Final Jul 1
HOU 3 -121 o8.0
TOR 1 +112 u8.0
Final (10) Jul 1
NYM 9 -113 o8.5
WAS 7 +104 u8.5
Final (10) Jul 1
MIL 7 -141 o11.5
COL 8 +130 u11.5
NBCSP, Bally Sports Network

Miami @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ali Sanchez Total Hits Props • Miami

A. Sanchez
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+112
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+112
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Ali Sanchez will have an edge today.

Ali Sanchez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Ali Sanchez will have an edge today.

Otto Lopez Total Hits Props • Miami

O. Lopez
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

17% of the time that Otto Lopez has started against a left-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Extreme flyball bats like Otto Lopez tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Otto Lopez in today's game.

Otto Lopez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

17% of the time that Otto Lopez has started against a left-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Extreme flyball bats like Otto Lopez tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Otto Lopez in today's game.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-190
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Hitting from the same side that Yonny Chirinos throws from, Trea Turner has a tough challenge today. Over the past 7 days, Trea Turner's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 91.8 mph to 86.4 mph. In terms of his batting average, Trea Turner has had some very good luck this year. His .324 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .274.

Trea Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Hitting from the same side that Yonny Chirinos throws from, Trea Turner has a tough challenge today. Over the past 7 days, Trea Turner's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 91.8 mph to 86.4 mph. In terms of his batting average, Trea Turner has had some very good luck this year. His .324 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .274.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Bryson Stott's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 90.7 mph to 83.9 mph. Compared to his seasonal mark of 12.3°, Bryson Stott's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly in recent games (-2.1° in the past 14 days). From last season to this one, Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 17.4% to 14.3%.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst stadium in the majors for lefty batting average. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Bryson Stott's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 90.7 mph to 83.9 mph. Compared to his seasonal mark of 12.3°, Bryson Stott's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly in recent games (-2.1° in the past 14 days). From last season to this one, Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 17.4% to 14.3%.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Batting from the same side that Yonny Chirinos throws from, Alec Bohm will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. In the past week, Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 90.7 mph to 88.7 mph. Compared to his seasonal figure of 12°, Alec Bohm has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.4°) in the past two weeks.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst stadium in the majors for RHB batting average. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Batting from the same side that Yonny Chirinos throws from, Alec Bohm will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. In the past week, Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 90.7 mph to 88.7 mph. Compared to his seasonal figure of 12°, Alec Bohm has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.4°) in the past two weeks.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP talent. Brandon Marsh is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Yonny Chirinos in today's matchup.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP talent. Brandon Marsh is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Yonny Chirinos in today's matchup.

Tim Anderson Total Hits Props • Miami

T. Anderson
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP ability, Tim Anderson is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Tim Anderson will have an edge in today's matchup.

Tim Anderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his BABIP ability, Tim Anderson is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Tim Anderson will have an edge in today's matchup.

Emmanuel Rivera Total Hits Props • Miami

E. Rivera
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Emmanuel Rivera will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Emmanuel Rivera's true offensive talent to be a .303, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .065 gap between that figure and his actual .238 wOBA.

Emmanuel Rivera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Emmanuel Rivera will hold the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Emmanuel Rivera's true offensive talent to be a .303, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .065 gap between that figure and his actual .238 wOBA.

Dane Myers Total Hits Props • Miami

D. Myers
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-117
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-117
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Dane Myers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today.

Dane Myers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Dane Myers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez today.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

E. Sosa
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today's game.

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Edmundo Sosa will hold that advantage in today's game.

Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami

B. De La Cruz
left outfield LF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Bryan De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

Bryan De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Bryan De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Bell
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

Nick Castellanos Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

N. Castellanos
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

Nick Castellanos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

Johan Rojas Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Rojas
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Johan Rojas will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Johan Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins. Johan Rojas will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Whitley Merrifield Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

W. Merrifield
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

Whit Merrifield's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Whitley Merrifield

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Whit Merrifield's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Garrett Stubbs Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

G. Stubbs
catcher C • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Garrett Stubbs will have the handedness advantage against Yonny Chirinos in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Garrett Stubbs

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Garrett Stubbs will have the handedness advantage against Yonny Chirinos in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

David Dahl Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

D. Dahl
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Yonny Chirinos throws from, David Dahl will have an edge in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

David Dahl

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Yonny Chirinos throws from, David Dahl will have an edge in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Burger
third base 3B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jake Burger is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Jake Burger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game.

Jake Burger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jake Burger is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Jake Burger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game.

Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Clemens
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Yonny Chirinos throws from, Kody Clemens will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Kody Clemens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Yonny Chirinos throws from, Kody Clemens will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Miami Marlins.

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

N. Fortes
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Nick Fortes will have an advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .187 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has been unlucky given the .083 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .270.

Nick Fortes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all major league stadiums — generally good for dingers. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Nick Fortes will have an advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .187 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nick Fortes has been unlucky given the .083 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .270.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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