It’s down to two Big West Conference teams vying for an automatic berth into next week’s Big Dance when the Long Beach State Beach meet the UC Davis Aggies in the Big West Tournament finale.
Long Beach State ended the regular season tied for fifth place in the conference standings but is riding a two-game winning streak entering Saturday’s clash.
UC Davis is the slight college basketball odds favorite, and the Aggies are hoping to continue a four-game winning streak that ends with a Conference Tournament championship.
With March Madness odds on the board, can Long Beach State pull off the upset? Join me as I examine this Big West Tournament finals matchup with free college basketball picks for Long Beach State vs. UC Davis on Saturday, March 16.
Long Beach vs UC Davis best odds
Long Beach vs UC Davis picks and predictions
Saturday night’s Big West Conference Tournament finale should be a dandy between two programs hoping to prove their preseason critics wrong. The Long Beach State Beach were tabbed to finish second on the conference table, but a five-game losing streak to end their regular season derailed any conference title hopes the Beach may have entertained.
Long Beach State has the conference's best-scoring offense, averaging 77.7 points per tilt. The Beach haven’t disappointed during this tourney run, scoring 83 or more points in each of their two games at Dollar Loan Center.
The Beach also snag the second-most offensive rebounds in the conference and produce an average of 16.1 points off of turnovers. They could enjoy similar success tonight against the UC Davis Aggies.
Long Beach State has the big offense, but it faces the conference's second-best scoring defense tonight. The Aggies allow the second-fewest points per game in the Big West and have held opponents to under 68 points in three of their previous four tilts.
The Aggies must play formidable defense because their offensive unit sometimes rides the struggle bus. UC Davis averages 71.4 points per game, ranking seventh in the conference. Davis boasts decent shooters from inside and outside the arc, but its problem is its high turnover rate, resulting in 13.1 points per tilt from miscues.
Long Beach State should’ve won the conference but struggled mightily down the stretch, losing five straight and finishing fifth in the Big West. However, the Beach have since bounced back, scoring 83 points or more in their two tourney tilts.
The Beach are the better scoring, rebounding, and passing team, and those three factors will propel them to an upset victory over the Aggies tonight.
My best bet: Long Beach moneyline (+120 at DraftKings)
Long Beach vs UC Davis same-game parlay
Long Beach State moneyline
Long Beach State team total Over 71.5
UC Davis team total Under 72.5
Long Beach State averages 76.9 points per away tilt this season and has cleared that number in three of its past five away games. Meanwhile, UC Davis doesn’t score away from home — it averages just 69.9 points per game on the board as the visitors and has cleared its team total only twice in its previous five away tilts.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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Long Beach vs UC Davis spread and Over/Under analysis
We should expect closely contested contests when these two programs hit the hardwood. Except for last week's meeting, four of their last five head-to-head matchups have ended in winning margins of +4 or fewer.
The total might be a different story. We have seen openers from 143 to 144.5, and because the public likes high-scoring clashes, we could see all sorts of movement before tip-off.
The Over/Under record in their last 10 meetings stands at 5-5-0. Long Beach State has hit the Over in six out of their last 10 games, while UC Davis has trended towards the Under with a 3-7-0 mark in their previous 10 matchups.
Long Beach vs UC Davis betting trend to know
The Beach are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight-up win. Find more college basketball betting trends for Long Beach vs. UC Davis.
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Long Beach vs UC Davis game info
| Location: | Dollar Loan Center, Henderson, NV |
| Date: | Saturday, March 16, 2024 |
| Tip-off: | 9:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ESPN2 |
Long Beach vs UC Davis key injuries
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