Rangers vs Brewers Prediction, Picks, & Odds for Today’s MLB Game

Looking to avoid a series sweep at the hands of the Brewers, the Rangers are sending Nathan Eovaldi to the mound. We break down the matchup and more in our MLB betting picks below.

Phil Naessens - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Jun 26, 2024 • 12:28 ET • 4 min read
Nathan Eovaldi Texas Rangers MLB
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers have a series victory in the bag and are a slight favorite to post the sweep in their three-game set with the visiting Texas Rangers. 

Rangers starter Nathan Eovaldi is striking out a hitter per frame, and my Rangers vs. Brewers predictions and MLB picks for today expect that trend to continue against a K-prone Brewers club. 

Rangers vs Brewers prediction

My best bet
Nathan Eovaldi Over 5.5 strikeouts (-105 at DraftKings)

Best odds available in your region

My analysis
Tuesday night’s 3-1 victory gave the Milwaukee Brewers their ninth consecutive home series victory, but Texas Rangers starter Nathan Eovaldi might have something to say about the Brew Crew scoring the sweep in this series. 

He's won two of his last three trips to the mound with 26 strikeouts across his past 24 2/3 frames. The strikeouts are what has allowed Eovaldi to pitch deeper into games and he could have a big strikeout day against the Brewers.

Eovaldi is a groundball pitcher who strikes out a tick over nine guys per nine. He mostly spins his four-seam/splitter combo, but he’s gone to the bender more often this season and he’s getting a high number of whiffs from his curveball (34.5%) and the splitter (39.6%).

The 34-year-old Rangers’ ace strikes out a tick over 11 lefties per nine and while he should see at least four, he’s also striking out a shade over eight righties per nine innings and he’ll likely see 5+ righty bats in today’s Milwaukee lineup. 

That should allow for Eovaldi to clear this strikeout number. Milwaukee has 11 strikeouts across their 62 at-bats during this series; the 17% series rate might be a big improvement over their seasonal 23% strikeout rate, but this is a much tougher matchup in that regard. He's cleared this number in seven of his last 10 starts and should continue that trend today. 

Rangers vs Brewers same-game parlay (SGP)

Nathan Eovaldi Over 5.5 strikeouts

Willy Adames Under 0.5 hits

Rhys Hoskins Under 0.5 total bases

I like Eovaldi to get his strikeouts and I also believe Milwaukee's Willy Adames and Rhys Hoskins will go hitless today.

Adames has been blanked in the hit column in this series with a pair of walks. He boasts a 22% strikeout rate against righties and is 1-for-8 lifetime against Eovaldi.

Hoskins is riding a seven-game hitting streak, but he boasts a 27% strikeout rate against righties and has cleared his prop number in only four of his last 10 home games. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Rangers vs Brewers odds

Rangers vs Brewers live odds

Rangers vs Brewers opening odds

  • Run line: Texas -1.5 (+154) | Milwaukee +1.5 (-185)
  • Moneyline: Texas -108 | Milwaukee -112
  • Over/Under: Over 8 | Under 8

Rangers vs Brewers spread and Over/Under analysis

  • There hasn’t been much line movement for this tilt. The Rangers moneyline is trading from -108 to -110 with 24% of the bets and 8% of the cash at DraftKings on the Rangers. 

  • Milwaukee markets are trading moneyline prices from -108 to -110 with 76% of the wagers and 92% of the money at FanDuel on the Brewers.

  • Over/Under markets have seen some trading. Over 8 (-112) is available from an 8.5-run opener while Over 8.5 markets are trading prices at -112 to +105.

  • Under 8 markets are available (-108) while Under 8.5 markets are trading at -110 to -120 with 78% of the bets and 73% of the money at BetMGM on Under 8.5.

Rangers vs Brewers trend

Nathan Eovaldi has struck out 6+ batters in seven of his last 10 starts. Find more MLB betting trends for Rangers vs. Brewers

Rangers vs Brewers game info

Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Date: Wednesday, 6-26-2024
First pitch: 2:10 p.m. ET
TV: BSSW, BSWI
Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
(4-3, 3.14 ERA)
Brewers starting pitcher: Dallas Keuchel
(0-0, 0.00 ERA)

Rangers vs Brewers latest injuries

Rangers vs Brewers weather

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