Dallas

Anyone?

everyone

Tough game this week. both need this game. But the Lions need it more imo cuz they go to the Rams next week which will be difficult to win & then vs Steelers. Cowboys have a winnable game next week vs Vikings.

Altho I can see this game going either way, I will sit the sidelines & just watch.

I like the points +3.5. I have this as a fg game either way, big revenge spot for Dallas, so the motivation is definitely there

LaPorta out and Sun God likely out too with ankle injury. CB Arnold likely out a month and we just saw Winston and Love torch that secondary. Pickens and Lamb vs that Lions secondary could go bonkers. Dallas defense can key in on Jamo Williams.

Needs are usually not the best betting angle imo.

Should be a great opportunity for the Cowboys to take advantage of a reeling and injured Lions.

Center Graham Glasgow is questionable.

Also, the Cowboys in a dome on turf that they are very used to playing on.

I'd say Cowboys or no bet at all. Winners of 3 in a row since their bye, I wouldn't get in front of them.

Dallas TT over 

this is two teams heading in different directions

so what's the case for Detroit?  just being at home, which hasnt really served them well of late?

Dallas offense is good and hasnt really fallen off this year.

Dallas defense has added a few pieces either with trade or with players getting healthy.

They both "need" this game...either to stay in the wild card hunt or the division hunt, which for Dallas seemed crazy 3 weeks ago but Philly offense has fallen off a cliff.

I think the over makes a lot of sense 

Since the beginning of the 2024 a home favorite who has played its last two games over the total 

and lost its last outing while its opponent is off a win is an impressive 12-0 on the ML 

The last two situations this year was week 7 when Niners beat the Falcons at home and week 8 Texans beating the Niners at home

Let’s back track all the way to week four of this year with this trend 

Week 4 Rams beating the Colts

Week 5 Saints beating Giants

Week 6 Chiefs beating Lions

Give me the Lions ML 1630 to win 1000

A lot of juice, at least for me in football. What was the scoring margin in those 12 games? Feels like -3(-110) wouldn't be a bad bet at all for the juice. If you feel like those parameters are that strong. 

Good Luck 

Trend is 10-2 ATS 

the game in 2024 Week 9  Titans were -3.5 and only won by 3 in OT 

The game in 2024 week 18 Colts were -3.5 and only won by 3 in OT

With all other games in the trend with lines of -7 or more were blowouts 

With a 10-2 record it’s a good bet but I’ll pay the juice on the 12-0 record as I will double on that 1k with a

3 team 10 point teaser backed with a situational 42-6 (87.5%) win record on another 2025 season sack trend to make 2k for the week 

3 team 10 point teaser

Vikings +8

Packers +3.5

Chargers +13

That was a safety! For that I’m eating vegetables Campbell soup tonight 

didn’t even need the teaser points