Tennessee 4th AFC South6-11
New Orleans 2nd NFC South9-8

Tennessee @ New Orleans props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Derrick Henry Receptions Made Props • Tennessee

D. Henry
running back RB • Tennessee
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Over
+135
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds
Over
+135
Projection Rating

The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized). The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to notch 2.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile among RBs. Derrick Henry has been a key part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 10.2% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 86th percentile among running backs.

Derrick Henry

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.3
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.3

The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized). The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to notch 2.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 79th percentile among RBs. Derrick Henry has been a key part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 10.2% since the start of last season, which puts him in the 86th percentile among running backs.

Jamaal Williams Receptions Made Props • New Orleans

J. Williams
running back RB • New Orleans
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.4
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: most in the league. THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to total 3.1 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among running backs. THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to be a much bigger part of his team's pass game this week (9.3% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (3.0% in games he has played). The Tennessee Titans pass defense has allowed the 6th-highest Completion% in the league (84.3%) to RBs since the start of last season (84.3%).

Jamaal Williams

Prop: 1.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.4
Prop:
1.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.4

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: most in the league. THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to total 3.1 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among running backs. THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to be a much bigger part of his team's pass game this week (9.3% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (3.0% in games he has played). The Tennessee Titans pass defense has allowed the 6th-highest Completion% in the league (84.3%) to RBs since the start of last season (84.3%).

Chigoziem Okonkwo Receptions Made Props • Tennessee

C. Okonkwo
tight end TE • Tennessee
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.8
Best Odds
Over
+126
Prop
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection
3.8
Best Odds
Over
+126
Projection Rating

The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized). The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to garner 5.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among TEs. THE BLITZ projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing offense this week (16.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (10.8% in games he has played).

Chigoziem Okonkwo

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.8
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.8

The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized). The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to garner 5.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 90th percentile among TEs. THE BLITZ projects Chigoziem Okonkwo to be a much bigger part of his offense's passing offense this week (16.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (10.8% in games he has played).

Chris Olave Receptions Made Props • New Orleans

C. Olave
wide receiver WR • New Orleans
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection
5.3
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: most in the league. THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to garner 8.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 95th percentile among WRs. Chris Olave's 69.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 97th percentile for wide receivers. Chris Olave has been among the top wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.6 receptions per game while ranking in the 81st percentile.

Chris Olave

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.3
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.3

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: most in the league. THE BLITZ projects Chris Olave to garner 8.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 95th percentile among WRs. Chris Olave's 69.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 97th percentile for wide receivers. Chris Olave has been among the top wide receivers in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.6 receptions per game while ranking in the 81st percentile.

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Made Props • Tennessee

D. Hopkins
wide receiver WR • Tennessee
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection
5.4
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized). The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to earn 8.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among wide receivers. DeAndre Hopkins has been among the top WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 6.9 receptions per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.

DeAndre Hopkins

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.4
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.4

The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized). The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency. THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to earn 8.4 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 94th percentile among wide receivers. DeAndre Hopkins has been among the top WRs in the game since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 6.9 receptions per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.

Juwan Johnson Receptions Made Props • New Orleans

J. Johnson
tight end TE • New Orleans
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection
2.9
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: most in the league. Juwan Johnson has run a route on 68.6% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 85th percentile among TEs. THE BLITZ projects Juwan Johnson to garner 4.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among TEs. The Tennessee Titans pass defense has given up the 10th-highest Completion% in the league (73.1%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (73.1%).

Juwan Johnson

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.9
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.9

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game against the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: most in the league. Juwan Johnson has run a route on 68.6% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 85th percentile among TEs. THE BLITZ projects Juwan Johnson to garner 4.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among TEs. The Tennessee Titans pass defense has given up the 10th-highest Completion% in the league (73.1%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (73.1%).

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine Receptions Made Props • Tennessee

N. Westbrook-Ikhine
wide receiver WR • Tennessee
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.00
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-120
Under
-110
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Season Avg.
2.00
Best Odds
Over
-120
Under
-110

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Chris Moore Receptions Made Props • Tennessee

C. Moore
wide receiver WR • Tennessee
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.29
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-120
Under
+150
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Season Avg.
1.29
Best Odds
Over
-120
Under
+150

Chris Moore has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Tyjae Spears Receptions Made Props • Tennessee

T. Spears
running back RB • Tennessee
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.06
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+150
Under
-195
Prop
1.5 Receptions Made
Season Avg.
3.06
Best Odds
Over
+150
Under
-195

Tyjae Spears has gone over 1.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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