Yesterday 1-1 even
Hitting this one early at Draft Kings
Vegas Golden Knights Even 1 Unit Most likely will be back later with more plays.
@Merle_iv
What other factors are you looking at besides thinking that these 2 teams have been playing well lately? I want you to go a little further in your analysis. Then I can share my opinion on those 2 mach-ups.
@Merle_iv
What other factors are you looking at besides thinking that these 2 teams have been playing well lately? I want you to go a little further in your analysis. Then I can share my opinion on those 2 mach-ups.
@sirandrew
Best answer to your question
A 3-way bet is a bet on an event that has three possible outcomes: Team A wins, Team B wins, or a draw. The odds on a 3-way bet will always be higher than odds on a similar two-way bet, considering there is an additional outcome. A draw means the game goes into OT
@sirandrew
Best answer to your question
A 3-way bet is a bet on an event that has three possible outcomes: Team A wins, Team B wins, or a draw. The odds on a 3-way bet will always be higher than odds on a similar two-way bet, considering there is an additional outcome. A draw means the game goes into OT
It also means the Avalanche have to win in regulation or that bet loses.
Like @Redlad said the odds will be different than a bet that includes the OT period.
But in this instance the odds for the Avalanche would be lower on the 3-way, as opposed to the full game that includes OT and/or a shootout.
In NHL/soccer folks will play a favorite this way to avoid higher juice, if they expect a win but are not sure they will cover the spread (-1.5 puck line). But they HAVE to win in regulation.
It also means the Avalanche have to win in regulation or that bet loses.
Like @Redlad said the odds will be different than a bet that includes the OT period.
But in this instance the odds for the Avalanche would be lower on the 3-way, as opposed to the full game that includes OT and/or a shootout.
In NHL/soccer folks will play a favorite this way to avoid higher juice, if they expect a win but are not sure they will cover the spread (-1.5 puck line). But they HAVE to win in regulation.
Yes. A very good thread indeed.
Yes. A very good thread indeed.
@Redlad
Hey red so after looking, I’m less certain about the kings one. I saw it was quick starting in cage, and he has had a really poor season compared to Copley. As well as the last games they have won have been against mediocre teams.
the Sabre’s however I do like the goalie matchup. Luukkonen Has been reallly good for the sabres recently. And I like that the sabres are number 1 in offense to the ranked 11 wild. Sabres also have been doing well when in the road. Looking at the last 10 the wild have been struggling, compared to the sabres who have been on a streak.
going to keep looking at some more stats, but when looking into the kings game, just seeing quick as the probable goalie for tonight changed my mind.
@Redlad
Hey red so after looking, I’m less certain about the kings one. I saw it was quick starting in cage, and he has had a really poor season compared to Copley. As well as the last games they have won have been against mediocre teams.
the Sabre’s however I do like the goalie matchup. Luukkonen Has been reallly good for the sabres recently. And I like that the sabres are number 1 in offense to the ranked 11 wild. Sabres also have been doing well when in the road. Looking at the last 10 the wild have been struggling, compared to the sabres who have been on a streak.
going to keep looking at some more stats, but when looking into the kings game, just seeing quick as the probable goalie for tonight changed my mind.
@Merle_iv
Your right Quick stinks. Hard to ever bet on a game where he is in goal. But, I'm not betting the game. I do think that the Sabres stand a good chance of winning & I will also take a stab at them myself. Good to see you're doing your homework. It's a great start to becoming a solid handicapper.
@Merle_iv
Your right Quick stinks. Hard to ever bet on a game where he is in goal. But, I'm not betting the game. I do think that the Sabres stand a good chance of winning & I will also take a stab at them myself. Good to see you're doing your homework. It's a great start to becoming a solid handicapper.
The Islanders coach stated that he might start Sorokin in net tonight. I bet this last night at even money assuming it would be Varlamov, because of B to B scenario. Even if Sorokin plays, I still like the Golden Knights. There's no buy-back in the market, so it seems that I might be right on the Islander goalkeeper situation. We'll soon find out. So, my total plays for tonight will be.
Golden Knight Even ====== I posted this last night because of my assuming of the line move. I was right about that. Now, we have to win the game.
Golden Knights Team Total Over 2.5 - 140 Played this one at My Bookie. I might have destroyed the #. They went to -150, after my wager.
Sabres + 160 I have to take a shot at these odds on a team who is red-hot at the present moment.
All Wagers 1 Unit
Bruins look like free money tonight against a reeling Panther team. So, why are the odds so wanky? Be careful!
Best Of Luck Please Bet Responsibly============ Let's Go!
The Islanders coach stated that he might start Sorokin in net tonight. I bet this last night at even money assuming it would be Varlamov, because of B to B scenario. Even if Sorokin plays, I still like the Golden Knights. There's no buy-back in the market, so it seems that I might be right on the Islander goalkeeper situation. We'll soon find out. So, my total plays for tonight will be.
Golden Knight Even ====== I posted this last night because of my assuming of the line move. I was right about that. Now, we have to win the game.
Golden Knights Team Total Over 2.5 - 140 Played this one at My Bookie. I might have destroyed the #. They went to -150, after my wager.
Sabres + 160 I have to take a shot at these odds on a team who is red-hot at the present moment.
All Wagers 1 Unit
Bruins look like free money tonight against a reeling Panther team. So, why are the odds so wanky? Be careful!
Best Of Luck Please Bet Responsibly============ Let's Go!
@Redlad
Working on making my own power rankings and odds right now ! Fun little project I think. Now I’ve always been a flyers fan, I feel like the flyers are so hard to bet for. With the win against the jets last night . You think it’s because they have a battle for the wild card spot ?
@Redlad
Working on making my own power rankings and odds right now ! Fun little project I think. Now I’ve always been a flyers fan, I feel like the flyers are so hard to bet for. With the win against the jets last night . You think it’s because they have a battle for the wild card spot ?
@Merle_iv
I like their goalkeeper Hart. The Flyers are a little spotty, so I highly doubt they can make the play-offs. Don't forget to include SOS in your power ratings. Who are you betting in the NFL today?
@Merle_iv
I like their goalkeeper Hart. The Flyers are a little spotty, so I highly doubt they can make the play-offs. Don't forget to include SOS in your power ratings. Who are you betting in the NFL today?
Yesterday 0-3 -340 YTD 60 W 33L 65% On Posted Plays. + 2385 Units
Autopsy on yesterday's wagers. If the same teams were playing under similar circumstances tomorrow, I would certainly make the exact same wagers. I have absolutely no regrets, even though the outcomes were not in my favor. If we examine the games, a horrible Islander team scores a total of 4 games in 2 nights, yet I lose betting against them both times. How many times will you see that happen? Even though the Golden Knights were in a scoring slump themselves, I expected them to be able to put up at least 3 against the Islander back-up goalkeeper Varlamov. I was wrong & hat's off to Varlamov, who had an outstanding game, turning aside a whopping 46 shots on goal. As for Buffalo, anytime I can get 8 To 5 on an underdog, who loses in a shoot-out, I can't say I bet the wrong side. Just rotten luck. It happens. Today I am playing
Hurricanes - 120 1 Unit Bet at Draft Kings last night. Still see -125 at heritage. Hometown dominated series, & I think we're finally seeing some regression in the Bruins + 41% AXG in 5X5 play.
Best Of Luck, Remember Luck Runs In Streaks, It goes with the territory. So Please Bet Responsibly. =========== Let's go!
Yesterday 0-3 -340 YTD 60 W 33L 65% On Posted Plays. + 2385 Units
Autopsy on yesterday's wagers. If the same teams were playing under similar circumstances tomorrow, I would certainly make the exact same wagers. I have absolutely no regrets, even though the outcomes were not in my favor. If we examine the games, a horrible Islander team scores a total of 4 games in 2 nights, yet I lose betting against them both times. How many times will you see that happen? Even though the Golden Knights were in a scoring slump themselves, I expected them to be able to put up at least 3 against the Islander back-up goalkeeper Varlamov. I was wrong & hat's off to Varlamov, who had an outstanding game, turning aside a whopping 46 shots on goal. As for Buffalo, anytime I can get 8 To 5 on an underdog, who loses in a shoot-out, I can't say I bet the wrong side. Just rotten luck. It happens. Today I am playing
Hurricanes - 120 1 Unit Bet at Draft Kings last night. Still see -125 at heritage. Hometown dominated series, & I think we're finally seeing some regression in the Bruins + 41% AXG in 5X5 play.
Best Of Luck, Remember Luck Runs In Streaks, It goes with the territory. So Please Bet Responsibly. =========== Let's go!
@Redlad
Got it I forgot about SOS. And I had the eagles and chiefs winning tonight, also I did take the leafs tonight as well just off a feeling ! How about you?
@Redlad
Got it I forgot about SOS. And I had the eagles and chiefs winning tonight, also I did take the leafs tonight as well just off a feeling ! How about you?
@Merle_iv
I went 4-0 on games I played = Hurricanes, which I posted. Under Clippers Team Total, which I also posted & I had the winners of both football games, which I did not post. Actually, Eagles, I sort of posted in this forum. I got lucky with the Chief's game. So, it looks like my mini slump was short-lived. I'm pleased that you seem to be doing well. I think you have the makings of a solid handicapper. Sometimes you don't need to get into all the complicated analytics. As I mentioned in a prior post. Think of Occam’s Razor, which states, “the simplest solution is almost always the best.” It’s a problem-solving principle arguing that simplicity is better than complexity. Although betting is basically a numbers game, if you look at statistics that are meaningless, it will only confuse your handicap. Numbers only help when there is a large sample size, and they prove to be statistically significant. If a team wins on weekends because they were wearing yellow jerseys, six out of ten times, obviously it is meaningless. But believe it or not, there are some handicappers who would consider that in their handicap, as silly as it sounds. Anyhow, feel free to ask any question that comes to mind. I am always glad to help a young handicapper improve their skill set. Especially ones that serve our country. Best Of Luck!
@Merle_iv
I went 4-0 on games I played = Hurricanes, which I posted. Under Clippers Team Total, which I also posted & I had the winners of both football games, which I did not post. Actually, Eagles, I sort of posted in this forum. I got lucky with the Chief's game. So, it looks like my mini slump was short-lived. I'm pleased that you seem to be doing well. I think you have the makings of a solid handicapper. Sometimes you don't need to get into all the complicated analytics. As I mentioned in a prior post. Think of Occam’s Razor, which states, “the simplest solution is almost always the best.” It’s a problem-solving principle arguing that simplicity is better than complexity. Although betting is basically a numbers game, if you look at statistics that are meaningless, it will only confuse your handicap. Numbers only help when there is a large sample size, and they prove to be statistically significant. If a team wins on weekends because they were wearing yellow jerseys, six out of ten times, obviously it is meaningless. But believe it or not, there are some handicappers who would consider that in their handicap, as silly as it sounds. Anyhow, feel free to ask any question that comes to mind. I am always glad to help a young handicapper improve their skill set. Especially ones that serve our country. Best Of Luck!
@Redlad
Nice wins ! And I like that, keep it simple. Find the right statistics, I’ll keep messing around with that and keep it simple ! Thank you for continuing to help me, I really appreciate. I feel like I know what to work on now! Cheers red
@Redlad
Nice wins ! And I like that, keep it simple. Find the right statistics, I’ll keep messing around with that and keep it simple ! Thank you for continuing to help me, I really appreciate. I feel like I know what to work on now! Cheers red
As for today I see two teams sliding, both on a losing streak. The under seems to have hit in all the recent losses with the jets. The under hit only once with the blues in the recent losses. In fact the blues are 30-15 in O/U. So I can’t really see anything clear yet. What would you think in this situation ?
As for today I see two teams sliding, both on a losing streak. The under seems to have hit in all the recent losses with the jets. The under hit only once with the blues in the recent losses. In fact the blues are 30-15 in O/U. So I can’t really see anything clear yet. What would you think in this situation ?
Yesterday 1-0 + 100 YTD 61W 33L 65% + 2485 Units
Slumping blues go into and also slumping Jets team. Who will end their slump? Let's look at the analytics. Per 60 minutes, the Jets (3.18 xGF) score more expected goals than the Blues (2.74). Winnipeg also allows fewer expected goals per 60 (3.11 xGA) than St. Louis (3.29). Jets 13th in the NHL in goals per gm. (3.18 GF/gm) while Blues rank 25th (3.02 GF/gm) Helebuyer 2.46 GAA with a SV % of .923 while Binnington has a 3.28 GAA with a SV % of 0,89. Also Binnington has a GAX of -6.68 which is 60th out of all goalkeepers in the NHL. So, there's no doubt who the stronger goalkeeper is according to the analytics. The Jets have easily handled the same Blues team so far this year, when they weren't in the funk that they find themselves in tonight. I see no reason why that should change. Jet's usually play very well at home, & the Blues tend to give up a lot of goals on the road. So my plays are
Jets - 125 in regulation I've not been lucky in OT & shootouts. So, I see more value in a regulation wager for myself
Jets Over 3.5 + 105 Team Total As I stated above, Blues tend to give up a lot of goals when not playing on home ice.
Jet's Ehlers to get at least 1 assist, even Played at Draft Kings.
Best Of Luck Please Bet Responsibly Let's Go!
Yesterday 1-0 + 100 YTD 61W 33L 65% + 2485 Units
Slumping blues go into and also slumping Jets team. Who will end their slump? Let's look at the analytics. Per 60 minutes, the Jets (3.18 xGF) score more expected goals than the Blues (2.74). Winnipeg also allows fewer expected goals per 60 (3.11 xGA) than St. Louis (3.29). Jets 13th in the NHL in goals per gm. (3.18 GF/gm) while Blues rank 25th (3.02 GF/gm) Helebuyer 2.46 GAA with a SV % of .923 while Binnington has a 3.28 GAA with a SV % of 0,89. Also Binnington has a GAX of -6.68 which is 60th out of all goalkeepers in the NHL. So, there's no doubt who the stronger goalkeeper is according to the analytics. The Jets have easily handled the same Blues team so far this year, when they weren't in the funk that they find themselves in tonight. I see no reason why that should change. Jet's usually play very well at home, & the Blues tend to give up a lot of goals on the road. So my plays are
Jets - 125 in regulation I've not been lucky in OT & shootouts. So, I see more value in a regulation wager for myself
Jets Over 3.5 + 105 Team Total As I stated above, Blues tend to give up a lot of goals when not playing on home ice.
Jet's Ehlers to get at least 1 assist, even Played at Draft Kings.
Best Of Luck Please Bet Responsibly Let's Go!
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