Still having issues with my KEYS with parlays....will keep plodding along because when they click, they really get the +Units rolling
Still having issues with my KEYS with parlays....will keep plodding along because when they click, they really get the +Units rolling
Still having issues with my KEYS with parlays....will keep plodding along because when they click, they really get the +Units rolling
Liking UNDER in HOU/KC game....look at Bubic last shutout.... it was against Astros! Last night's win will likely spill over in confidence into this game even if, Bubic can't duplicate that but will likely have some success. Verlander loves going out to the mound when his team needs him and they do right now after Javier get shelled!
Confirmed Play: Parlay > Houston Under 8.0 +0.9 with Pirates Over 9 +0.9 for a HALF U > pays +180
-Contreras was lit up like a pinata last game and Minor has been a pinata....OVER bias ump ....oh boy!
If successful, will press on something I find later most likely.
Liking UNDER in HOU/KC game....look at Bubic last shutout.... it was against Astros! Last night's win will likely spill over in confidence into this game even if, Bubic can't duplicate that but will likely have some success. Verlander loves going out to the mound when his team needs him and they do right now after Javier get shelled!
Confirmed Play: Parlay > Houston Under 8.0 +0.9 with Pirates Over 9 +0.9 for a HALF U > pays +180
-Contreras was lit up like a pinata last game and Minor has been a pinata....OVER bias ump ....oh boy!
If successful, will press on something I find later most likely.
Into Horses instead of Baseball today >>> great harness races 5 nights a week at Mohawk
My plays tonight for the Pick5 which attracts a pool of $110 -$180K every harness night
https://www.covers.com/forum/horse-racing-61/harness-racing-ontario---mohawk-specialty-other-b-tracks-occasionally-103549987/89
Into Horses instead of Baseball today >>> great harness races 5 nights a week at Mohawk
My plays tonight for the Pick5 which attracts a pool of $110 -$180K every harness night
https://www.covers.com/forum/horse-racing-61/harness-racing-ontario---mohawk-specialty-other-b-tracks-occasionally-103549987/89
Sunday Baseball:
Confirmed Play #1 - Reds/Rays Under 8.5 1U
-Barrett behind the plate is one of the best UNDER umps
-Baz and Lodolo are two future low era pitchers and the unfamiliarity will help them vs each weak hitting lineup
Confirmed Plays Parlays > 1U each
#2 - Mets /Marlins Under 7.5 > bought half run (+0.70) with Yankees Over 9.0 (0.9) > pays +160
#3 - Mets Under with Col/Ariz Over 9.0 (+0.95) > pays +165
Its been a light week for me and so far no success with parlays, but I really like today how the stars align with my plays
Sunday Baseball:
Confirmed Play #1 - Reds/Rays Under 8.5 1U
-Barrett behind the plate is one of the best UNDER umps
-Baz and Lodolo are two future low era pitchers and the unfamiliarity will help them vs each weak hitting lineup
Confirmed Plays Parlays > 1U each
#2 - Mets /Marlins Under 7.5 > bought half run (+0.70) with Yankees Over 9.0 (0.9) > pays +160
#3 - Mets Under with Col/Ariz Over 9.0 (+0.95) > pays +165
Its been a light week for me and so far no success with parlays, but I really like today how the stars align with my plays
@L1ttleb1ter
Also looking hard at the Mariners and Phillies as well. Since this is not a straight up side thread, I might do the Runline or do a parlay with either one of the them....or just bet privately
A check of my 'BET BOOK' that I keep with tidbits and have accumulated over the years, it notes to fade teams that are not producing runs as the All-Star break approaches ....and that is exactly the scenario we have with viewing the results of the Jays and Cardinals in the last 5 games or so!
@L1ttleb1ter
Also looking hard at the Mariners and Phillies as well. Since this is not a straight up side thread, I might do the Runline or do a parlay with either one of the them....or just bet privately
A check of my 'BET BOOK' that I keep with tidbits and have accumulated over the years, it notes to fade teams that are not producing runs as the All-Star break approaches ....and that is exactly the scenario we have with viewing the results of the Jays and Cardinals in the last 5 games or so!
@Last2thirst
3rd INNING blowup of BAZ
Just have my Parlays to carve out some $$....looking good so far on my front-ender
@Last2thirst
3rd INNING blowup of BAZ
Just have my Parlays to carve out some $$....looking good so far on my front-ender
Hit this parlay but down slightly on the day >
Confirmed Plays Parlays > 1U each
#2 - Mets /Marlins Under 7.5 > bought half run (+0.70) with Yankees Over 9.0 (0.9) > pays +160
Hit this parlay but down slightly on the day >
Confirmed Plays Parlays > 1U each
#2 - Mets /Marlins Under 7.5 > bought half run (+0.70) with Yankees Over 9.0 (0.9) > pays +160
Week Results: TERRIBLE WEEK!
Not Played solely (suggested) >> T-Plays =0-2
Totals = 0-1 (-1U)
Parlays = 1 - 6 (-2.9U)
Runlines = NA
Total Units won for the Week (#3)= -3.9 U
------------------------------------------------------------
Season Tally = -1.05 Units >> after 3 Weeks
Week Results: TERRIBLE WEEK!
Not Played solely (suggested) >> T-Plays =0-2
Totals = 0-1 (-1U)
Parlays = 1 - 6 (-2.9U)
Runlines = NA
Total Units won for the Week (#3)= -3.9 U
------------------------------------------------------------
Season Tally = -1.05 Units >> after 3 Weeks
Confirmed Play #1 - Braves/Mets Under 8.5 1U
-umpire is 2-13 OVER with the lowest walk rate in the majors
-wind and warmth not helping ball carry tonight
-hitters will not be able to load up if corner and low/high strikes are called liberally
-I see a 4-3 type of game with these pitchers
Confirmed Play #1 - Braves/Mets Under 8.5 1U
-umpire is 2-13 OVER with the lowest walk rate in the majors
-wind and warmth not helping ball carry tonight
-hitters will not be able to load up if corner and low/high strikes are called liberally
-I see a 4-3 type of game with these pitchers
Confirmed Play #2 - Giants Runline -1.5 1U..
-fade Keuchel every time!
-timely hitters are the Giants and they hit lefties best
Confirmed Play #3 - PARLAY > Giants ML (+0.45) with Over 8 (+0.95) > pays +140 HALF U
Confirmed Play #2 - Giants Runline -1.5 1U..
-fade Keuchel every time!
-timely hitters are the Giants and they hit lefties best
Confirmed Play #3 - PARLAY > Giants ML (+0.45) with Over 8 (+0.95) > pays +140 HALF U
Good day finally....... +3.4 Units setting up nicely ....just need 1 more run to confirm parlay and thats it .....no way are Arizona gonna come back down 8 runs!
Good day finally....... +3.4 Units setting up nicely ....just need 1 more run to confirm parlay and thats it .....no way are Arizona gonna come back down 8 runs!
Looks like a great pitching matchup/exploiting kind of day ....will have something later today but selectively, since I am on a good roll now after yesterday
Looks like a great pitching matchup/exploiting kind of day ....will have something later today but selectively, since I am on a good roll now after yesterday
Confirmed Play #1 - Yankees Runline -2.5 1U @ +0.9
Confirmed Play #2 - Parlay HALF U: OVER 9.0 +100 with Jays Under 8.0 +0.85 > pays +185
-Severino has had 1 bad game in his last 6
-Mike Minor had his best game vs another good hitting team (ATL) and has a good AB record vs this lineup, but, the bullpen is a mess.....I see a 8-2 kind of game, maybe 9-3 kind of game with the warm air + rising humidity later
-this Yankee lineup coils after watching 2nd/3rd time through lineup if pitcher is having success....I expect them to look for fastball early, and then switch it up when Minor is not hitting the zone with junk and bases load
UNDER UMP in Jays game is 5-12 OVER ....both Stripling and Wheeler pitch well high and low in the zone and changeups will be very effective with a liberal strikezone!
Might have more later
Confirmed Play #1 - Yankees Runline -2.5 1U @ +0.9
Confirmed Play #2 - Parlay HALF U: OVER 9.0 +100 with Jays Under 8.0 +0.85 > pays +185
-Severino has had 1 bad game in his last 6
-Mike Minor had his best game vs another good hitting team (ATL) and has a good AB record vs this lineup, but, the bullpen is a mess.....I see a 8-2 kind of game, maybe 9-3 kind of game with the warm air + rising humidity later
-this Yankee lineup coils after watching 2nd/3rd time through lineup if pitcher is having success....I expect them to look for fastball early, and then switch it up when Minor is not hitting the zone with junk and bases load
UNDER UMP in Jays game is 5-12 OVER ....both Stripling and Wheeler pitch well high and low in the zone and changeups will be very effective with a liberal strikezone!
Might have more later
If things are going well in early games..... T-Play #1 below becomes > CONFIRMED PLAY #3:
Contrarian play: Javier vs Ohtani OVER 6.5 1U
-Javier lit up vs a weak team
-Ohtani facing a strong Astros lineup
-both pitchers PITCH WELL vs opposing lineups BUT.....its warmish and wind blowing out and I cannot help but notice in my BETTING PATTERN book that a lot of high scoring games start to appear 1 week out from All Star break
- I see this year in and year out....not sure how to explain it but frankly, pitchers need a mental break....hitters are looking for big swings and temps /humidity is near high of the summer in many locales
-this is a contrarian play that has me thinking, not a pitchers duel but a sloppy game with lots of runs
Will play if having success early
If things are going well in early games..... T-Play #1 below becomes > CONFIRMED PLAY #3:
Contrarian play: Javier vs Ohtani OVER 6.5 1U
-Javier lit up vs a weak team
-Ohtani facing a strong Astros lineup
-both pitchers PITCH WELL vs opposing lineups BUT.....its warmish and wind blowing out and I cannot help but notice in my BETTING PATTERN book that a lot of high scoring games start to appear 1 week out from All Star break
- I see this year in and year out....not sure how to explain it but frankly, pitchers need a mental break....hitters are looking for big swings and temps /humidity is near high of the summer in many locales
-this is a contrarian play that has me thinking, not a pitchers duel but a sloppy game with lots of runs
Will play if having success early
@Last2thirst
Needless to say.....look at the Jays game and Yankees game....not playing this and calling it a day down -1.5 U after gaining +3.5U yesterday
Truthfully, I did not hear about the Jays manager being fired and I live in Toronto! I would have laid off because I knew they would have been fired up and inspired.....losing Charlie Montoya is a loss of a great man and baseball mind. No idea what caused the recent swoon of the Blue Jays in the past month, but its the type of immature thing that I have come to regularly see as a Toronto fan. Having won national championships and coached at a high level, I can see the only holding back the Jays players are the players themselves......if they cannot recognize their manager is not part of them too.
@Last2thirst
Needless to say.....look at the Jays game and Yankees game....not playing this and calling it a day down -1.5 U after gaining +3.5U yesterday
Truthfully, I did not hear about the Jays manager being fired and I live in Toronto! I would have laid off because I knew they would have been fired up and inspired.....losing Charlie Montoya is a loss of a great man and baseball mind. No idea what caused the recent swoon of the Blue Jays in the past month, but its the type of immature thing that I have come to regularly see as a Toronto fan. Having won national championships and coached at a high level, I can see the only holding back the Jays players are the players themselves......if they cannot recognize their manager is not part of them too.
@L1ttleb1ter
Ya, would have got it but I am being prudent with my bankroll. When I get sloppy, I tend to end up with negative months. This week is make or break for me as its Week 4 and I tend to pay myself at the end of each 4 week session and reward myself by buying something, it just gives me incentive. I generally have a yearly positive bankroll in horses (not always some years) and football, most of the time in NCAAB .....but hockey and MLB has always been a challenge, which makes ya keep coming back!
@L1ttleb1ter
Ya, would have got it but I am being prudent with my bankroll. When I get sloppy, I tend to end up with negative months. This week is make or break for me as its Week 4 and I tend to pay myself at the end of each 4 week session and reward myself by buying something, it just gives me incentive. I generally have a yearly positive bankroll in horses (not always some years) and football, most of the time in NCAAB .....but hockey and MLB has always been a challenge, which makes ya keep coming back!
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