The Running Dogs
Jax State +1.5
Miami, Ohio +4.5
Old Dominion +3 (Push)
Northern Illinois +1.5
Bowling Green +6 (Push)
Kentucky +7
Cal +3.5
Georgia St +1.5
Toledo +3
Tulane +8.5
Ohio +3
Other Plays
UCLA -2
Air Force +3
Jax St/ULL under 30 1H
NMST -0.5 2H
USF +3
Texas St/Rice over 59
North Carolina +6
USC/Louisville under 59
Ohio St/Mizzou under 49
Texas -4
Iowa +5.5
LSU/Wisconsin over 57.5
Michigan ML
Michigan/UW under 58
Running Dogs: 7-2
Other Plays: 9-5
That under was much easier than I thought it would be. It's been a great bowl season. See you guys next year.
The Running Dogs
Jax State +1.5
Miami, Ohio +4.5
Old Dominion +3 (Push)
Northern Illinois +1.5
Bowling Green +6 (Push)
Kentucky +7
Cal +3.5
Georgia St +1.5
Toledo +3
Tulane +8.5
Ohio +3
Other Plays
UCLA -2
Air Force +3
Jax St/ULL under 30 1H
NMST -0.5 2H
USF +3
Texas St/Rice over 59
North Carolina +6
USC/Louisville under 59
Ohio St/Mizzou under 49
Texas -4
Iowa +5.5
LSU/Wisconsin over 57.5
Michigan ML
Michigan/UW under 58
Running Dogs: 7-2
Other Plays: 9-5
That under was much easier than I thought it would be. It's been a great bowl season. See you guys next year.
Dr Strangelove - have you all looked at what the running dog record would be if you used rushing yards per game instead of YPC in the formula? just wondering if you’ve found YPC to be the better predictor than yards. looking at the actual running dogs, which is based on yards not YPC. thanks i’ll hang up and listen.
Dr Strangelove - have you all looked at what the running dog record would be if you used rushing yards per game instead of YPC in the formula? just wondering if you’ve found YPC to be the better predictor than yards. looking at the actual running dogs, which is based on yards not YPC. thanks i’ll hang up and listen.
Early in the 2023 season San Jose State's rushing numbers looked awful, but their YPC (for & against) wasn't all that bad considering their tough competetion and facing some pretty wicked rushing defenses. By the time they got into October and started facing teams in their own conference and level, they started reeling off some nice ATS wins. I believe they covered 6 of their last 7 games. Your average weekend bettors probably looked at their basic rushing yards along with their defensive stats and undervalued them by not digging into the nuts and bolts of the team. I'll be the first to say that the theory isn't perfect, especially in the first 4 or 5 weeks of the season before these teams get some stats under their belts. But at around a 60% accuracy rate in the bowls the last 15 years or so, it's been a great tool. BOL this season.
Early in the 2023 season San Jose State's rushing numbers looked awful, but their YPC (for & against) wasn't all that bad considering their tough competetion and facing some pretty wicked rushing defenses. By the time they got into October and started facing teams in their own conference and level, they started reeling off some nice ATS wins. I believe they covered 6 of their last 7 games. Your average weekend bettors probably looked at their basic rushing yards along with their defensive stats and undervalued them by not digging into the nuts and bolts of the team. I'll be the first to say that the theory isn't perfect, especially in the first 4 or 5 weeks of the season before these teams get some stats under their belts. But at around a 60% accuracy rate in the bowls the last 15 years or so, it's been a great tool. BOL this season.
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