Euro 2024 Top Goal Scorer Odds: Golden Boot Race is Wide Open

Euro 2024 kicked off last week, but the two pretournament favorites, Kylian Mbappe and Harry Kane both failed to find the scoresheet. The board is now as wide open as ever. See how the rest of the odds board fills out below.

Chris Vasile - Publishing Editor at Covers.com
Chris Vasile • Publishing Editor
Jun 17, 2024 • 17:10 ET • 5 min read
France forward Kylian Mbappe (10) celebrates after scoring a goal against Argentina on a penalty kick for his third goal of the match during extra time of the 2022 World Cup final at Lusail Stadium.
Photo By - Sipa USA

Euro 2024 is fully underway, with Euro 2024 odds set to be a hot topic for the month. 

In addition to traditional side and total betting markets, the Euro 2024 top goal scorer odds are a very popular market for the tournament. Otherwise known as the Golden Boot award, this market — a personal favorite — stands out above all the other Euro 2024 odds.

Top goal scorer odds for Euro 2024

Kylian Mbappe (+400) and Harry Kane (+850) lead the Euro 2024 Top scorer odds. 

Player Betano
France Kylian Mbappe +750
England Harry Kane +750
Portugal Cristiano Ronaldo +800
Germany Kai Havertz +1,400
England Jude Bellingham +1,400
Belgium Romelu Lukaku +1,700
Spain Alvaro Morata +1,700
Germany Florian Wirtz +2,400
Netherlands Cody Gakpo +2,900
England Phil Foden +2,900
Germany Jamal Musiala +2,900
France Antoine Griezmann +3,400

Odds as of 6-17-24

What to look for in a Golden Boot winner

The Golden Boot has been awarded to the top goal scorer at the European Championships each edition since 1960. With any award-based betting market, it is important to identify the qualification traits of winners in relation to the progression of their team. In other words, what do the teams of previous winners all have in common?

Bettors would be wise to look at tournaments dating back to 1996 rather than 1960 due to the expansion of the format. Here are the qualifying baselines in the previous six editions of the Championship:

  • Average goals: 4.71 (five goals needed to win in five of seven events)
  • All winners have played for teams that reach at least the semifinals
  • Three of seven winners have played for the team that won the tournament
  • Six of seven winners have been on teams at odds of 10/1 or less to begin the tournament

In summary, when looking for a top goal scorer bet, seek a player who can score at least five goals from a team priced at odds of 8/1 or less that can be projected to make at least the semifinals.

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Best bets for top goal scorer

Two players stand out which fit the above criteria:

Harry Kane (+550)

"To be the man, you have to score the goals that takes your country to a second straight Euro Finals" — or something like that.

Harry Kane has long been the man for England and with the talent and quality England possess all over the pitch, the time is now for the Three Lions to roar loud and taste glory in Germany. 

Much was made of Harry Kane's titleless debut season for Bayern Munich, but the No. 9 found the back of the net plenty. He scored 36 times in 32 league matches and added another eight in 12 Champions League fixtures. 

He's in form, and for his country, he notched eight goals in eight Euro qualifiers. Kane averages 0.69 goals per match for England which would project him at 4.87 (right at the historical average to win the award).

England has a relatively easy group with Slovenia, Serbia, and Denmark, and the man who netted a career-high in goals should be front and center when it matters most. 

Cristiano Ronaldo (+1,100)

If you've seen very little of Cristiano Ronaldo after his move to Al Nassr, don't worry, you're not alone. However, I am here to tell you that Ronaldo, at the young age of 39, is still scoring goals for fun. 

Yes, a case can be made that it's the Saudi League and that the competition level is not quite up to par with Europe, but there's no denying the man's ability to put the ball in the back of the net. And Portugal is going to need that from him if they are to make a deep run in this tournament. 

Ronaldo netted 10 times in nine Euro qualifiers for Portugal and is averaging 0.62 goals per game for his country which would project him for 4.34 goals if Portugal made the finals (just off the historical average).  

It should also be noted that he's the all-time goal-scoring leader for Men's international competition with 128. He's been around long enough and he's still effective. 

Given the fact he's not new to winning this award, at +1,100 on a Portugal side that gets to play Georgia, Turkey, and the Czech Republic, I wouldn't be shocked if he's not sitting at four goals heading into the knockout stage. 

Both picks made pre-tournament

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Top goal scorer market explained

The Euro 2024 top goal scorer market is a futures market where you're simply betting on which player will win the Golden Boot award by leading the tournament in goals scored. All matches played in the tournament count towards a player's goal total. Goals scored in penalty shootouts do not. 

What happens if it's a tie?

If two or more players are tied for the goal-scoring lead at the end of the tournament, the market will result in a dead heat. This means the amount you were set to win will be divided by the number of players who tie for the lead. 

For example, let's say you have a ticket that pays out $550 for Harry Kane to be the top goal scorer. If he finishes tied with one other player, that bet would now pay $225 ($500 / 2). If he finishes tied with two other players, the bet would pay out $183.33 ($550 / 3).

How to read top goal scorer odds 

The above odds for top goal scorer are in American format. All odds with a positive sign (+) indicate the amount you will win for every $100 wagered. For example, a $100 bet on Harry Kane at +550 would profit $550. And a $100 bet on Kai Havertz at +3,300 would profit $3,300.

As the tournament progresses, you might see a favorite emerge with negative (-) odds. This means that you would need to wager the amount of the odds to win $100. So if Kylian Mbappé drops to -130 later in the tournament, you'd need to wager $130 to win $100.

You can change American odds to decimal, fractional, or implied probability with our odds converter.

Euro top goal scorer history

Portugal's Cristiano Ronaldo won the 2020 Golden Boot because of the tiebreaker rule after he tied with Patrick Schick at five goals. There has been a tie for top goal scorer six times in tournament history.

Year Player Country Goals
2020 2 players tied Multiple 5
2016 Antoine Griezmann France 6
2012 6 players tied Multiple 3
2008 David Villa Spain 4
2004 Milan Baroš Czech Republic 5
2000 2 players tied Multiple 5
1996 Alan Shearer England 5
1992 4 players tied Multiple 3
1988 Marco van Basten Netherlands 5
1984 Michel Platini France 9
1980 Klaus Allofs Germany 3
1976 Dieter Müller Germany 4
1972 Gerd Müller Germany 4
1968 Dragan Džaji? Yugoslavia 2
1964 3 players tied Multiple 2
1960 5 players tied Multiple 2

Where can I bet on the European Championship?

With 24 teams vying for the trophy, interest, and betting action on "the beautiful game" has never been higher.

Read our list of the most trusted soccer betting sites to capitalize on Euro tournament bonuses and promotions.

Euro top goal scorer FAQs

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