Way2Good

@usikbasterd

 I think they dont have enough data yet for his average rush yards this year. He only started 2 games this year and played 5 games in total. Last year he averaged 7.8yards/game in 8 games. This year since he is starting he is averaging 22.5y.

Without bias, Dallas are 5-0 when spreads are less than 3.0 this season and 14-4 ATS when coming off a loss. 

Jacoby Brissett o270.5 Pass+Rush Yards -109 on DK (avg rush yards 22.5, avg pass yards 299.5 vs Dallas allows 258.6 yards/g and 146 rush yards/g)

I am also look at rushing yard props. Dallas is known to have one of the worst rushing defense in the league this season. 

Jacoby Brissett o14.5 -115 seems a lock. He has avaraged 22.5 yards last 2 games he started. 

Underdogs ATS are 9-4 (69%) this Week 9. Favorites are 8-5 SU (61%) Is this another one of those underdog cover week?

• The Cowboys hold the all-time series edge over the Cardinals: Dallas has 56 wins to Arizona’s 35 in 92 total meetings.

• Looking at more recent meetings, the Cardinals have won 3 out of the last 4 versus Dallas.

• The Cowboys are very strong when playing at home against the Cardinals: home win rate vs ARI is about 77%.

• In their last 10 matchups, Dallas has only 3 wins against Arizona. So despite their overall historical dominance, the recent trend has favored the Cardinals.
• A specific game highlight: In the 2023 matchup, Arizona rushed for 222 yards vs Dallas, averaging 7.4?yards per carry.

For the Head Official Adrian Hill

• in the games Hill has worked at home as the referee: Home teams went 1-6 straight up, and 1-6 ATS (against the spread). The average home margin was –7.71 points (i.e., home teams lost by ~7.7?points on average).

• That same source breaks down “Home Favorite” games under Hill: Home favorites were 0-4 ATS when he was behind the whistle.

• Hill’s “Home Record (ATS)” is 49 wins vs 51 losses.

• Caveat, the last 3 Cowboys game when Adrian Hill is the head official the cowboys won straight up 3-0.

Since Week 1 underdogs have gone 5-7 ATS (42%) and the last underdog that covered that spread was still in week 6. I say the underdogs are due!!!

I have been following this line since last week, this opened at 3.5 reached to 4.0 and now down to 2.5 on some books. Last 5 games of the cardinals have lost to a total of 13 pts, that is an average of -2.6pts per game. They just came off from their bye week, I think they have things figured up like a fresh start. Dallas on the other hand are on a see saw win loss charade since their overtime game against the packers. They are approaching bye week with 3-4-1 (should have been 4-4 imo) record and a wild guess is that they are losing this game straight up. 

Lets go and lock this early! 

Arizona Cardinal +3.5 -112 on DK
Arizona Cardinals ML +150 on DK
Trey Mcbride Anytime TD
Marvin Harrison Jr First TD

Good luck! 

WTF

I feel sorry for their loss. What a game

This packers game losing at home vs the panthers should be investigated. They are a 14pt favorite in this game and suddenly forgets how to play 

@Darkydark

 yup. Knicks are 0-3 ats againsts the bulls last season

What are we not seeing?

Chill. 2nd half to go. A lot of time left for a 1 possession game.

The known lions defense doesnt exist today. They are making Mccarthy look like tom brady slinging deep passes to Justin Jefferson so easy.

So much for being a trap game. 

@CAPPERCOM

@BET2WIN4

 On to them also! good luck! 

@Fuse

@Peezy9166

 easy on the broncos. They barely cant get a win on the road this season.

@Darkydark

 I got it at +700!!! Definitely worth it. lol What a ride. 

Good luck Mac! I am staying away on the Colts/Steelers game. 

Today is the New York City Marathon and I got a New York Parlay Special +1700

Nets ML (76ers just had their first loss of the season and I am expecting them to regress on their upcoming road trip schedule)
Bills ML (They have been on a road too long, their last home game was a loss from the media darling Patriots)
Knicks ML (Knicks are 2-0 SU at home this season. With Mitch Robinson back they should be back in the winning column. Revenge game angle against the surging bulls too!)
Giants ML (Game for Skateboo. If they lose this game they are done for the season. They can still make it in their division if they win this game plus they are hot at home.)