It's the Battle for Los Angeles on the diamond as the Dodgers host the Angels, and my favorite MLB picks for today focus on Dodgers pitcher Tyler Glasnow. See why I'm backing Glasnow as well as Boston slugger Rafael Devers while fading Baltimore ace Corbin Burnes with my best free MLB player props for Saturday, June 22.
MLB props for June 22
- Devers Over 1.5 total bases (-110 at DraftKings)
- Burnes Under 6.5 strikeouts (-140 at Sports Interaction)
- Glasnow Over 8.5 strikeouts (+128 at bet365)
Picks made on 6-22 at 10:15 a.m. ET.
Best MLB bets today
Prop bet #1: Raf's on a roll
Rafael Devers is the best hitter on the Boston Red Sox and is slashing .274/.362/.535 with 129 total bases in 64 games. The two-time Silver Slugger winner has a fantastic matchup tonight at hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark against Cincinnati Reds starter Frankie Montas.
Devers has gone 5-for-11 with a pair of doubles in his career against Montas and the Reds hurler has pitched to a 4.62 ERA through 13 starts this year.
In addition, Montas struggles against left-handed hitters, allowing them to bat .276, and Devers thrives with the platoon advantage. Devers has a .600 slugging percentage against righties this year and is slugging .550 against them in his career.
Rafael Devers prop: Over 1.5 total bases (-110 at DraftKings)
Prop bet #2: Burnes goes below
Corbin Burnes has been lights-out in his first season with the Baltimore Orioles, pitching to a 2.14 ERA with a 1.04 WHIP through 92 2/3 innings. That said, Burnes isn't the fireballer he was earlier in his career and his strikeout rate of 24.2% is significantly lower than the 36.7% it topped out at in 2020.
Burnes won't have an easy time generating punchouts against a disciplined Houston Astros lineup today. The 'Stros have the lowest strikeout rate in the majors (18.2%) while boasting the third-lowest whiff rate. With Burnes fanning fewer than seven batters in 12 of his last 14 starts, the Under 6.5 is an obvious play here.
Corbin Burnes prop: Under 6.5 strikeouts (-140 at Sports Interaction)
Prop bet #3: Time is 'now
The Angels and Dodgers continue their inter-city showdown this evening with Tyler Glasnow taking the mound for the home side.
The towering right-hander looks like he has put his injury woes behind him and leads the majors with 125 strikeouts in just 93 innings. The O/U for his strikeouts today opened at just 7.5 and while that has shifted to 8.5 at most books, it still provides good value at plus money.
Keep in mind that Glasnow has fanned 9+ batters in seven of his last 10 starts and the Halos have struggled at the dish. They are batting just .230 against righties and are 17th in the majors in strikeout rate (23.1%), with that number ticking up to 25.9% over the last week.
Tyler Glasnow prop: Over 8.5 strikeouts (+128 at bet365)
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