STL +115 o11.0
CHC -125 u11.0
PHI +119 o7.0
BAL -129 u7.0
MIA +106 o8.5
WAS -114 u8.5
TB +106 o9.0
ATL -114 u9.0
CLE +116 o7.5
TOR -125 u7.5
SD -124 o7.0
NYM +114 u7.0
CIN +120 o9.5
MIL -130 u9.5
OAK +153 o8.5
MIN -167 u8.5
DET +115 o8.5
HOU -135 u8.5
PIT -140 o12.5
COL +120 u12.5
LAA +164 o8.5
SF -179 u8.5
CHW +159 o8.5
AZ -174 u8.5
KC +218 o8.0
LAD -242 u8.0
TEX +126 o7.5
SEA -137 u7.5
NYY -132 o9.0
BOS +122 u9.0
OAK +174 o9.0
MIN -191 u9.0
Sportsnet, Bally Sports Network

Toronto @ Detroit props

Comerica Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bo Bichette Total Hits Props • Toronto

B. Bichette
shortstop SS • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-165
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-165
Projection Rating

The 2nd-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Comerica Park. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the 4th-least humidity of all games on the slate today at 33%. Because of Matt Manning's large platoon split, Bo Bichette will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bo Bichette today.

Bo Bichette

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The 2nd-deepest centerfield dimensions among all major league parks are found in Comerica Park. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the 4th-least humidity of all games on the slate today at 33%. Because of Matt Manning's large platoon split, Bo Bichette will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bo Bichette today.

Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit

R. Greene
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

When estimating his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage over Alek Manoah today... and moreover, Manoah has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Riley Greene will hold that advantage in today's game.

Riley Greene

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage over Alek Manoah today... and moreover, Manoah has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Riley Greene will hold that advantage in today's game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Total Hits Props • Toronto

V. Guerrero Jr.
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the 4th-least humidity of all games on the slate today at 33%. Because of Matt Manning's large platoon split, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 2nd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks in the 6th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (11.5% rate since the start of last season).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the 4th-least humidity of all games on the slate today at 33%. Because of Matt Manning's large platoon split, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 2nd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks in the 6th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (11.5% rate since the start of last season).

Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit

J. Baez
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Javier Baez will hold that advantage in today's game. Javier Baez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .207 rate is a good deal lower than his .282 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Javier Baez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Javier Baez will hold that advantage in today's game. Javier Baez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .207 rate is a good deal lower than his .282 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kerry Carpenter Total Hits Props • Detroit

K. Carpenter
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Kerry Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage over Alek Manoah in today's matchup... and even better, Manoah has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kerry Carpenter will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Kerry Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Kerry Carpenter will hold the platoon advantage over Alek Manoah in today's matchup... and even better, Manoah has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Kerry Carpenter will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Wenceel Pérez Total Hits Props • Detroit

W. Pérez
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wenceel Perez in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Wenceel Perez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Wenceel Perez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Wenceel Perez has been hot of late, cruising to a .367 wOBA in the last 14 days.

Wenceel Pérez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wenceel Perez in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Wenceel Perez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Wenceel Perez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Wenceel Perez has been hot of late, cruising to a .367 wOBA in the last 14 days.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Toronto

I. Kiner-Falefa
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-233
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-233
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Extreme groundball hitters like Isiah Kiner-Falefa are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kenta Maeda. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today. When it comes to his batting average, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has had positive variance on his side this year. His .255 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .200.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Extreme groundball hitters like Isiah Kiner-Falefa are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kenta Maeda. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today. When it comes to his batting average, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has had positive variance on his side this year. His .255 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .200.

Davis Schneider Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Schneider
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-233
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-233
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team in action today. Davis Schneider has recorded a .380 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 97th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Davis Schneider

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Davis Schneider is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team in action today. Davis Schneider has recorded a .380 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 97th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-156
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-156
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Spencer Torkelson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Spencer Torkelson's true offensive ability to be a .327, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .055 disparity between that mark and his actual .272 wOBA. Spencer Torkelson has put up a .350 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 81st percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Spencer Torkelson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Spencer Torkelson's true offensive ability to be a .327, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .055 disparity between that mark and his actual .272 wOBA. Spencer Torkelson has put up a .350 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 81st percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Mark Canha Total Hits Props • Detroit

M. Canha
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Mark Canha ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Canha is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Mark Canha will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mark Canha has displayed strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 79th percentile with a 1.84 K/BB rate.

Mark Canha

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Mark Canha ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Canha is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Mark Canha will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Mark Canha has displayed strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 79th percentile with a 1.84 K/BB rate.

Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Jansen
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

Danny Jansen is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today. Danny Jansen grades out in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season). By putting up a .359 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Danny Jansen is positioned in the 92nd percentile.

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Danny Jansen is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today. Danny Jansen grades out in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.4% rate since the start of last season). By putting up a .359 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Danny Jansen is positioned in the 92nd percentile.

Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto

K. Kiermaier
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Kevin Kiermaier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Manning in today's game... and even more favorably, Manning has a large platoon split. Extreme groundball batters like Kevin Kiermaier tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kenta Maeda. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today. In notching a .327 BABIP since the start of last season, Kevin Kiermaier is ranked in the 86th percentile.

Kevin Kiermaier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Kevin Kiermaier will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Manning in today's game... and even more favorably, Manning has a large platoon split. Extreme groundball batters like Kevin Kiermaier tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kenta Maeda. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today. In notching a .327 BABIP since the start of last season, Kevin Kiermaier is ranked in the 86th percentile.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

G. Springer
right outfield RF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today. George Springer has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .190 BA is a fair amount lower than his .313 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Placing in the 94th percentile, the hardest ball George Springer has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.9 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

George Springer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today. George Springer has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .190 BA is a fair amount lower than his .313 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Placing in the 94th percentile, the hardest ball George Springer has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.9 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

Matt Vierling Total Hits Props • Detroit

M. Vierling
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Matt Vierling is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Matt Vierling will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, Matt Vierling is in the 79th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .274.

Matt Vierling

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Matt Vierling is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Matt Vierling will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, Matt Vierling is in the 79th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .274.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Varsho
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Given Matt Manning's large platoon split, Daulton Varsho will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.214) suggests that Daulton Varsho has suffered from bad luck this year with his .213 actual batting average.

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 1st in the batting order today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Given Matt Manning's large platoon split, Daulton Varsho will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.214) suggests that Daulton Varsho has suffered from bad luck this year with his .213 actual batting average.

Cavan Biggio Total Hits Props • Toronto

C. Biggio
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Cavan Biggio will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Manning in today's game... and even better, Manning has a large platoon split. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today. Cavan Biggio ranks in the 100th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (23% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Cavan Biggio's launch angle since the start of last season (26.5°) is in the 79th percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

Cavan Biggio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Cavan Biggio will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Manning in today's game... and even better, Manning has a large platoon split. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today. Cavan Biggio ranks in the 100th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (23% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Cavan Biggio's launch angle since the start of last season (26.5°) is in the 79th percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Detroit

C. Kelly
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Carson Kelly will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Carson Kelly will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jake Rogers Total Hits Props • Detroit

J. Rogers
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jake Rogers will hold that advantage today. Jake Rogers has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .215 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .231 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Jake Rogers's 12% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers. Jake Rogers's 95.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season.

Jake Rogers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jake Rogers will hold that advantage today. Jake Rogers has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .215 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .231 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Since the start of last season, Jake Rogers's 12% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers. Jake Rogers's 95.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season.

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Z. McKinstry
right outfield RF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Zach McKinstry will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alek Manoah in today's game... and even better, Manoah has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Zach McKinstry will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Zach McKinstry has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .226 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .260. Zach McKinstry's 17.7° launch angle (a reliable metric to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in the league: 88th percentile.

Zach McKinstry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Zach McKinstry will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alek Manoah in today's game... and even better, Manoah has a large platoon split. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Zach McKinstry will hold that advantage in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Zach McKinstry has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .226 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .260. Zach McKinstry's 17.7° launch angle (a reliable metric to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in the league: 88th percentile.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Toronto

J. Turner
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Justin Turner is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today. Justin Turner has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 15.9° mark is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (85th percentile). By putting up a 1.62 K/BB rate this year, Justin Turner has demonstrated strong plate discipline, ranking in the 86th percentile.

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Justin Turner is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of every team in action today. Justin Turner has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 15.9° mark is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (85th percentile). By putting up a 1.62 K/BB rate this year, Justin Turner has demonstrated strong plate discipline, ranking in the 86th percentile.

Colt Keith Total Hits Props • Detroit

C. Keith
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Considering Alek Manoah's large platoon split, Colt Keith will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Colt Keith will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .247 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Colt Keith has had bad variance on his side given the .053 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .300.

Colt Keith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. Considering Alek Manoah's large platoon split, Colt Keith will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Colt Keith will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Despite posting a .247 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Colt Keith has had bad variance on his side given the .053 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .300.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast