Spain vs Georgia Odds, Picks & Predictions: Spain Strike Swiftly on Day 15 of Euro 2024

Georgia defied all odds and reached the Round of 16 at Euro 2024. But do they stand any chance in front of a cultured and skilful Spanish side?

We explore their chances, while my Spain vs. Georgia prediction calls for early offense in Cologne on Sunday, June 30.

Spain topped Group B, winning all their three matches, and I don't expect any real headaches vs Georgia. My Euro 2024 picks explain why below.

Spain vs Georgia picks, predictions, and betting tips

My best bet:
Over 1.5 goals in first half (+145 at Betano)

My analysis
Spain will not want to wait long before they settle things in this encounter. In their tough Euro 2024 opener against Croatia, they scored three times inside the first 45 minutes. Also in the first half, they wasted a handful of chances in front of Italy, in their second Group B outing.

Italian keeper Gianluigi Donnarumma needed to rise to the challenge, as he was kept busy inside his box. Creating danger in the opposite final thirds is Spain's way of life. They will try to find the net fast against Georgia, at +145, Betano offers a fantastic return for a bet on over 1.5 goals.

Despite Spain not conceding thus far in the tournament, an interesting stat supports our angle to somehow scare La Roja: Georgia have scored in the first half in seven of their last eight international matches, including the game against Portugal, which sealed their spot in the Round of 16. Georgia’s danger duo of Georges Mikautadze and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia is totally worth keeping an eye on.

Mikautadze was involved in all four goals scored by Georgia in this tournament, netting three times and assisting another. Kvaratskhelia, Napoli's magician, travels to Cologne with a decent track record. He scored against Spain in two of the last four international matches he played for Georgia.

Speaking of direct matches, know that Spain and Georgia were part of the same group in the Euro 2024 qualifiers. Spain won both home and away. The score on aggregate? 10-2. Spain beat Georgia 7-1 in Tbilisi, with the return leg seeing them 3-1 winners. Alvaro Morata hit a hat-trick in the match played in Georgia less than a year ago (September 2023). 

It's difficult to see Spain troubled profoundly in this Round of 16 tilt, and there should be goals and entertainment in this game.

Spain vs Georgia same-game parlay (SGP)

Over 1.5 goals in first half

Spain Over 6.5 corners 

Alvaro Morata 2+ shots on target

+510 at Betano

There will be lots of action in the Georgian box, that's for sure. The Georgians will hope Valencia's star-keeper Mamardashvili will be at his best. So far, Mamardashvili has made the highest number of saves at Euro 2024 (20). Spain had 16 corners so far in the tournament. Georgia will try to get as many feet in as possible down the centre of the pitch, in their attempt to block spaces for through passes. 

So, the wings will play a key role in Spain's game. Expect the wide players to either cut in and finish actions shooting or to cross, looking out for Alvaro Morata. There's a high probability that they’ll enjoy many corners in this game. Morata, the man who scored a hat-trick against Georgia less than a year ago in the Euro 2024 qualifiers, will certainly look to harm them again. We won't go for goals this time, but a bet on 2+ shots on target next to his name looks likely to go green.

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Spain vs Georgia odds

Odds courtesy of Betano on 6-29.

Spain vs Georgia game info

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