Arizona @ Washington props

Nationals Park grades out as the #26 stadium in MLB for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). CJ Abrams has been lucky this year, posting a .332 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .306 — a .026 discrepancy. CJ Abrams's 87.3-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in MLB since the start of last season: 18th percentile. CJ Abrams ranks in the 22nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (39.9% rate since the start of last season). A high launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a lower BABIP, and CJ Abrams's 29.9° mark (13th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a weak hitting profile.

The #3 venue in the league for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Batting from the same side that Slade Cecconi throws from, Joey Meneses will be at a disadvantage in today's game. Joey Meneses has posted a .287 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 14th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Joey Meneses's 5.3% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 23rd percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Joey Meneses's flyball exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) ranks in the 20th percentile at 90.3 mph.

Nationals Park grades out as the #26 stadium in MLB for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Luis Garcia's 4.4° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in Major League Baseball: 5th percentile. In terms of plate discipline, Luis Garcia's ability is quite bad, sporting a 3.64 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 22nd percentile.

Gabriel Moreno's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Gabriel Moreno has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. By putting up a .283 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Gabriel Moreno has performed in the 86th percentile. Grading out in the 94th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Gabriel Moreno demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a key ability for achieving a high batting average.

Jacob Young's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jacob Young has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Bats such as Jacob Young with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Slade Cecconi who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ketel Marte ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Ketel Marte pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Ketel Marte has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .283 rate is deflated compared to his .284 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jesse Winker ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesse Winker is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Among all major league parks, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 5th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Jesse Winker will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Among all major league parks, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 5th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jake McCarthy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's game. Jake McCarthy may have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Geraldo Perdomo pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Geraldo Perdomo is in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.5% rate since the start of last season). By putting up a 1.39 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Geraldo Perdomo has demonstrated strong plate discipline, grading out in the 95th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game. Among all major league parks, Nationals Park's RF fences are the 5th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Christian Walker has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .257 mark is considerably lower than his .274 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Christian Walker's 11.5% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) grades out in the 78th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Lane Thomas is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Lane Thomas will hold that advantage in today's game. Since the start of last season, Lane Thomas's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 84th percentile at 94.8 mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Joc Pederson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage over Jake Irvin in today's game. Joc Pederson is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Eugenio Suarez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .202 figure is a good deal lower than his .226 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Eugenio Suarez's 12.5% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) is in the 84th percentile since the start of last season. Eugenio Suarez has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 20.4° figure is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (98th percentile).

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nick Senzel will hold that advantage today. Nick Senzel has shown strong plate discipline this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile with a 1.43 K/BB rate.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his strong side against Slade Cecconi in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Keibert Ruiz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .235 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Keibert Ruiz has been unlucky given the .063 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .298.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Eddie Rosario will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi in today's matchup. Eddie Rosario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Eddie Rosario will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Eddie Rosario has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .185 figure is quite a bit lower than his .274 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.