DAL 6.5 o211.0
BOS -6.5 u211.0
Minnesota 3rd Western Conference56-26
Dallas 5th Western Conference50-32

Minnesota @ Dallas props

American Airlines Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.1
Best Odds
Over
-102

Kyrie Irving has sunk 9.4 buckets per game this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving registers in the 96th percentile for 3-point shots drained, posting 2.9 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving measures in the 98th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 36.0 minutes per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 2.6 three-pointers per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, labeling this as a good matchup.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.1
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.1

Kyrie Irving has sunk 9.4 buckets per game this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA. Out of all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving registers in the 96th percentile for 3-point shots drained, posting 2.9 per game this year. Among all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving measures in the 98th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 36.0 minutes per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 2.6 three-pointers per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, labeling this as a good matchup.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.5
Best Odds
Over
-108

Naz Reid has logged 13.2 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 77th percentile. Naz Reid has successfully made 2.0 shots from downtown per game this year, placing him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.

Naz Reid

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.5

Naz Reid has logged 13.2 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 77th percentile. Naz Reid has successfully made 2.0 shots from downtown per game this year, placing him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.9
Best Odds
Over
-141

P.J. Washington has made 3.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's converted from three overall this year at home. P.J. Washington has been on the court for 36.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.9 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line. P.J. Washington figures to get a boost in output in all facets of the game due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.9
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.9

P.J. Washington has made 3.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he's converted from three overall this year at home. P.J. Washington has been on the court for 36.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.9 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line. P.J. Washington figures to get a boost in output in all facets of the game due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
20
Best Odds
Over
-128

Karl-Anthony Towns has attempted 6.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Out of all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns rates in the 87th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 32.6 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 shot attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a favorable matchup. Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns slots into the 93rd percentile for foul shots converted while on the road, posting a massive 3.8 per game this year.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20

Karl-Anthony Towns has attempted 6.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Out of all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns rates in the 87th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 32.6 minutes per game this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. This year, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 16.0 shot attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a favorable matchup. Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns slots into the 93rd percentile for foul shots converted while on the road, posting a massive 3.8 per game this year.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-156

Rudy Gobert has sunk 62.6% of his field goal attempts away from home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert places in the 90th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 33.8 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup with Daniel Gafford measures in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs averaging a whopping 15.4 points per game this year. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Daniel Gafford has been remarkably high (3.7 foul shot attempts per game) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Rudy Gobert has sunk 62.6% of his field goal attempts away from home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert places in the 90th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 33.8 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup with Daniel Gafford measures in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs averaging a whopping 15.4 points per game this year. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Daniel Gafford has been remarkably high (3.7 foul shot attempts per game) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-148
Prop
16.5 Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
-148
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.3 higher than he's tallied overall this year on the road. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have averaged 4.6 3-point attempts per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a tough matchup. The least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves. The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Mike Conley

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Mike Conley has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.3 higher than he's tallied overall this year on the road. This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have averaged 4.6 3-point attempts per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, resulting in a tough matchup. The least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves. The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
30
Best Odds
Over
-150

Luka Doncic has sunk 46.6% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 10.0% more than he's made from three over the course of the year. Luka Doncic has attempted 10.5 3-pointers per game this year, a significant increase from his 8.2 rate last year. Luka Doncic has played 38.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 100th percentile. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. Luka Doncic figures to see an increase in effectiveness in all stat categories due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30

Luka Doncic has sunk 46.6% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 10.0% more than he's made from three over the course of the year. Luka Doncic has attempted 10.5 3-pointers per game this year, a significant increase from his 8.2 rate last year. Luka Doncic has played 38.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 100th percentile. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. Luka Doncic figures to see an increase in effectiveness in all stat categories due to controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Jaden Hardy Points Scored Props • Dallas

J. Hardy
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.2
Best Odds
Over
+128
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.2
Best Odds
Over
+128
Projection Rating

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 2.6 three-pointers per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, labeling this as a good matchup. Jaden Hardy will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to raise player production for all stats.

Jaden Hardy

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.2
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.2

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year when they are at home, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 2.6 three-pointers per game (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, labeling this as a good matchup. Jaden Hardy will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to raise player production for all stats.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-160

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. When matched up against opposing starting Cs, Rudy Gobert has been in the 100th percentile with a monstrous 2.3 threes attempted against him per game this year. Daniel Gafford has attempted 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. The matchup against Rudy Gobert is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.6 foul shots per game (100th percentile). Daniel Gafford figures to see an increase in output across the board on account of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. When matched up against opposing starting Cs, Rudy Gobert has been in the 100th percentile with a monstrous 2.3 threes attempted against him per game this year. Daniel Gafford has attempted 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. The matchup against Rudy Gobert is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; when defending opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 3.6 foul shots per game (100th percentile). Daniel Gafford figures to see an increase in output across the board on account of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Over
+100

Jaden McDaniels has sunk 60.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 11.9% more than he's put through the net overall this season. Jaden McDaniels has made 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year. Jaden McDaniels has played 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's played over the course of the season. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Jaden McDaniels has attempted 2.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Jaden McDaniels has sunk 60.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 11.9% more than he's put through the net overall this season. Jaden McDaniels has made 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year. Jaden McDaniels has played 35.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's played over the course of the season. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Jaden McDaniels has attempted 2.5 free throws per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-132
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.8
Best Odds
Over
-132
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 2.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 7.6 higher than he's tallied overall this year at home. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 32.4% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Derrick Jones Jr. ought to see a rise in performance for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.8
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.8

Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 2.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year. Derrick Jones Jr. has tallied 34.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 7.6 higher than he's tallied overall this year at home. The Dallas Mavericks rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. Derrick Jones Jr. has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 32.4% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Derrick Jones Jr. ought to see a rise in performance for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Kyle Anderson Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Anderson
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
3.5
Points Scored
Projection
4.3
Best Odds
Over
-154
Prop
3.5 Points Scored
Projection
4.3
Best Odds
Over
-154
Projection Rating

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Kyle Anderson has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 35.7% higher than he's made over the course of the year when playing away from home. Over the last 17 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.5 free throws per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Kyle Anderson

Prop: 3.5 Points Scored
Projection: 4.3
Prop:
3.5 Points Scored
Projection:
4.3

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. Kyle Anderson has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 35.7% higher than he's made over the course of the year when playing away from home. Over the last 17 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 3.5 free throws per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.9
Best Odds
Over
-115

Anthony Edwards has attempted 8.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Anthony Edwards has tallied 42.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 5.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup against Dallas is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 3rd-most three-pointers per game in the league this year (2.8). In contrast to last season's 4.1 rate, Anthony Edwards's foul shots scored have surged this season to 5.3 per game.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.9
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.9

Anthony Edwards has attempted 8.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year. Anthony Edwards has tallied 42.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 5.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road. The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year. The matchup against Dallas is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 3rd-most three-pointers per game in the league this year (2.8). In contrast to last season's 4.1 rate, Anthony Edwards's foul shots scored have surged this season to 5.3 per game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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