Wimbledon is winding down with the semifinals taking place on Thursday morning, and just one of the newfound “big three” is remaining on the women’s side.
With that, this tournament is anyone’s, and the Wimbledon odds suggest as much, with Aryna Sabalenka a slight a favorite over a tightly-packed final four.
Can Ons Jabeur spring another upset? Let’s take a look at who should advance to Saturday’s final in our Wimbledon betting picks and predictions.
Wimbledon Women's Semifinal picks and predictions
Click on each prediction to read full analysis.
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Elina Svitolina vs Marketa Vondrousova odds and picks
| (2) Aryna Sabalenka | (6) Ons Jabeur | |
|---|---|---|
| -163 | Moneyline | +130 |
| -2.5 (-120) | Game spread | +2.5 (-120) |
| O22.5 (-120) | Total games | U22.5 (-120) |
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook on July 12, 2023.
Aryna Sabalenka vs Ons Jabeur match prediction
These two are well familiar with each other. They’ve met a total of four times on tour, with Jabeur outlasting Sabalenka at the 2020 French Open only to lose the next three matches. Sabalenka won the only encounter on grass in a 6-4, 6-3 rout at Wimbledon a couple of years back and has won six out of the last seven sets played between the two.
With that, I think Sabalenka has enough to win this match. The underdog’s come through one of the toughest draws you’ll ever see, defeating three grand slam champions in a row. She survived a three-setter with Bianca Andreescu, powered through Patra Kvitova and just conquered the defending champion Elena Rynakina. She may not have anything left in the tank to battle such a tough opponent.
I think Jabeur’s poor head-to-head with Sabalenka coupled with some fatigue here will cost her.
Prediction: Sabalenka (-180 at DraftKings)
Aryna Sabalenka vs Ons Jabeur best bet
Jabeur is at her best against a more passive opponent. When she can slowly turn rallies in her favor with her probing forehand and slice backhand, she’s a real threat. Despite a positive result against Rybakina this time around, she really struggled with her power in last year’s final and would have lost to a more in-form version of the defending champ.
This is not an opponent that Jabeur wants to face. Sabalenka is always going to be the aggressor no matter whom she faces with the size of her serve and forehand combination. She’s had no issues exploiting Jabeur’s second serve in the past and disguising her own to hold serve so often.
I think Sabalenka wins this one rather comfortably with Jabeur potentially feeling it after going up against so many titans, and doing so in long matches. The Belarusian should be fresh and rearing to win this one quickly.
Best bet: Sabalenka -2.5 games (-110 at DraftKings)
