Final Jul 4
NYM 0 -107 o9.0
WAS 1 -101 u9.0
Final (10) Jul 4
STL 3 -105 o9.0
PIT 2 -103 u9.0
Final Jul 4
CIN 8 +155 o9.5
NYY 4 -170 u9.5
Final Jul 4
HOU 5 -110 o8.5
TOR 3 +101 u8.5
Final (12) Jul 4
BOS 6 -150 o8.0
MIA 5 +138 u8.0
Final Jul 4
CHW 4 +194 o8.5
CLE 8 -214 u8.5
Final Jul 4
DET 3 +157 o8.0
MIN 12 -171 u8.0
Final Jul 4
PHI 2 -119 o7.5
CHC 10 +110 u7.5
Final Jul 4
SD 3 -101 o7.5
TEX 1 -108 u7.5
Final Jul 4
LAA 0 +102 o9.0
OAK 5 -111 u9.0
Final Jul 4
BAL 3 -145 o7.0
SEA 7 +133 u7.0
Final Jul 4
SF 4 +111 o8.0
ATL 2 -120 u8.0
Final Jul 4
MIL 3 -128 o11.0
COL 4 +118 u11.0
Final Jul 4
TB 10 -105 o8.5
KC 8 -103 u8.5
Final Jul 4
AZ 9 +101 o8.5
LAD 3 -109 u8.5
Bally Sports Network, NESN

Boston @ Miami props

loanDepot Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

David Hamilton Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Hamilton
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Among all parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. David Hamilton's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 17.9% on the season to 30% over the last 14 days. David Hamilton grades out in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (51.3% rate this year).

David Hamilton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Among all parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. David Hamilton's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 17.9% on the season to 30% over the last 14 days. David Hamilton grades out in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (51.3% rate this year).

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Masataka Yoshida has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 96.2-mph in the last week's worth of games. In the past 7 days, Masataka Yoshida's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.9%.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Masataka Yoshida has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 96.2-mph in the last week's worth of games. In the past 7 days, Masataka Yoshida's 62.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.9%.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Smith
first base 1B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-129
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-129
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Dominic Smith has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the last 14 days. Dominic Smith's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (28.6° in the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 19° seasonal figure.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Dominic Smith has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the last 14 days. Dominic Smith's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (28.6° in the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 19° seasonal figure.

Emmanuel Rivera Total Hits Props • Miami

E. Rivera
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Emmanuel Rivera will hold that advantage today. Emmanuel Rivera grades out in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47.8% rate since the start of last season).

Emmanuel Rivera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Emmanuel Rivera will hold that advantage today. Emmanuel Rivera grades out in the 94th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47.8% rate since the start of last season).

Xavier Edwards Total Hits Props • Miami

X. Edwards
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

Xavier Edwards's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today's game.

Xavier Edwards

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Xavier Edwards's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today's game.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Rafael Devers has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.7-mph to 102.7-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Rafael Devers has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.7-mph to 102.7-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Jesús Sánchez Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Sánchez
right outfield RF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Jesus Sanchez will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage today.

Jesús Sánchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Jesus Sanchez will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage today.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Jarren Duran is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Jarren Duran has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week's worth of games.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Jarren Duran is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Jarren Duran has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week's worth of games.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have an edge in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have an edge in today's game. Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • Boston

T. O'Neill
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Tyler O'Neill will have an advantage today. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Tyler O'Neill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Tyler O'Neill will have an advantage today. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Connor Wong is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Connor Wong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's matchup.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Connor Wong is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Connor Wong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers in today's matchup.

Vidal Brujan Total Hits Props • Miami

V. Brujan
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Vidal Brujan will get to bat from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Brayan Bello) in today's game. Vidal Brujan will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Vidal Brujan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Vidal Brujan will get to bat from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Brayan Bello) in today's game. Vidal Brujan will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami

B. De La Cruz
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Bryan De La Cruz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Bryan De La Cruz has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 93.2-mph in the past 14 days.

Bryan De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Bryan De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Bryan De La Cruz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Bryan De La Cruz has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 93.2-mph in the past 14 days.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Refsnyder
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have an advantage in today's game.

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have an advantage in today's game.

Nick Gordon Total Hits Props • Miami

N. Gordon
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Nick Gordon will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Nick Gordon hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Nick Gordon will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Nick Gordon's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 42.5% on the season to 70% over the last week.

Nick Gordon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Nick Gordon will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Nick Gordon hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Nick Gordon will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Nick Gordon's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 42.5% on the season to 70% over the last week.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Bell
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Josh Bell has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 6.8% to 12.9%.

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Josh Bell ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Josh Bell has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 6.8% to 12.9%.

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

N. Fortes
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Nick Fortes will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .193 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has been unlucky given the .078 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .271.

Nick Fortes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Among all parks, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest. Nick Fortes will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .193 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has been unlucky given the .078 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .271.

Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Burger
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jake Burger is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Jake Burger will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jake Burger has been unlucky this year, notching a .267 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .059 difference.

Jake Burger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jake Burger is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Jake Burger will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jake Burger has been unlucky this year, notching a .267 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .059 difference.

Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami

O. Lopez
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Otto Lopez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Otto Lopez has had some very poor luck this year. His .273 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .321.

Otto Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Otto Lopez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Otto Lopez has had some very poor luck this year. His .273 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .321.

Romy Gonzalez Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Gonzalez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Romy Gonzalez will have the upper hand in today's game. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.252) suggests that Romy Gonzalez has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .226 actual batting average.

Romy Gonzalez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 3rd-best stadium in the league for RHB BABIP. Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Romy Gonzalez will have the upper hand in today's game. The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.252) suggests that Romy Gonzalez has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .226 actual batting average.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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