San Francisco 1st NFC West12-5
Pittsburgh 3rd AFC North10-7

San Francisco @ Pittsburgh props

Acrisure Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Diontae Johnson Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

D. Johnson
wide receiver WR • Pittsburgh
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.2
Best Odds
Over
+100

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league. Diontae Johnson has run a route on 96.2% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 97th percentile among WRs. THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to notch 8.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 92nd percentile among wideouts. Diontae Johnson has been among the top pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 5.1 receptions per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.

Diontae Johnson

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.2
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.2

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league. Diontae Johnson has run a route on 96.2% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 97th percentile among WRs. THE BLITZ projects Diontae Johnson to notch 8.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 92nd percentile among wideouts. Diontae Johnson has been among the top pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 5.1 receptions per game while ranking in the 88th percentile.

Christian McCaffrey Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

C. McCaffrey
running back RB • San Francisco
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5
Best Odds
Over
+105
Prop
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection
5
Best Odds
Over
+105
Projection Rating

Christian McCaffrey has run a route on 70.8% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 100th percentile among running backs. THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to notch 6.3 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among running backs. Christian McCaffrey has been among the leading pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.1 receptions per game while grading out in the 89th percentile.

Christian McCaffrey

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5

Christian McCaffrey has run a route on 70.8% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 100th percentile among running backs. THE BLITZ projects Christian McCaffrey to notch 6.3 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among running backs. Christian McCaffrey has been among the leading pass-catching running backs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.1 receptions per game while grading out in the 89th percentile.

Pat Freiermuth Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

P. Freiermuth
tight end TE • Pittsburgh
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
4.2
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league. THE BLITZ projects Pat Freiermuth to accumulate 5.9 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among TEs. Pat Freiermuth's 41.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the league leaders: 91st percentile for tight ends. Pat Freiermuth has been among the leading TEs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.3 receptions per game while grading out in the 93rd percentile.

Pat Freiermuth

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.2
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.2

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league. THE BLITZ projects Pat Freiermuth to accumulate 5.9 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among TEs. Pat Freiermuth's 41.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the league leaders: 91st percentile for tight ends. Pat Freiermuth has been among the leading TEs in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 4.3 receptions per game while grading out in the 93rd percentile.

Deebo Samuel Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

D. Samuel
wide receiver WR • San Francisco
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.9
Best Odds
Under
-140
Prop
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.9
Best Odds
Under
-140
Projection Rating

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 10th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the NFL. The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has surrendered the lowest Completion% in the league (60.1%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (60.1%). The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties profile as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Deebo Samuel

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.9
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.9

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 10th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 55.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics. THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics. Opposing QBs have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the NFL. The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has surrendered the lowest Completion% in the league (60.1%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (60.1%). The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties profile as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Najee Harris Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

N. Harris
running back RB • Pittsburgh
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Over
-160

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league. THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to garner 2.9 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 79th percentile among running backs. Najee Harris has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 9.9% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 83rd percentile among RBs. Najee Harris has been among the best RB receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 2.4 receptions per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.

Najee Harris

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.3
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.3

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game. Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league. THE BLITZ projects Najee Harris to garner 2.9 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 79th percentile among running backs. Najee Harris has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 9.9% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 83rd percentile among RBs. Najee Harris has been among the best RB receiving threats since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 2.4 receptions per game while grading out in the 79th percentile.

George Kittle Receptions Made Props • San Francisco

G. Kittle
tight end TE • San Francisco
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.9
Best Odds
Over
-106
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.9
Best Odds
Over
-106
Projection Rating

George Kittle has run a route on 89.4% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile among tight ends. THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to accrue 5.5 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among TEs. George Kittle has been among the leading pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.0 receptions per game while grading out in the 91st percentile. The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Completion% in football (73.7%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (73.7%).

George Kittle

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.9
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.9

George Kittle has run a route on 89.4% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile among tight ends. THE BLITZ projects George Kittle to accrue 5.5 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among TEs. George Kittle has been among the leading pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 4.0 receptions per game while grading out in the 91st percentile. The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has given up the 9th-highest Completion% in football (73.7%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (73.7%).

Allen Robinson II Receptions Made Props • Pittsburgh

A. Robinson II
wide receiver WR • Pittsburgh
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+135
Under
-175
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Season Avg.
2.00
Best Odds
Over
+135
Under
-175

Allen Robinson II has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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