The Texas Rangers face off against the Baltimore Orioles in MLB action tonight.
Shortstop Gunnar Henderson has anchored a high-scoring Baltimore lineup, and my Rangers vs. Orioles predictions anticipate another big night from the rising star. Here are my best free MLB picks for Saturday, June 29.
Rangers vs Orioles prediction
My best bet
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 total bases (-105 at bet365)
Best odds available in your region
My analysis
Gunnar Henderson won the AL Rookie of the Year Award last season and he's kicked things up another level for the Baltimore Orioles in 2024. Henderson is second on the AL MVP odds board and ranks third in the majors in total bases (194) while slugging .612. Henderson has been even better this month, slashing .352/.447/.676 through 26 games.
The Texas Rangers are sending Michael Lorenzen to the hill today. Although the right-hander holds an impressive 3.04 ERA through 13 starts, his expected ERA is significantly worse at 4.49 and is more in line with his career numbers. The left-handed Henderson mashes against righties like Lorenzen, boasting a slugging percentage of .637.
Behind Lorenzen, Texas has a struggling bullpen that ranks just 25th in the majors in ERA (4.58). Henderson will also benefit from a 12 mph breeze blowing towards the outfield at Camden Yards tonight.
Rangers vs Orioles same-game parlay (SGP)
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 total bases
Michael Lorenzen Under 3.5 earned runs
Jordan Westburg 1+ hits
While I expect Henderson to have success at the plate, the O/U on Lorenzen's earned runs is a bit too high. The Texas starter has gone below this number in eight straight starts and has pitched to a 2.06 ERA during that span.
Meanwhile, Jordan Westburg is batting .286 and has picked up a hit in seven of his last eight games. The right-handed batter also has a reverse platoon split for the year, batting .305 against righties and hitting .340 at home.
Taking the Under on Lorenzen's earned runs while backing Henderson and Westburg provides a nice multiplier for this SGP.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Rangers vs Orioles odds
Rangers vs Orioles live odds
Rangers vs Orioles opening odds
- Run line: Texas +1.5 (-165) | Baltimore -1.5 (+140)
- Moneyline: Texas +125 | Baltimore -150
- Over/Under: Over 9 (-115) | Under 9 (-105)
Rangers vs Orioles spread and Over/Under analysis
- Early money has come in on the home side and the Over, shifting Baltimore's line to -160 with the total ticking up to 9.5.
- The Orioles boast the third-best record in the majors at 52-30 and the fourth-best World Series odds (+600).
- The Rangers are on a five-game losing streak and have averaged just 2.4 runs per game over that span.
- The O's are starting rookie southpaw Cade Povich, who sports a 4.15 ERA with a 3.60 xERA through four starts.
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Rangers vs Orioles trend
Baltimore has covered the run line in 25 of their last 39 games (+14.00 Units / 31% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Rangers vs. Orioles
Rangers vs Orioles game info
| Location: | Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD |
| Date: | Saturday, 6-29-2024 |
| First pitch: | 7:15 p.m. ET |
| TV: | FOX |
| Rangers starting pitcher: | Michael Lorenzen (4-3, 3.04 ERA) |
| Orioles starting pitcher: | Cade Povich (0-2, 4.15 ERA) |
Rangers vs Orioles latest injuries
Rangers vs Orioles weather
Not intended for use in MA.
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