With four weeks in the books, the rankings are settling in and the Top 10 has certainly seen a shakeup with the play of the Eagles, 49ers, Rams, and Packers. The Top 2 spots remain unchanged while the bottom-feeders are still bad. However, everything in the middle is still wide open as only nine teams have a losing record heading into Week 5.
In games on a neutral field, every higher-ranked team would be favored or, at least, a pick 'em on the moneyline in this format. For two teams ranked closely together, the difference in the spread would be a home-field advantage (if any), which varies slightly from team to team.
NFL power rankings for Week 5
| Rank | Team | Record | Super Bowl Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buffalo Bills | 3-1 | +400 |
| 2 | Kansas City Chiefs | 3-1 | +700 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Eagles | 4-0 | +800 |
| 4 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 2-2 | +1200 |
| 5 | San Fransisco 49ers | 2-2 | +1500 |
| 6 | Green Bay Packers | 3-1 | +1000 |
| 7 | Baltimore Ravens | 2-2 | +1800 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Chargers | 2-2 | +2200 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Rams | 2-2 | +1600 |
| 10 | Miami Dolphins | 3-1 | +2200 |
| 11 | Dallas Cowboys | 3-1 | +2500 |
| 12 | Cincinnati Bengals | 2-2 | +2500 |
| 13 | Minnesota Vikings | 3-1 | +2500 |
| 14 | Jacksonville Jaguars | 2-2 | +6000 |
| 15 | Tennessee Titans | 2-2 | +6000 |
| 16 | Las Vegas Raiders | 1-3 | +5000 |
| 17 | Cleveland Browns | 2-2 | +6000 |
| 18 | Indianapolis Colts | 1-2-1 | +6000 |
| 19 | Denver Broncos | 2-2 | +3500 |
| 20 | New Orleans Saints | 1-3 | +8000 |
| 21 | Arizona Cardinals | 2-2 | +7000 |
| 22 | New England Patriots | 1-3 | +15000 |
| 23 | New York Giants | 3-1 | +10000 |
| 24 | Detroit Lions | 1-3 | +15000 |
| 25 | Pittsburgh Steelers | 1-3 | +15000 |
| 26 | Atlanta Falcons | 2-2 | +20000 |
| 27 | Seattle Seahawks | 2-2 | +50000 |
| 28 | Washington Commanders | 1-3 | +20000 |
| 29 | New York Jets | 2-2 | +30000 |
| 30 | Carolina Panthers | 1-3 | +20000 |
| 31 | Chicago Bears | 2-2 | +50000 |
| 32 | Houston Texans | 0-3-1 | +100000 |
Odds courtesy of DraftKings. Compare updated NFL Futures odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
Recency bias: 49ers (5th)
The 49ers' MNF win was impressive and it could have been even better with some better finishes in the red zone. This is a scary defense that generated a ton of pressure without blitzing. DeMeco Ryans is bringing individual defensive game plans into each week and he has possibly the best personnel to be fluid. The offense has enough weapons and big-play ability that it can score quickly, even vs. good defenses. This team could easily be 4-0 and has led each game after 45 minutes.
Dak who?: Dallas Cowboys (11th)
Although I'm not on the side of a possible quarterback controversy when Dak Prescott gets back, Cooper Rush is 4-0 straight up as a starter and is playing smart football. He hasn't thrown an interception over his four games and is playing complementary with a Top-10 defense. The pass-catchers are getting healthier and a win over a struggling Rams team in Week 5 could solidify them as a Top 10 team.
Free fall: New England Patriots (22nd)
Losing Mac Jones (and Bryan Hoyer) to an already anemic offense isn't helping the Pats in a tough division. This is a team that is constructed poorly up and down the roster. They opened as 3-point home favorites in Week 5 but if Detroit gets healthier, this line should come down off the -3. Yes, they took Aaron Rodgers to overtime at Lambeau, but Bailey Zappe took three sacks in 18 dropbacks and lost a fumble.
He could be a very easy QB to game plan against as the New England offense will get even more conservative. Through four games, only three players have 10 or more catches and New England has just two passing TDs. This is also a Bottom-10 defense in EPA/play.
