spottie2935

Good Job Rum 

Welp got my POD Winner in the book with Jax St 

if you like Radford that was my next best but the in game line is already too low.  If it pops up to a comfortable level it is a solid bet

Radford in play 

Thanks as always Rum 

i appreciate you stopping in.  

[Quote: Originally Posted by Buffalobob89074]@spottie2935 You make excellent points which can't be denied.  Your tracing of the Lions' recent regression is valid. Will it continue? Yep, that is a key one.  I could say that the Lion offense roared last week but they are once again plagued by injuries to the defense.  This Steeler defense is so inconsistent, but their offense is improving as Rogue Rodgers is going aerial.  On a sidenote, the Steeler backup to sidelined Watt, Nick Herbig, is out with a hamstring. The rookie from Ohio State, Jack Sawyer, will get the start at outside linebacker. It might mean clean pockets for Goff though I expect the Lions will try to run it down their throats.  I expect the Steelers to hang with them for 3 quarters and then the Lions to pull away.  All the best[/Quote

Thanks just reasonably trying to sort things out the best way.  

My point is both closest team Cowboys and Panthers are in very bad shape yet the Lions are -150 

that’s the discussion 

yea I like it too but of course the Lions have made a lot of bettors a lot of money.  Hard to oppose past success. 

okay who if the lines are a favorite to miss at -150 

all I said was record wise, the logical and mathematical best chance were Cowboys and Panthers. 

team=Lions and season>2021 and F and o:WP>55 and p:L

since and after 2021 when facing a foe that has a winning %>.550 and after a loss the Lions are 2-0 

2023 vs the Falcons in week 3 which can be dropped because it’s so early in the season. The other was the Buccs this season in week5 

1 credible win is one opportunity so give them credit but a lack of history is against them as well.  

given the lions are -7 to a winning team and only 3-6 ATS last 9. No longer hot and their lines and performances are less than previously.  This season has leveled them back to the pack. 

All the stats say the lions are ripe off a loss but go check the opponents faced after a loss? 

off a loss in 2024 happened 2x.  After the opponents were Cards and Bears (both sucked)

2025 5 times 

Bears (line -5) Buccaneers (line -6) Commanders Cowboys and Giants. 

Give the Lions Credit for the Bears and Buccaneers wins.  

Point is Lions are -150 to fail to advance and in my opinion the better bet is to fade them each game the rest of the way 

team=Lions and date>20221025

35-14 ATS and before the last few week showing weakness 3-6 last 9 ATS 

before the last 9 games had a ATS run of 32-8 ATS 

regression has started but will it continue?  I look at the line of Pitts record and I’m saying too many and not many if at all were the Lions-7 to a winning playoff team (not including playoff games)

@Buffalobob89074

 Some teams get hot some teams get cold.  There are one of each and heading into the playoffs *7 is not regression it’s still of value.  

The Lions after their ATS stats since 2022 are supposed to be in regression and regression starts after a failure. If the Lions cover I back off but after a loss I press on and continue fading. 

Can’t compare Lions teams starting from 2022 as they are incredible ATS since then. Those lines were not <-4 or more to a team with >.500 winning %.  

I like the opportunity for this because they are a dog team not a strong favorite team.  

I do believe in of these teams misses the playoff 

watch the under cash in now.  All the 6:30 games are less than 140 

yep Lose by 1 or a million doesn’t matter 

some of these hoops game this season are wild scoring.  I didn’t expect it but it happened. 

Need Jackson State in a few hours

Detroit -7 this week is absurd to me.  

if they win out and the Lions go on Tilt? 

NFC North embarrassed 

NFC North embarked last season as all 3 reps lost 

they get 3 reps again? 

It’s a compound opportunity (starts this week fading the Lions on a big number and Pitt is a sound candidate to make the playoffs leading the division) this could be fruitful.

-146 

instead of this I will fade them the rest of the games to lose.  

They embarrassed themselves last year and in 2024 the NFC North had 3 reps. 

This year it’s trending to have 3 reps again but I am thinking another team like the Cowboys step up? How about the Panthers.  These are the most logical to leap past the Lions.

all one team has to do is win out and it seems strange but it’s more strange to me the Lions are almost-150 to miss out. 

The best approach is not to lay the -150 the best approach is to bet on Dallas, Carolina and against Detroit this week and take it from there. 

you as well