Wimbledon is winding down with the men’s semifinals taking place on Friday morning, and they promise to be captivating with three former grand slam champions involved.
The first semifinal of the day features a mouth-watering rematch of an epic battle from last year’s Wimbledon when Jannik Sinner takes on Novak Djokovic.
Will Sinner finish what he started last year, or will Djokovic move one step closer towards a 24th grand slam title? The Wimbledon odds suggest the latter, but let's look at who should make Sunday’s final in our Wimbledon picks and predictions.
Wimbledon Men's Semifinal picks and predictions
Click on each prediction to read full analysis.
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Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner odds and picks
| (2) Novak Djokovic | (8) Jannik Sinner | |
|---|---|---|
| -475 | Moneyline | +375 |
| -5.5 (-120) | Game spread | +5.5 (+100) |
| Over 37.5 (-105) | Total games | Under 37.5 (-115) |
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook on July 13, 2023.
Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner match prediction
The last meeting between these two was nothing short of epic. Sinner stunned Djokovic by taking the first set of their quarterfinal match 7-5 and looked dominant with a 6-2 second set. It was then that Djokovic turned the tables as he does so well, hitting some incredibly difficult shots and winning the next three sets rather easily.
Sinner is a well-coached player with Darren Cahill in his box and has only grown since then, but it’s hard to say he has enough to beat Djokovic here. You have to keep in mind that prior to that Wimbledon match, Djokovic had seen Sinner just once – and that match took place on clay. He wasn’t ready for the overwhelming ball striking that Sinner brought to the table, but in time he was able to devise a gameplan to stop him.
I expect Djokovic to continue with what he started a year ago. He figured out rather quickly how to read the Sinner serve, and while the Italian has added a bit of pop to that delivery it’s still nowhere good enough to trouble the best returner of all time.
Prediction: Djokovic ML (-475 at DraftKings)
Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner best bet
I believe this game total is far too high, so I’m going to side with the under here.
The fact of the matter is that Sinner could win a set and this under could still cash. Djokovic has now won three sets in a row against Sinner and clearly has the Italian’s game figured out by this point. There may be some new tactics employed by Sinner such as the serve and volley, but Djokovic is arguably the greatest player of all time at making in-match adjustments and problem solving. Whatever adversity he faces here – if any – should be short-lived.
Sinner’s nerves should get the best of him here just as they did when he found himself up two sets on Djokovic last year. He’s consistently proven that he will falter on the biggest stages, blowing match point against Carlos Alcaraz last year at the US Open and losing the only Masters 1000 final he contested.
I haven’t been very impressed with Sinner here at Wimbledon. While he’s one of the biggest hitters in the world, he’s had one of the easiest paths of all time to the final. It’s hard to read into his results to this point, and it’s equally as hard to raise your level to that of the greatest tennis player of all time after beating a bunch of guys barely ranked in the top 125.
Best bet: Under 37.5 (-115 via DraftKings)
