Took one on the chin for the second time from Matt Waldron yesterday. Now responsible for 2 of my 7 losses, he's the first pitcher this season to make my "Never Again" list. I won't fade him either, cause he'll probably pitch a gem. If he's starting, it becomes a game I won't even look at.
Moving on to today's play:
1) This is a revenge spot for Texas. Oakland took 2 of 3 from them earlier this season. When you lose a series to Oakland, that's something you don't forget.
2) Texas seems to have turned a corner and put the World Series hangover behind them. They've been playing good baseball lately, winning 5 of their last 7 and taking the latest series from KC.
3) At just under 500, Oakland has clearly been overachieving. They're a bad team and even with the decent record, their run differential is still -23. And if you look closely, they've pretty much been beating up on other bad teams; Pirates and Marlins most recently. I expect them to come back down to earth, starting with the reigning champs. If you're wondering, Texas has a +24 run differential and I anticipate that significantly increasing after this series.
4) Texas has seen quite a bit of Alex Wood. As a team in 63 ABs, they're hitting a solid; 286 avg/357 OBP/460 SLG/817 OPS
5) Oakland isn't as familiar with Heaney and their numbers aren't good either. They've seen him for 33 ABs and are hitting; 212 avg/333 OBP/394 SLG/727 OPS
6) Bottom line - Revenge Spot, better team, better starter, better numbers vs, and at a relatively good price.
I'm on Texas at -136 for 5 units and Texas +130 (-1.5) for 1 unit
Took one on the chin for the second time from Matt Waldron yesterday. Now responsible for 2 of my 7 losses, he's the first pitcher this season to make my "Never Again" list. I won't fade him either, cause he'll probably pitch a gem. If he's starting, it becomes a game I won't even look at.
Moving on to today's play:
1) This is a revenge spot for Texas. Oakland took 2 of 3 from them earlier this season. When you lose a series to Oakland, that's something you don't forget.
2) Texas seems to have turned a corner and put the World Series hangover behind them. They've been playing good baseball lately, winning 5 of their last 7 and taking the latest series from KC.
3) At just under 500, Oakland has clearly been overachieving. They're a bad team and even with the decent record, their run differential is still -23. And if you look closely, they've pretty much been beating up on other bad teams; Pirates and Marlins most recently. I expect them to come back down to earth, starting with the reigning champs. If you're wondering, Texas has a +24 run differential and I anticipate that significantly increasing after this series.
4) Texas has seen quite a bit of Alex Wood. As a team in 63 ABs, they're hitting a solid; 286 avg/357 OBP/460 SLG/817 OPS
5) Oakland isn't as familiar with Heaney and their numbers aren't good either. They've seen him for 33 ABs and are hitting; 212 avg/333 OBP/394 SLG/727 OPS
6) Bottom line - Revenge Spot, better team, better starter, better numbers vs, and at a relatively good price.
I'm on Texas at -136 for 5 units and Texas +130 (-1.5) for 1 unit
@FelixFermin21 - On your team again, Felix! Let's get it
@LSU0626 - Yo LSU, you know I'm not a totals guy. And I'm not sure I trust Heaney enough to take that bet. I'm much more confident that Texas will outscore Oakland tonight and win the game.
@FelixFermin21 - On your team again, Felix! Let's get it
@LSU0626 - Yo LSU, you know I'm not a totals guy. And I'm not sure I trust Heaney enough to take that bet. I'm much more confident that Texas will outscore Oakland tonight and win the game.
Like the pick as well but Heany on the mound is the reason why your getting that price
Thanks Seymour! Yes, Heaney is part of the good price. Also, the travel and time difference from KC to Oakland is factored in. I still have Heaney rated higher than Wood and I think the Rangers will be wide awake for some revenge. Cheers
Like the pick as well but Heany on the mound is the reason why your getting that price
Thanks Seymour! Yes, Heaney is part of the good price. Also, the travel and time difference from KC to Oakland is factored in. I still have Heaney rated higher than Wood and I think the Rangers will be wide awake for some revenge. Cheers
Quote Originally Posted by davemsh: rangers have been playing better as of late but look who they have played last 3 series.. reds..nationals.. royals…. Fair point Dave. But, I have all 3 of those teams rated higher than Oakland.
Reds are in a free fall.. worse offense in baseball. Royals have come back to earth big time. Nationals are ok. A’s are a much improved team. Stripling..Wood.. Blackburn is pretty decent rotation They have one of the best unknown closers in baseball in Mason Miller. Offense is starting to pick up for the A’s. Heaney is hit or miss same as Wood
Quote Originally Posted by davemsh: rangers have been playing better as of late but look who they have played last 3 series.. reds..nationals.. royals…. Fair point Dave. But, I have all 3 of those teams rated higher than Oakland.
Reds are in a free fall.. worse offense in baseball. Royals have come back to earth big time. Nationals are ok. A’s are a much improved team. Stripling..Wood.. Blackburn is pretty decent rotation They have one of the best unknown closers in baseball in Mason Miller. Offense is starting to pick up for the A’s. Heaney is hit or miss same as Wood
Quote Originally Posted by Kaufee: Quote Originally Posted by davemsh: rangers have been playing better as of late but look who they have played last 3 series.. reds..nationals.. royals…. Fair point Dave. But, I have all 3 of those teams rated higher than Oakland. Reds are in a free fall.. worse offense in baseball. Royals have come back to earth big time. Nationals are ok. A’s are a much improved team. Stripling..Wood.. Blackburn is pretty decent rotation They have one of the best unknown closers in baseball in Mason Miller. Offense is starting to pick up for the A’s. Heaney is hit or miss same as Wood
Of course, you can make an argument. I still have all 3 of those teams rated higher than Oakland. Most of Oakland's roster would be in the minors if they played for another organization. They really only have a few true pros. Can they beat Texas tonight? Absolutely. That's why they play the game. Do I think they beat Texas tonight? Absolutely not. And that's why I'm on this game. Lastly, I'm not betting the house, it's a pretty standard play. But, I do like my chances.
Quote Originally Posted by Kaufee: Quote Originally Posted by davemsh: rangers have been playing better as of late but look who they have played last 3 series.. reds..nationals.. royals…. Fair point Dave. But, I have all 3 of those teams rated higher than Oakland. Reds are in a free fall.. worse offense in baseball. Royals have come back to earth big time. Nationals are ok. A’s are a much improved team. Stripling..Wood.. Blackburn is pretty decent rotation They have one of the best unknown closers in baseball in Mason Miller. Offense is starting to pick up for the A’s. Heaney is hit or miss same as Wood
Of course, you can make an argument. I still have all 3 of those teams rated higher than Oakland. Most of Oakland's roster would be in the minors if they played for another organization. They really only have a few true pros. Can they beat Texas tonight? Absolutely. That's why they play the game. Do I think they beat Texas tonight? Absolutely not. And that's why I'm on this game. Lastly, I'm not betting the house, it's a pretty standard play. But, I do like my chances.
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