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New York @ Houston props

Minute Maid Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Soto
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the majors. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Juan Soto's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 93.1-mph now compared to just 90.9-mph then. Utilizing Statcast data, Juan Soto grades out in the 95th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .386.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the majors. Juan Soto is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Juan Soto's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 93.1-mph now compared to just 90.9-mph then. Utilizing Statcast data, Juan Soto grades out in the 95th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .386.

Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Houston

K. Tucker
right outfield RF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Kyle Tucker will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Kyle Tucker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Kyle Tucker will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Gleyber Torres Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Torres
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-233
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-233
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Gleyber Torres will have the upper hand in today's game. Gleyber Torres has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .273 figure is a good deal lower than his .287 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Gleyber Torres

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Gleyber Torres will have the upper hand in today's game. Gleyber Torres has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .273 figure is a good deal lower than his .287 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Aaron Judge Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Judge
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

Aaron Judge projects as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Minute Maid Park has the shallowest LF fences among all stadiums. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez today.

Aaron Judge

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Aaron Judge projects as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Minute Maid Park has the shallowest LF fences among all stadiums. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez today.

Yordan Alvarez Total Hits Props • Houston

Y. Alvarez
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the best batter in MLB. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Yordan Alvarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Yordan Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the best batter in MLB. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Yordan Alvarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Anthony Rizzo Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Rizzo
first base 1B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Anthony Rizzo's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 39.5% to 47.5%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Anthony Rizzo's true offensive skill to be a .325, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .011 deviation between that figure and his actual .314 wOBA. The standard deviation of Anthony Rizzo's launch angle this year (24.6°) is in the 95th percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

Anthony Rizzo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Anthony Rizzo's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 39.5% to 47.5%. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Anthony Rizzo's true offensive skill to be a .325, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .011 deviation between that figure and his actual .314 wOBA. The standard deviation of Anthony Rizzo's launch angle this year (24.6°) is in the 95th percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

Oswaldo Cabrera Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

O. Cabrera
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Oswaldo Cabrera pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Oswaldo Cabrera has been unlucky this year, compiling a .257 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .287 — a .030 difference.

Oswaldo Cabrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Oswaldo Cabrera pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences today. Oswaldo Cabrera has been unlucky this year, compiling a .257 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .287 — a .030 difference.

Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Pena
shortstop SS • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Minute Maid Park has the shallowest LF fences among all stadiums. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Jeremy Pena will have an advantage today. Extreme flyball bats like Jeremy Pena usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nestor Cortes.

Jeremy Pena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Minute Maid Park has the shallowest LF fences among all stadiums. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Jeremy Pena will have an advantage today. Extreme flyball bats like Jeremy Pena usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nestor Cortes.

Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Altuve
second base 2B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jose Altuve ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Jose Altuve will have the handedness advantage against Nestor Cortes in today's game. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Jose Altuve

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jose Altuve ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Jose Altuve will have the handedness advantage against Nestor Cortes in today's game. Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Jose Trevino Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Trevino
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-170
Projection Rating

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Jose Trevino will have the handedness advantage over Framber Valdez in today's matchup. In terms of his batting average, Jose Trevino has suffered from bad luck this year. His .210 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .258.

Jose Trevino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Jose Trevino will have the handedness advantage over Framber Valdez in today's matchup. In terms of his batting average, Jose Trevino has suffered from bad luck this year. His .210 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .258.

Anthony Volpe Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Volpe
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Minute Maid Park has the shallowest LF fences among all stadiums. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Anthony Volpe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Anthony Volpe are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

Anthony Volpe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Minute Maid Park has the shallowest LF fences among all stadiums. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Anthony Volpe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today's matchup. Extreme flyball bats like Anthony Volpe are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

Jake Meyers Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Meyers
center outfield CF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Jake Meyers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nestor Cortes today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Jake Meyers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jake Meyers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Jake Meyers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nestor Cortes today. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Jake Meyers will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Jose Abreu Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Abreu
first base 1B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Abreu in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Jose Abreu is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Jose Abreu will have an advantage in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

Jose Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Abreu in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Jose Abreu is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Jose Abreu will have an advantage in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

Yainer Diaz Total Hits Props • Houston

Y. Diaz
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Yainer Diaz will have an advantage in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Yainer Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Yainer Diaz will have an advantage in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Giancarlo Stanton Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

G. Stanton
designated hitter DH • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Minute Maid Park has the shallowest LF fences among all stadiums. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Giancarlo Stanton will have an edge today.

Giancarlo Stanton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Minute Maid Park has the shallowest LF fences among all stadiums. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Giancarlo Stanton will have an edge today.

Chas McCormick Total Hits Props • Houston

C. McCormick
center outfield CF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Chas McCormick will have an advantage in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Chas McCormick will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Chas McCormick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Chas McCormick will have an advantage in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Chas McCormick will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Houston

A. Bregman
third base 3B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-204
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-204
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Alex Bregman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Alex Bregman will have the handedness advantage over Nestor Cortes today. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Alex Bregman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The Minute Maid Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 12° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense. Alex Bregman will have the handedness advantage over Nestor Cortes today. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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