mchriste619

@Buffalobob89074

I would lean on Atlanta if Daniels starts as he could still be a tad gimpy and won't be nearly as effective without his wheels at close to 100%, plus it sounds like Scary Terry could miss week 4, which would obviously be a big loss. Commies also don't have much of a running game so far. I think Atlanta is closer to what we saw in weeks 1 and 2 than in week 3. Penix was absolutely garbage last week though. 

No official units this week from me, but if I did, definitely Tennessee +7.5, Seattle -1, GB -7 and Vikes -2.5. Houston should not be favored by anything over 3 right now at all until they can actually show some offensive improvements. Cards lost RB Conner and a few CBs to injury and just doesn't seem like Murray to MHJ is gonna be a great connection. Seattle has won 5 in a row and is 4-1 ATS last 5 meetings vs Cardinals. Seems like RB Charbonnet should return this week as well.

I think GB is going to win by 17 or more points as the Parsons revenge game. No Lamb and Pickens isn't a WR1 but has to play as one. GB has a few o line concerns though.....if only Dallas had a supreme pass rusher. Liked what I saw out of Vikings last week. Mason is clearly superior runner to Jones and Addison should be back at WR. Steelers were gifted a win due to a million NE turnovers last week. 

@Digitalkarma

 Love your write ups man! Keep up the solid analysis as always. I was a huge Chargers fan for over 30 years until they moved to LA and rooted for them until Rivers left. Now just root for fantasy players, some ATS plays, pick em plays and survivor. I'd love to see Lamar win a ring! Yeah Giants o line sucks and maybe they should have waited to throw Darts until they play the Saints. However, could see that extra energy from all the players on Sunday and the fans resulting in a Giants upset. 

@mrusso

 Good points indeed! Yeah I totally forgot that TB had been a bit of a Kryptonite for Eagles. Getting Wirfs back is indeed very helpful. Don't know how healthy Godwin will be game 1 but better than anything else at WR outside of Egbuka.

Bears and Raiders doesn't seem like a good game to bet. Bowers is clearly hobbled, Geno looks awful, Raiders offensive line is terrible and the defense is no bueno. I don't trust Caleb Williams at all though, especially on the road, but this seems like the kind of game he should perform okay at least with the weapons he has. Bears are down CB Johnson to core surgery for awhile and LB Edwards and CB Gordon were out last game.. 

Giants defense is still damn good! And Skattebo is definitely a running upgrade to Tyrone Tracy, but he's gonna have a short career the way he runs. Chargers just played and won three straight divisional games so this screams letdown game, at least ATS for sure IMO.  Chargers have lost Mack, Perryman and Henley to injuries on defense is definitely not as potent. Huge coaching mismatch though. 

@brn2loslive2win

 100%. Solid write up.

Yes. Houston has no business being 7.5 favorites at home vs Tennessee. Offensive line is terrible, no run game without Mixon and have gotten nothing out of WR other than Nico. 

Also think Philly should be more than 3 5 favorites at TB, especially with all of TB O-line injuries and Mike Evans will be out. Godwin is still out and impressive rookie WR Egbuka can't do it all alone. However, this could be an emotional letdown after their crazy comeback vs Rams. OC finally discovered AJ and Devonta Smith week 3, opening up passing game finally.

Good luck with your plays. Chargers are a tad overvalued too IMO by a few points vs Gmen

Nice non call by refs clear tripping on that last TD, even the commentators admitted it. 

Great stuff as always Indigo. I don't buy Caleb at all and think he's a bust. All the pieces are present for him to succeed with an improved o-line, Offensive minded HC, DJ Moore, Odunze, Burden, Loveland, etc. All the stats of rookies losing first game as a starter on road favored picked Bears to cover, but I went with Minnesota solely because of Caleb, who I don't even think loves football.

The Baltimore Banner reports Ravens K Justin Tucker has been “accused of inappropriate sexual behavior by six massage therapists.”

I saw most of game but missed the key 4th down scramble by Allen that was a very tough call and officials ruled Allen did not get 1st. Gene Steratore thought Allen got it. Fair or foul? I'm not saying KC loses if Allen gets the first down there just curious for honest thoughts.

I normally would agree with you but the LA Dodgers are ruining baseball. I have less interest in watching this season than anytime in recent memory other than for gambling or fantasy purposes. Cheap owners pocket money and won't spend. And then Mets and Dodgers have no financial limitations its a joke.

The Rams, a dome team, in cold weather.....good luck with that. Hurts will need to have 2-3 TOs for Rams to win. Kupp is cooked. Double team Puka and make Tyler Higbee beat you.

Kyle Hamilton has really helped turn around Ravens defense in secondary but yeah Bills are the most likely upset. 

@ActionMagnet

 Did you not remember Saquon going for 255 on ground last time vs Rams and it was in LA with better weather. Stafford will be in the cold. I'm worried about Hurts though.

This has really aged well! Lol. Stafford is taking care of business. Still Kupp nowhere again. Jets Darnold reappears again.

I trust Kyren Williams more than Aaron Jones 

Week 18 doesn't count but between weeks 15 and 17, Rams only scored 12, 19 and then 13 points. Stafford was dreadful especially vs Jets terrible defense and a Cards team that had just been eliminated from playoff contention. Kupp clearly seems like the injuries have taken a toll on him, Stafford has had back issues for years now (almost 37), and if they can't run with Kyren, don't see how Rams win. 1st two draft picks Verse and Fiske have been phenomenal though. I get wanting to fade Darnold but this isn't 31 or 32 year old Stafford. 

No Christian Watson hurts as he's the deep threat. GB limped into playoffs and there is a question about Love's health. Reed is underused but maybe that's because he's had ball security issues. Philly probably sells out to stop the run and forces Love to beat them. Hurts could definitely be rusty but they have Barkley so that may not matter. I think Philly wins by 6-7.

Most confident in Bills of the 3 followed closely by Philadelphia. Only Baltimore could ruin it if Lamar plays poorly in playoffs as he mostly has in past. Steelers are a mess right now so it's very unlikely.