spottie2935

Here they are. I changed some bought some and sold off some

CFB Virginia +7-114

CFB Oregon State +14-118

CFB Bowling Green +10-111

CFB Liberty +17-109

CFB Florida Atlantic +14-117

CFB Northern Illinois +3-115

CFB TOTAL u64-106 (Notre Dame vrs Arkansas)

CFB Virginia Tech +10-105

CFB Indiana -8-110

CFB Wake Forest +13½-105

CFB Notre Dame -5-108

CFB UCLA +5½-104

CFB Utah State +22½-106

CFB Oklahoma State +20-107

CFB Colorado +7-115

Deleted redundant. Below 

Now that Texas and OU are out of the big 12 these 2 td tiad favorite in conference games are too many points to cover consistently.  Baylor and or Houston are going g to have some difficulty, maybe both. Regression for me is Baylor because they overachieved last season.  I believe both of these line are too many. 

I can’t bet ECU as chalk but Army is not the same Army team as the last 2 seasons.  Certainly regressed so opportunity goes know against them. 

UVA

AZST 

NOTRE DAME lost to 2 ranked team and depending on the line with list ATS or game close to losing because their line was too strong. 

At first look I thought fade NOTD again the week but as I see now that don’t drop out of the top 25 yet.  that leave 5.5 points for Arkansas to get their cover. Not enough.  I believe the best bet in that game is under 64.5.  Notre Dame will play their type of game. 

SYR off a huge win and even at home.  I would bet big money on a team after such a big win 

Cowboys line is extra based upon how crappy they have been.  I think they are 0-8 ATS last 8 from last season  extra points here I’ll grab them and hope.  

Nono Alabama I like Georgia.  Georgia was so over lined that year.  This is a reversal to their past failures. 

I predict you do all this work and in 2 or 3 years you’ll get nowhere.  You have no clue how this ends up and you’re in the dark on the ats results.  

Fire is lit ,  prove me wrong. 

If you keep acting like a 12 year old I will tune you out 

A comedian is funny sometimes,  your not even close

non of what you are doing is congruent with my ideas.  You have no factual ATS data from history.  I want to use your pkays and teams you like and apply some of what I can see from a ATS history stand point. 

season and conference = B12 and C and A and line<-18 and week<13 and opS(W)>1 and 76>total>56

College ranked favorites are having a rough time right now.  To balance this out 

I believe the NFL favorites are doing great.  

At some point in this season it will start flipping but until I see it I’m out.  There is a lack of parody in the NFL.  the data is very inconsistent and weak for the dogs.  

Cause now the effect.

my cause  ( this never happened before so i wasnt able to capitalize this season)

the 2024 CFB playoff bracket favorites went 10-1, 9-1-1 or 9-2 depending on the available line.  The effect to this is top 18 ranked favorites in 2025 16-30 ATS. There is/was a cause to the struggles and upsets so far

One doesnt have to believe in this reasoning as far as football and matchups.  Fact are thogh books are getting thier money back and it will continue or minimum break even the rest of the way. The test and cause to this is after week12.  According too historical trends, Thats when favorites assert themselves in a strong positive ROI.

Bracket dogs this season should be more balanced ATS The Moneylines? I am skeptical.

You might be on to something but I need more info on the cause and effect. Last season bract favorites could have some sort of influence on all games this season.  

The effect of the these early season dogs?  There will be a favorite push back at some point.  If all the bettors do is lose, most bettors will give up hope.  Business is gone if bettors lose hope.  

I can’t see what you know so keep it up 

get the money 

@dcgmt

Thx for stopping in 

best wishes 

@Last2thirst

 Talk about me back and forth.  

shhhh it happens bro, as we dig further, makes us better.

I am pretty much betting against the world on some of these picks so I do accept the adversity.  I just don’t like one hit done and dashers.  I run through this and I don’t know if they even read it. 

I watch your thread and you’re doing great.  This is the tone of year line moves and volatility occurs.  It’s all out there this week.  I’m just dialing in. 

I usually am doing better by week 5 but I started messing with too many favorites.  This season those haven’t been fruitful when in past seasons it’s smooth. 

@Twoinches

 Good right on bro.  I stay right while others go left. 

If you check all your data and then look at who is not covering it might increase your chances.  Just list the teams with no Mumbo jumbo and I’ll take a look at what I do.  We can then make some sort of collab. 

you okay brother ? 

@bandit1010

 I might be one week early as Indy does fail against more talented NIL type teams.  If Indy covers this week it’s a nice set up next week to take the chalk Ducks. 

@Last2thirst

 like doing this is easy.  Maybe I should make notes and post 11 am Saturdays? 

I don’t give 2 about horses