IncognitoZR

Good luck Spottie! 

2-3 +3.2 units

A little teaser to wet the appetite before the bigger ones tomorrow.

Parley .5 unit to win 3.27 units

Demond Claiborne Over 84.5 yards. Demond is solid. He is getting the lion shares of the carries and they finally dumped the slow walk run method. 

Justin Joly TE Over 2.5 receptions I teased this down to 2.5. Both games before this he has 5 and 4.

Robby Ashford Over 199.5 Pass + Rush yards Teased down 

Hollywood Smothers Over 99.5 Rush + Rec yards teased down

Taking away dms was what did it for me. Even if you were going to do that, the NO NOTICE part of it really cheesed me off. Had plenty of people I talked to during football season. All gone. A lot of them have moved on and asking them for their personal contact info on the forums isn't really an option. 

Covers is basically a website where a select few have useful knowledge and valuable input amongst a sea of quite frankly slop of people just gabbing or posting picks with zero logic. 

You guys are the craigslist of betting. 

I think USF has a decent chance to win. Goodluck!

Corrections

Jeff Caldwell is a WR for Cincinnati not Virginia. ECU Nc. St game is Friday. Also if the middle bet hits, I make money regardless of the others.

2-0 + 8.45 units

Thursday bets are three different 2 bet parleys. If one bet hits I push.

Parley 1 1.75 units to win 5.25 units

Drake Lindsey QB Minn Over 1.5 Pass TDs

Drake is a redshirt freshman who got to sit most of last year and absorb knowledge. A stud in high school, as a senior he led his school to a state championship throwing for 3,941 yards and 54 touchdowns with only three interceptions. As starter, this is his coming out party. I expect big things. Also Buffalo's pass defense was one of the worst in the nation, they may figure it out this year, but not in week 1.

Justin Joly TE NCST Over 50.5 receiving yds

Justin is a senior now. ECU beat them at the Military Bowl last year. This is a revenge spot. Normally I'd consider this a 50/50 prop, but if he takes it personal, it'll cover.

Parley 2 1.75 units to win 9.625 units

Lance Mason TE Wisconsin Over 16.5 Rec yds

I think the book missed this guy. No way his rec yards should be this low. Dude surpassed it in every game but 1 last year.

Jeff Caldwell WR Virginia Over 59.5 Receiving Yards (Alternative Total)

A new transfer, the coaches have been raving about this kid's explosive playmaking and athleticism. The book took notice, but not enough. I think he catches everyone off-guard. This game is being played at a neutral site. Nebraska is only returning 3 starters on defense from last year.

Parley 3 1.75 units to win 5.25 units

Cartevious Norton RB South Florida Over 53.5 Rushing Yds

A rb a lot of people sleep on. Patient, violent, and fast. With 10 reps this should be cake for him.

Katin Houser QB ECU Over 231.5 Pass yds

The hype is on for ECU to beat NC. St. If that is gonna happen, this dude is gonna have to ball. ECU upgraded their WR room and he's got plenty of dangerous and talented receivers this year. In the 7 games he played significant reps in last year, he surpassed this total 5 times. He helped beat Nc State last year, but his performance was off. I say he fixes that and starts the year off with a bang. 

I get the questions this year, but Wake has a great rb in Demond Claiborne who has the craziest walking zero to 20 run method. Dunno about the game but I'll be on his props this week.

There are other reasons he regressed last year. They lost some good receivers from 2023. Also Salter had a loan issue that made it so that he couldn't transfer to Auburn in 2024 and he basically had to stay at Liberty when he didn't wanna be there. Now try showing up for work all year under that weight. No one will improve in that situation. This year will be much better for him. 

There are plenty of cases where a 20 second run off would benefit an offense. Not a good idea.

I think the timeout is fine personally. Otherwise what else can you do to punish a team? We've all had Charlie horses. It wouldn't stop us from being able to get on one leg and hop off the field. 

Can't wait to hear your thoughts for next week!

Nice pick brother! 

1st Parley

.25 units to win 1.25 units

Rocco Becht QB ISU Over 17.5 Run yds against KSU 

Jalon Daniels QB KU Over 34.5 Run yds against Fresno State  

Avery Johnson QB KSU Over .5 Pass Yards  

2nd Parley 4.5 units to win 7.2 units

Abu Sama RB ISU Over 29.5 Run yds (Alternate total)  

Dylan Edwards RB KSU Over 49.5 Run yds (Alternative total) Hurt 1st play counts as a D.N.P and turns this into a 3 bet parley

Daniel Hishaw RB KU Under Run 82.5 yds 

Jayce Brown WR KSU Over .5 Rush + Rec TDS 

2-0 + 8.45 units

All in all a nice night! Time to study up for next weekend in Vegas! 

1st Half was awful with the rain. Dylan ended up slipping on a banana peel first punt of the game and injuring himself. Luckily that counts as a DNP so that parley is still live. Every other bet hit so I'm just pending the KU bets in a few hours.

Top 3 is one parley after that a 4 bet parley. That's why they offer juice. You can also bump up the totals for example put Dylan at 99.5 yards for a higher payout. 

Rocco Becht QB ISU Over 17.5 yds against KSU

Rocco started running a lot more toward the end of last season. One of the teams he ran on for 35 yards last year was KSU.

Jalon Daniels QB KU Over 34.5 Yds against Fresno State

Jalon is a menace and it looks like Kansas finally has all the pieces. The question is always will they put it together or only show up for the big games? Either way Fresno State is gonna have a long night with him.

Avery Johnson QB KSU Over .5 Pass Yards

Avery better be on his game tonight because this is a hard ask! Just kidding. This is literally a promotional 3 pick parley over on prize picks so it's a gimme.

2nd Parley 

Abu Sama RB ISU Over 29.5 yds (Alternate total)

Mr. Consistent. He only had 3 games last year he didn't hit this mark.

Dylan Edwards RB KSU Over 49.5 yds (Alternative total)

Literally just need Dylan to get one crease and he can get most of this in one play. Sadly punt returns don't count.

Daniel Hishaw RB KU Under 82.5 yds

Kansas likes to run, but they have multiple sources. I'm thinking he doesn't make it over the mark.

Jayce Brown WR KSU Over .5 Rush + Rec TDS

My risky pic of the night. Jayce tore ISU up for 2 touchdowns last year in spite of ISU having the #1 pass defense in the nation. I think he can get one today!

Glad to have college football back! 

Train you mad lad! Let's have a good year!

Under seems like a solid play as you say. For ISU QB Rocco Becht should actually be surprisingly effective on the run funny enough. Also Abu Sama should get some good angles and has a chance to get in the 60-80 yard range.

Avery Johnson as a dual threat is a correct assessment. He will be very effective. I think Dylan Edwards gets a crease at some point in this game and does major damage over 50 yards rushing, not counting his kickoff returns. Lastly Jayce Brown for KSU tore them up for 2 TDS last year. ISU was the number 1 pass defense in the league in 2024 and it didn't matter. I can see him getting another TD. I'm personally staying away from the spread & total, but I got player props going for each player I mentioned. Good luck Doc!

Uh oh Duck going big time now

Grats Morr. Hopefully yours Biggest bet of the year was bigger than the lives.