Oklahoma City 1st Western Conference57-25
New Orleans 8th Western Conference49-33
TNT, BSN, TSN

Oklahoma City @ New Orleans props

Smoothie King Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jonas Valanciunas Points Scored Props • New Orleans

J. Valanciunas
center C • New Orleans
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.9
Best Odds
Over
+114

The matchup against Chet Holmgren is a strong one; he has allowed a monstrous 17.2 points per game away from home when defending fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Pelicans will likely see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Jonas Valanciunas has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 14.8% more than he's made over the course of the season when playing at home. The clash with Chet Holmgren as it relates to getting to the free-throw line comes in at just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a massive 4.6 foul shots per game this year.

Jonas Valanciunas

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.9

The matchup against Chet Holmgren is a strong one; he has allowed a monstrous 17.2 points per game away from home when defending fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile). The Pelicans will likely see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Jonas Valanciunas has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 14.8% more than he's made over the course of the season when playing at home. The clash with Chet Holmgren as it relates to getting to the free-throw line comes in at just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs attempting a massive 4.6 foul shots per game this year.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Over
-104

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren rates in the 85th percentile, totaling a colossal 16.6 points per game this year. Chet Holmgren has sunk 58.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 6.1% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren slots into the 79th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 29.5 minutes per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Jonas Valanciunas is a strong one for field goals; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have successfully made an enormous 61.1% of their field goal attempts (100th percentile).

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren rates in the 85th percentile, totaling a colossal 16.6 points per game this year. Chet Holmgren has sunk 58.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 6.1% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Chet Holmgren slots into the 79th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 29.5 minutes per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Jonas Valanciunas is a strong one for field goals; when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year, they have successfully made an enormous 61.1% of their field goal attempts (100th percentile).

Trey Murphy III Points Scored Props • New Orleans

T. Murphy III
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Over
-108

Trey Murphy III has attempted 7.8 three-point shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 6.3 mark last season. Trey Murphy III has played 38.2 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 7.9 more than he's played overall this year. The Pelicans will likely see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Trey Murphy III has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 19.4% more than he's sunk overall this season.

Trey Murphy III

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

Trey Murphy III has attempted 7.8 three-point shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 6.3 mark last season. Trey Murphy III has played 38.2 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 7.9 more than he's played overall this year. The Pelicans will likely see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Trey Murphy III has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 19.4% more than he's sunk overall this season.

Brandon Ingram Points Scored Props • New Orleans

B. Ingram
small forward SF • New Orleans
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.8
Best Odds
Over
+124

Among all players in the league, Brandon Ingram lands in the 87th percentile for 3-point effectiveness while on his home court with a phenomenal 42.5% rate this year. Among all players in the league, Brandon Ingram lands in the 89th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 32.9 minutes per game this year. The Pelicans will likely see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Brandon Ingram will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises player performance across the board.

Brandon Ingram

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.8
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.8

Among all players in the league, Brandon Ingram lands in the 87th percentile for 3-point effectiveness while on his home court with a phenomenal 42.5% rate this year. Among all players in the league, Brandon Ingram lands in the 89th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 32.9 minutes per game this year. The Pelicans will likely see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Brandon Ingram will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises player performance across the board.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-124

Luguentz Dort has attempted 10.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Luguentz Dort has successfully made 2.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort measures in the 76th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 28.6 minutes per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Luguentz Dort has attempted 10.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 2.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road. Luguentz Dort has successfully made 2.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted over the course of the year. Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort measures in the 76th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 28.6 minutes per game this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Naji Marshall Points Scored Props • New Orleans

N. Marshall
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
5.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.9
Best Odds
Over
+120

Naji Marshall has successfully made 56.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 11.7% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season at home. The Pelicans will likely see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Naji Marshall has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 19.9% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Naji Marshall will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to improve player production for all stats.

Naji Marshall

Prop: 5.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
5.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.9

Naji Marshall has successfully made 56.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 11.7% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season at home. The Pelicans will likely see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). Naji Marshall has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 19.9% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year. Naji Marshall will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city tends to improve player production for all stats.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.3
Best Odds
Over
-128

Jalen Williams has converted 9.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.0 more than he's sunk overall this season while playing away from home. Jalen Williams has converted an impressive 42.2% of his three-point attempts this year, significantly higher than his 33.7 rate last year. Jalen Williams has averaged 31.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 84th percentile. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Jalen Williams

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.3

Jalen Williams has converted 9.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.0 more than he's sunk overall this season while playing away from home. Jalen Williams has converted an impressive 42.2% of his three-point attempts this year, significantly higher than his 33.7 rate last year. Jalen Williams has averaged 31.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 84th percentile. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Aaron Wiggins Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

A. Wiggins
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
5.7
Best Odds
Over
+106
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
5.7
Best Odds
Over
+106
Projection Rating

Aaron Wiggins has made an impressive 50.9% of his three-point shots this season, quite a bit higher than his 36.9 rate last season. Aaron Wiggins has averaged 25.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 9.4 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 17.5% more than he's put through the net in all games this season while playing on the road.

Aaron Wiggins

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 5.7
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
5.7

Aaron Wiggins has made an impressive 50.9% of his three-point shots this season, quite a bit higher than his 36.9 rate last season. Aaron Wiggins has averaged 25.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 9.4 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games. Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games on the road, 17.5% more than he's put through the net in all games this season while playing on the road.

CJ McCollum Points Scored Props • New Orleans

C. McCollum
shooting guard SG • New Orleans
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.4
Best Odds
Over
-111

CJ McCollum has attempted 19.9 shots per game over the last 15 games, 4.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. CJ McCollum has made a whopping 3.5 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly more than his 2.8 rate last season. CJ McCollum has played 37.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.9 higher than he's played over the course of the year. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a positive matchup. The Pelicans will likely see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

CJ McCollum

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.4
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.4

CJ McCollum has attempted 19.9 shots per game over the last 15 games, 4.0 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. CJ McCollum has made a whopping 3.5 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly more than his 2.8 rate last season. CJ McCollum has played 37.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.9 higher than he's played over the course of the year. This year, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a positive matchup. The Pelicans will likely see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
23.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.6
Best Odds
Over
-110

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 99th percentile, tallying a colossal 30.1 points per game this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 34.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a positive one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 23.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.6
Prop:
23.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.6

Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander rates in the 99th percentile, tallying a colossal 30.1 points per game this year. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 34.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a positive one for three-point attempts; the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1). The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
9.5 Points Scored
Projection
10.5
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Josh Giddey has converted 59.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 12.3% higher than he's sunk overall this year while playing away from home. Josh Giddey has played 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 6.4 more than he's played overall this season on the road. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup against New Orleans is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Pelicans are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.5). The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.5
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.5

Josh Giddey has converted 59.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 12.3% higher than he's sunk overall this year while playing away from home. Josh Giddey has played 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 6.4 more than he's played overall this season on the road. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup against New Orleans is a strong one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Pelicans are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.5). The Thunder have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

Herbert Jones Points Scored Props • New Orleans

H. Jones
power forward PF • New Orleans
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.5
Best Odds
Over
-102

Herbert Jones has successfully made 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's made from three overall this season. Herbert Jones has averaged 30.6 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Pelicans will likely see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). In contrast to last year's 73.1% clip, Herbert Jones's free-throw proficiency has jumped this year to 86.5%.

Herbert Jones

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.5

Herbert Jones has successfully made 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's made from three overall this season. Herbert Jones has averaged 30.6 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Pelicans will likely see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Thunder). The New Orleans Pelicans rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists). In contrast to last year's 73.1% clip, Herbert Jones's free-throw proficiency has jumped this year to 86.5%.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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