IDEAS:
Boston - same air as last night and lighter wind blowing out to dead centre....Matt Chapman almost hit the ball dead centre out of the park with the hot air and wind prevailing!
Ump only 5 - 11 Over but fairly high walk rate
Philly - even warmer there and strong wind out to right centre field
-Zack Wheeler gets hit by the Cubs and was shelled by the Jays recently .....umpire is a big time homer ump so I expect him to get some calls....Stroman has a low BA against this lineup and pitches well on the road and day games
Tough call but weather should get 8 runs you would think?
Yankees /Orioles....very warm and medium strong wind blowing out to left centre....bashers for Yankees it favours
-umpire has a low Over record but....fairly high walk and low strikeout
-advantage hitters like Yankees who are patient and wait for their pitches
-Gerritt Cole vs Jordan Lyles
-Cole has great record vs this Oriole lineup
-Jordan Lyles gives up homers to this Yankee lineup >> BUT pitches best at home for low era and has been real good his last few
Mets - Padres - warm/hot and strong wind out to left centre
-umpire has a very high run total but only umped 5 games....what stands out is 7.6 Walks per 9 innings so lots of baserunners in this one with good gap and power hitters on both teams
-Chris Bassitt gets hit for a high BA vs SD lineup
-Blake Snell is a terrible lefty this year and getting rocked some games ....Mets hit him for 252 avg but I can see him being a pinata vs this ump and Mets hitters
-his last number of games >> walk totals were 6 2 6 4 3 etc....very high
-Bassitt tends to avg close to 2 walks per game
Total for the game is only 7.5 <<< I think this is THE ONE!
but....CHECK out the next ballgame
TB/KC >> 102 F and 14 mph wind blowing out to left centre......and in KC, when its warm, the ball really really carries and run totals balloon upward
-ump is 10-7 over with high total runs per game with one of the lowest strikeout ratios at only 14.9 per game
-Total here is 10.5
Luis Patino for TB got hit hard his first game back from injury >> KC has never faced him
Brady Singer has 4 ERA at home and evening > hasn't pitched much to this lineup either > 9 ABs
-tough call but I say go with the weather factor and umpire for sure, but not as good as Mets play in my view
Warmer than normal in LA at Dodger stadium and wind blowing out > umpire is an UNDER ump
very warm in Chicago and where the White Sox play, strong left field pole wind > umpire is even
warm in Atlanta and wind out to left field > strong OVER biased umpire
Beer is gotta be earned from winning or hard work. Andy Dufresne agrees.