Phoenix 6th Western Conference49-33
Minnesota 3rd Western Conference56-26

Phoenix @ Minnesota props

Target Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Royce O'Neale Points Scored Props • Phoenix

R. O'Neale
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Royce O'Neale has attempted 5.2 three-point shots per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in plays today from competing against the 9th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 11.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Royce O'Neale

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.6
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.6

Royce O'Neale has attempted 5.2 three-point shots per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the league. The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in plays today from competing against the 9th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 11.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Jusuf Nurkic Points Scored Props • Phoenix

J. Nurkic
center C • Phoenix
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-110

The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in plays today from competing against the 9th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 11.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Jusuf Nurkic

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in plays today from competing against the 9th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 11.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.6
Best Odds
Under
+108

The matchup vs. the Suns is a hard one for three-point shots; opposing starting SGs have totaled the least shots from downtown per game in the league this year (1.5). The Suns have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 3rdworst in in the NBA when playing at home with a mere 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.6
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.6

The matchup vs. the Suns is a hard one for three-point shots; opposing starting SGs have totaled the least shots from downtown per game in the league this year (1.5). The Suns have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 3rdworst in in the NBA when playing at home with a mere 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Bradley Beal Points Scored Props • Phoenix

B. Beal
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
17.4
Best Odds
Under
+129

The Phoenix Suns have been the 7th-least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup vs. Minnesota is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the least 3-point shots per game in the league this year (1.3). The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Suns. Bradley Beal has attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 4.6 rate last season. Bradley Beal will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player performance across the board.

Bradley Beal

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 17.4
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
17.4

The Phoenix Suns have been the 7th-least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. The matchup vs. Minnesota is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have tallied the least 3-point shots per game in the league this year (1.3). The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Suns. Bradley Beal has attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 4.6 rate last season. Bradley Beal will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player performance across the board.

Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.4
Best Odds
Over
+106

Rudy Gobert has converted 7.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's made in all games this season. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 34.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. In terms of three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.7% rate of sunk threes places 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The 9th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. Rudy Gobert has attempted 8.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 3.0 more than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.4
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.4

Rudy Gobert has converted 7.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 higher than he's made in all games this season. Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 34.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile. In terms of three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.7% rate of sunk threes places 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The 9th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. Rudy Gobert has attempted 8.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 3.0 more than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.2
Best Odds
Over
-121

Among all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns ranks in the 90th percentile, tallying a colossal 20.3 points per game on his home court this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns slots into the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 32.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year. In terms of three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.7% rate of sunk threes places 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The 9th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns places in the 93rd percentile for free throws scored while on his home court, putting up a massive 4.2 per game this year.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.2
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.2

Among all players in the league, Karl-Anthony Towns ranks in the 90th percentile, tallying a colossal 20.3 points per game on his home court this year. Out of all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns slots into the 87th percentile for playing time, tallying a monstrous 32.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year. In terms of three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.7% rate of sunk threes places 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The 9th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. Among all players in the NBA, Karl-Anthony Towns places in the 93rd percentile for free throws scored while on his home court, putting up a massive 4.2 per game this year.

Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Under
-106

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have registered 12.2 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, identifying this as a hard matchup for offensive efficiency. The Suns have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 3rdworst in in the NBA when playing at home with a mere 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.1 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Mike Conley

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have registered 12.2 points per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, identifying this as a hard matchup for offensive efficiency. The Suns have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should reduce plays for the Timberwolves. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 3rdworst in in the NBA when playing at home with a mere 8.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games. This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.1 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.

Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.6
Best Odds
Under
-109

The Phoenix Suns have been the 7th-least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 14.5 points per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, labeling this as a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness. The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Suns. In contrast to last season's 6.8 clip, Kevin Durant's free throws drained have decreased this season to 4.8 per game. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Kevin Durant

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.6
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.6

The Phoenix Suns have been the 7th-least aggressive offense in the league this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc. This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 14.5 points per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, labeling this as a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness. The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Suns. In contrast to last season's 6.8 clip, Kevin Durant's free throws drained have decreased this season to 4.8 per game. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.1 foul shots per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.3
Best Odds
Over
-110

Naz Reid has attempted 13.5 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 3.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Naz Reid has sunk 3.1 threes per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's made in all games this season while at home. In terms of three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.7% rate of sunk threes places 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The 9th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. Naz Reid has attempted 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Naz Reid

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.3

Naz Reid has attempted 13.5 field goals per game over the last 15 games, 3.0 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Naz Reid has sunk 3.1 threes per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's made in all games this season while at home. In terms of three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.7% rate of sunk threes places 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The 9th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. Naz Reid has attempted 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted overall this season.

Grayson Allen Points Scored Props • Phoenix

G. Allen
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.2
Best Odds
Over
-115

Grayson Allen has made 48.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Grayson Allen has attempted 7.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Relative to last year's 27.5 rate, Grayson Allen's playing time has jumped this year to 33.5 minutes per game. The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in plays today from competing against the 9th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 11.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Grayson Allen

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.2
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.2

Grayson Allen has made 48.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Grayson Allen has attempted 7.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 15 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season. Relative to last year's 27.5 rate, Grayson Allen's playing time has jumped this year to 33.5 minutes per game. The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in plays today from competing against the 9th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 11.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.9
Best Odds
Over
-110

Devin Booker has converted 3.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 higher than he's made from three over the course of the season on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Devin Booker lands in the 98th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 36.0 minutes per game this year. The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in plays today from competing against the 9th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 11.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Devin Booker has made 6.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's put through the net overall this year.

Devin Booker

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.9
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.9

Devin Booker has converted 3.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 higher than he's made from three over the course of the season on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Devin Booker lands in the 98th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 36.0 minutes per game this year. The Phoenix Suns will likely get a boost in plays today from competing against the 9th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves). Offensive rebounds save possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 11.3 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Devin Booker has made 6.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's put through the net overall this year.

Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.7
Best Odds
Over
-104

Jaden McDaniels has averaged 29.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. In terms of three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.7% rate of sunk threes places 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Suns are away from home, opposing starting SFs have put up the 8th-highest three rate in the league this year (41.1%). The 9th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. Jaden McDaniels ought to see a spike in efficiency for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.7
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.7

Jaden McDaniels has averaged 29.3 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. In terms of three-point shots, the Timberwolves's excellent 38.7% rate of sunk threes places 3rd-most in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. Phoenix is a positive one for three-pointers; when the Suns are away from home, opposing starting SFs have put up the 8th-highest three rate in the league this year (41.1%). The 9th-speediest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves. Jaden McDaniels ought to see a spike in efficiency for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.19
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
+100
Under
-118

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has gone over 6.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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