BOS -125 o7.5
MIA +116 u7.5
STL +109 o8.5
PIT -118 u8.5
CHW +189 o8.5
CLE -208 u8.5
NYM -123 o9.0
WAS +114 u9.0
CIN +162 o9.0
NYY -177 u9.0
HOU -110 o8.5
TOR +102 u8.5
SF +182 o7.5
ATL -200 u7.5
PHI -110 o7.5
CHC +101 u7.5
SD +128 o9.0
TEX -139 u9.0
TB -105 o8.0
KC -103 u8.0
DET +153 o8.5
MIN -167 u8.5
MIL -165 o12.0
COL +152 u12.0
LAA -108 o8.5
OAK +100 u8.5
BAL +119 o7.0
SEA -129 u7.0
AZ +174 o9.0
LAD -190 u9.0
SNP, Bally Sports Network

St. Louis @ Pittsburgh props

PNC Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nolan Gorman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Gorman
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Nolan Gorman has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 90.4-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 88.1-mph EV.

Nolan Gorman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Nolan Gorman has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 90.4-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 88.1-mph EV.

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

Long-balls are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest among all major league parks. Mitch Keller will hold the platoon advantage over Masyn Winn in today's game. Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Masyn Winn's average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 86.5-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 84.2-mph in the past week's worth of games. Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 89.7-mph average last year has decreased to 85.9-mph.

Masyn Winn

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Long-balls are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest among all major league parks. Mitch Keller will hold the platoon advantage over Masyn Winn in today's game. Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Masyn Winn's average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 86.5-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 84.2-mph in the past week's worth of games. Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 89.7-mph average last year has decreased to 85.9-mph.

Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Suwinski
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Jack Suwinski will have an advantage today. Jack Suwinski will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Jack Suwinski has been unlucky this year. His .170 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .221.

Jack Suwinski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Gibson throws from, Jack Suwinski will have an advantage today. Jack Suwinski will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Jack Suwinski has been unlucky this year. His .170 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .221.

Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

B. Donovan
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's matchup.

Brendan Donovan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Brendan Donovan is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's matchup.

Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

O. Cruz
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup.

Oneil Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup.

Rowdy Tellez Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

R. Tellez
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Rowdy Tellez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Rowdy Tellez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Rowdy Tellez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Rowdy Tellez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Rowdy Tellez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Edward Olivares Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

E. Olivares
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Edward Olivares is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Edward Olivares will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Edward Olivares

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Edward Olivares is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Edward Olivares will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Alec Burleson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

A. Burleson
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alec Burleson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Alec Burleson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's matchup.

Alec Burleson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alec Burleson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Alec Burleson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller in today's matchup.

Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

W. Contreras
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Willson Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. McCutchen
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Andrew McCutchen will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Andrew McCutchen will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

B. Reynolds
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Kyle Gibson.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Kyle Gibson.

Matt Carpenter Total Hits Props • St. Louis

M. Carpenter
designated hitter DH • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Matt Carpenter will have an edge today. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. In the last 7 days, Matt Carpenter's 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.5%.

Matt Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Matt Carpenter will have an edge today. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. In the last 7 days, Matt Carpenter's 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.5%.

Connor Joe Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

C. Joe
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Connor Joe is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Connor Joe will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Connor Joe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 41.8% on the season to 60% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Connor Joe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Connor Joe is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Connor Joe will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Connor Joe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 41.8% on the season to 60% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Nolan Arenado's launch angle of late (37° in the past 7 days) is significantly higher than his 18.9° seasonal angle.

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Nolan Arenado's launch angle of late (37° in the past 7 days) is significantly higher than his 18.9° seasonal angle.

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Ke'Bryan Hayes's batting average ability is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .271 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ke'Bryan Hayes has experienced some negative variance given the .033 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304.

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ke'Bryan Hayes's batting average ability is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .271 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ke'Bryan Hayes has experienced some negative variance given the .033 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304.

Yasmani Grandal Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Y. Grandal
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Yasmani Grandal will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .210 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Yasmani Grandal has had some very poor luck given the .069 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .279.

Yasmani Grandal

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Yasmani Grandal will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .210 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Yasmani Grandal has had some very poor luck given the .069 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .279.

Nick Gonzales Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

N. Gonzales
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Nick Gonzales will hold that advantage in today's game. Nick Gonzales has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .316 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .337 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nick Gonzales

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 4th-hottest temperature on the slate at 84°. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Nick Gonzales will hold that advantage in today's game. Nick Gonzales has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .316 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .337 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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