiver — featuring D.J. Moore, Keenan Allen, and Rome Odunze.

Jayden Daniels (+600)

The Washington Commanders finally got their franchise quarterback, selecting LSU standout Jayden Daniels.

A dual-threat force who boasts the best athleticism at the position, Daniels' game-breaking speed will bring a layer to the Washington offense that hasn't been seen since Robert Griffin III. 

Marvin Harrison Jr. (+700)

The son of the Colts Hall-of-Famer, Marvin Harrison Jr. is a generational talent at wide receiver who fits hand in glove with the Arizona Cardinals

Possessing an elite combo of pass-catching and route-running abilities at a 6-foot-4 build, Harrison tore up secondaries during his time at Ohio State, posting two consecutive seasons of 1,200+ yards and 14 TDs receiving.

All things considered, Kyler Murray may have come away as one of the biggest winners from the draft. 

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NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year odds

Player Position FanDuel
Vikings Dallas Turner LB +430
Colts Laiatu Latu DE +500
Rams Jared Verse DE +1,200
Eagles Quinyon Mitchell CB +1,200
Lions Terrion Arnold CB +1,200
Seahawks Byron Murphy DT +1,400
Dolphins Chop Robinson DE +2,000
Eagles Cooper DeJean CB +2,500
Rams Braden Fiske DT +3,000
Cardinals Darius Robinson DT +3,000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook 5/14

Favorites to win the NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award

Dallas Turner (+430)

A five-star recruit, Dallas Turner lived up to his billing in Tuscaloosa, with the 21-year-old linebacker named first-team All-SEC under Nick Saban.

Posting a Pro Football Focus pass-rush win rate of 19.6% in 2023, Turner will provide immediate reinforcement for the Vikings front seven. 

Laiatu Latu (+500)

While Williams dominated at USC, Latu took centerstage in Pasadena, finishing with 10.5 sacks in his lone season with the Bruins. 

Although there are legitimate concerns regarding his medical history, Latu's remarkable pass-rushing abilities were tempting enough for Chris Ballard to make the call and beef up the Indianapolis Colts D-line.

Jared Verse (+1,200)

A two-time first-team All-American, Verse wreaked havoc in the trenches for Florida State over the last two years, collecting 18 sacks and 29.5 TFL.

Initially projected to be a Top 10 pick, Verse became somewhat overlooked over the last months. Falling into the arms of the Los Angeles Rams at No. 19, the 23-year-old pass rusher immediately addresses the noticeable hole left by the recently retired Aaron Donald. 

• Of the last 20 winners of the NFL OROY Award, 17 were drafted in the first round.

• While quarterback is an extremely difficult position to excel at as a rookie, 10 of the last 20 OROY winners played the position, including four QBs that were selected first overall in the draft.

• Running backs have won four of the last 10 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Awards. However, in recent years when top rookie RBs have gone head-to-head against top QBs for OROY honors, they've often come out on the losing end. Ezekiel Elliot led the NFL in rushing in 2016 but lost the OROY to his teammate Dak Prescott, while Kyler Murray took home the hardware over Josh Jacobs in 2019.

• No offensive lineman has ever won the award despite recent linemen like Joe Thomas, Matt Kalil, Jack Conklin, Ryan Ramcyzk and Quenton Nelson all making the Pro Bowl in their first year.

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year history

Year NFL OROY Award Winner Position Drafted
2023 C.J. Stroud QB Round 1, pick 2
2022 Garrett Wilson WR Round 1, pick 10
2021 Ja'Marr Chase WR Round 1, pick 5
2020 Justin Herbert QB Round 1, pick 6
2019 Kyler Murray QB Round 1, pick 1
2018 Saquon Barkey RB Round 1, pick 2
2017 Alvin Kamara RB Round 3, pick 67
2016 Dak Prescott QB Round 4, pick 135
2015 Todd Gurley RB Round 1, pick 10
2014 Odell Beckham Jr. WR Round 1, pick 12
2013 Eddie Lacy RB Round 2, pick 61
2012 Robert Griffin III QB Round 1, pick 2
2011 Cam Newton QB Round 1, pick 1
2010 Sam Bradford QB Round 1, pick 1
2009 Percy Harvin WR Round 1, pick 22
2008 Matt Ryan QB Round 1, pick 1
2007 Adrian Peterson RB Round 1, pick 7
2006 Vince Young QB Round 1, pick 3
2005 Cadillac Williams RB Round 1, pick 5
2004 Ben Roethlisberger QB Round 1, pick 11

NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year winners by position

Position OROY winners
Running back 40
Wide receiver 11
Quarterback 11
End 4
Tight end 1

Bears legend Mike Ditka became the first — and so far only — tight end to win Offensive Rookie of the Year when he received the honor in 1961.

NFL Defensive ROY betting trends

• Of the last 34 winners of the NFL DROY Award, an incredible 31 were drafted in the first round. Of the three winners that weren't first-rounders (DeMeco Ryans, Kendrell Bell, and Darius Leonard), all were still selected within the Top-40 picks.

• Seven of the last 18 DROY winners played linebacker. Two others (Von Miller and Shawne Merriman) were listed at LB but would count as edge players in modern NFL defensive schemes. That said, that number is heavily inflated by four straight DROY-winning linebackers from 2006 to 2009. Over the last 10 years, only two LBs have taken home the award. 

• Four of the last eight DROY winners played college ball for Ohio State. Three of those (the Bosa brothers and Chase Young) were edge rushers. 

NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year history

A quick look at the NFL DROY winners since 2004, the position they played, and where they were drafted.

Year NFL DROY Award Winner Position Drafted
2023 Will Anderson Jr.  DE Round 1, pick 3
2022 Ahmad "Sauce" Gardner CB Round 1, pick 4
2021  Micah Parsons LB Round 1, pick 12
2020 Chase Young EDGE Round 1, pick 2
2019 Nick Bosa EDGE Round 1, pick 2
2018 Darius Leonard LB Round 2, pick 36
2017 Marshon Lattimore CB Round 1, pick 11
2016 Joey Bosa EDGE Round 1, pick 3
2015 Marcus Peters CB Round 1, pick 18
2014 Aaron Donald DL Round 1, pick 13
2013 Sheldon Richardson DL Round 1, pick 13
2012 Luke Keuchly LB Round 1, pick 9
2011 Von Miller EDGE Round 1, pick 2
2010 Ndamukong Suh DL Round 1, pick 2
2009 Brian Cushing LB Round 1, pick 15
2008 Jerod Mayo LB Round 1, pick 10
2007 Patrick Willis LB Round 1, pick 11
2006 DeMeco Ryans LB Round 2, pick 33
2005 Shawne Merriman EDGE Round 1, pick 12
2004 Jonathan Vilma LB Round 1, pick 12

NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year winners by position

Position DROY winners
Linebacker 27
Defensive end 13
Cornerback 10
Defensive tackle 7
Safety 2

A safety hasn’t won NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year honors in over 20 years, dating back to when Mark Carrier (1990) and Erik McMillan (1988) won the award twice over a three-year span.

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