Busch Stadium
There has been a significant improvement in Stuart Fairchild's launch angle from last year's 14.1° to 20.2° this season.
As it relates to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Lance Lynn in today's game. Elly De La Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Elly De La Cruz has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 12.8% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Jonathan India has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph to 96-mph in the last week. In the last 14 days, Jonathan India's 62.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48%. Posting a .344 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Jonathan India finds himself in the 87th percentile for offensive ability.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Willson Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Willson Contreras generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Greene. Willson Contreras will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Brendan Donovan will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Brendan Donovan has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 89-mph average.
Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage over Lance Lynn in today's matchup. Will Benson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Will Benson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 18.7% on the season to 42.9% in the past 7 days.
Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today's game. Nolan Gorman will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Nolan Gorman has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.4-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.1-mph mark. Last season, Nolan Gorman had an average launch angle of 21.5° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 26.4°. Nolan Gorman's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (29.4° over the last 14 days) is a significant increase over his 26.4° seasonal figure.
Jake Fraley is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Lance Lynn throws from, Jake Fraley will have the upper hand today. In the past 14 days, Jake Fraley's 31.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.1%. Posting a .330 BABIP this year, Jake Fraley is positioned in the 79th percentile.
Nick Martini will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lance Lynn in today's matchup. Nick Martini hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Nick Martini has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.5-mph to 95.5-mph over the past week.
Noelvi Marte's BABIP talent is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Noelvi Marte hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Noelvi Marte has compiled a .296 batting average since the start of last season, placing in the 96th percentile.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Paul Goldschmidt will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Paul Goldschmidt has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 8.7% seasonal rate to 20.7% in the last 14 days. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.4-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 91.3-mph EV.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Spencer Steer is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Spencer Steer has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7.6% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past 14 days. Spencer Steer has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.4-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.4-mph EV. Spencer Steer has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 77th percentile with a 1.96 K/BB rate.
Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
Masyn Winn has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (61% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. In the last week, Masyn Winn's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15%. Masyn Winn has notched a .279 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. In notching a .342 BABIP this year, Masyn Winn is positioned in the 89th percentile.
Luke Maile has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 18.9°, Nolan Arenado has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 37° figure over the last week.
Pedro Pages hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Pedro Pages will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Greene throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge in today's matchup. Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the last 14 days, Alec Burleson has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 7.4% to 13.5%.
Matt Carpenter will have the handedness advantage over Hunter Greene today. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Matt Carpenter will hold that advantage today. In the past week, Matt Carpenter's 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.5%. Sporting a 1.89 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Matt Carpenter has displayed good plate discipline, grading out in the 82nd percentile.
Santiago Espinal has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.
Dylan Carlson has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
