Though the Dallas Mavericks have tightened the screws defensively, it’s not as if they've elite perimeter stoppers, and I’m looking for George — who hasn’t yet agreed on a contract extension with the Los Angeles Clippers — to be aggressive early to set the tone. That means seeking out mismatches against Kyrie Irving or the Mavs’ big men — and a volume similar to Game 1 where he scored 22 points on 20 shots. The time for deferring is over.
Projections may suggest this prop should be set at 6.5, but those are heavily based on the Dallas Mavericks’ usual pace. In the final six weeks of the regular season, they ranked No. 8 in pace, averaging 99.7 possessions per game. In this series, that has fallen off to 91.5. That is part of why Gafford has totaled 5 rebounds in this series. He found at least 6 in only 4 of his last 10 regular-season games. The pace is more to blame for fading this Daniel Gafford prop this afternoon than any doubt in Gafford is.
LASVEGASCAVS is #1 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (33-22-0) and +12400 units on the season.
SoxyeahYanksboo is #10 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (25-19-0) and +9350 units on the season.
whosat is #2 on picking games that L.A. Clippers are in with a record of (44-28-1) and +13800 units on the season.
Geo Lazos is #3 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (40-33-1) and +11000 units on the season.
DDD2015 is #4 on picking games that L.A. Clippers are in with a record of (28-23-1) and +10300 units on the season.
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pureporkchop is #8 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (46-31-1) and +9750 units on the season.
deweyay9 is #9 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (23-14-0) and +9700 units on the season.