Fenway Park
Jarren Duran has gone under 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.
Batting from the same side that Kutter Crawford throws from, Bo Bichette will be at a disadvantage in today's game. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bo Bichette in today's matchup.
Rafael Devers has gone under 1.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Masataka Yoshida will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yariel Rodriguez in today's matchup. Masataka Yoshida has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today.
Batting from the same side that Kutter Crawford throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be in a tough position in today's game. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an advantage in today's game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest weather of all games today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Kevin Kiermaier will have an advantage today. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kevin Kiermaier stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Extreme groundball batters like Kevin Kiermaier are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kutter Crawford.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Isiah Kiner-Falefa usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kutter Crawford.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the hottest weather of all games today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 15-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Tyler O'Neill pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Reese McGuire will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yariel Rodriguez today. Reese McGuire will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage in today's matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. George Springer is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters.
Rob Refsnyder's BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Rob Refsnyder will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Enmanuel Valdez will have an advantage in today's game. Enmanuel Valdez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Enmanuel Valdez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Davis Schneider pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's game.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Danny Jansen pulls many of his flyballs (43.2% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage against Yariel Rodriguez today. Dominic Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage today.
David Hamilton has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (87% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 84°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, David Hamilton will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage today.
Justin Turner has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.
