LAGameofInches

Good luck. Congrats on the wins keep them going 

@Freddy666

Not sure why nobody picked up on it but pretty sure your AZ line should read +130.  And for the record I agree 

Ha!  I placed Padres earlier today. Patric not real good on road and Ceaee top notch during day and at home. Padres need to win for division. I’ll also be riding Dbacks again tonight think they are playing best of WC contenders and dodgers bullpen as big a mess as theirs. Grabbing + $ with Nelson (their best pitcher atm) on mound should be a good spot 

good luck again 

not tonight it’s not 

Annnnd that just clinched a Live bet for me lol.

@Brooklyncapper

People are funny aren't they?  It's as though I'm upset b/c you didn't respond to my post which was truly just information.  Let's try and crush this final week of the season and move into the playoffs where the UNDERS usually cash like crazy.  

I do like the under in tonights Dbacks game will be very tight with the stakes and the LAD want to clinch division.  Unfortunately I think the Mets are in a bit of trouble but prob also an under.  I'll defer to you for those 

YTD (SOCCER):  33-18-3 (BIG PLAY!!!: 11-4)

Been a great start to the season, much better than that in the NFL where I am backlogged and more or less done with backing the Texans for some time.  I expect the party to keep rolling today as there are quite a few good angles albeit most are going to be first half plays.

ATHLETIC BILBAO FH (+101)...BIG PLAY!!!:  Maybe this spread is where it is because Bilbao have hit a major skid of late which also happens to be around the same time their top talent, Nico Williams, got injured.  Whatever the case, they have lost twice on their home field which they rarely do and have lost 3 in a row which is also a rarity.  Now they get to face Girona, a team that is upside down and with no real avenue for immediate improvement with the squad they currently field.  Moreover, Girona have given up more first half goals between the 15th and 30th minute than they have scored all season!  This is a crucial spot for Bilbao and they will be ready from the starting whistle to get back on track given how early it is in the season.  Play this confidently and see you all at the window.

REAL MADRID FH (-139):  I'm a bit skiddish on this only because Xavi Alonso keeps rotating his squad and while that seems smart to keep fresh legs, it doesn't help the continuity between players who are being shuttled in and out and have to try and get some flow.  On the other hand, Real Madrid is playing Levante who have not started off the season very strong and RM always will have Mbappe to lead the charge.  I can see Vini Jr. getting on the scoresheet here but Levante have played Madrid tough at home so that keeps this from being a BIG PLAY!

LIVERPOOL FH -3/4 (-137):  Honestly, I might just drop the -193 on the first half ML but it seems like a hefty price to pay even if Liverpool is playing on home soil against a marginal Southampton team.  What gives me confidence is the fact that when you look at the players that Liverpool have to rotate in and out, I don't see how you aren't fielding an Isak, Eketike, or Gakpo and still then, you will have options like Wirtz and Salah even in this Cup game.  That quality is just much stronger than what Southampton can field and if things get dicey, Liverpool will turn to their bench.  But I see the opening frame having some action and I think most of that will come from Liverpool.   I'm happy if they win the FH by a goal and I get 50% of my play cashed.

That's all I have for today, not sure what tomorrow will bring.  I like AC Milan in their home cup game against a Lecce side that can do very little but I'm not sure the odds are showing much value.  As always, tail or fade, good luck to all...

@Brooklyncapper

I've gone against the Rockies -1.5 runs over the past 18 games.  Not joking.  Played EVERY game -1.5 and even drafted a thread about this.  They are 4-14 in that period losing all by 2 or more runs.  It's even better when they face a LHP whom they are the worst in the league against, even though they have a multitude of right handed batters.

Even better, when they face teams like the Marlins, you are not really losing when you play the -1.5 especially when the Rockies are at home.  I will be on this same play because I have been doing it for the past couple of weeks with incredible success.  I suggest you try the same starting with your play tonight 

Man would have thought you were on Philly!  I got blessed with that TD (had Philly in a teaser and parlay) but I don't think I've seen a cover like that since the Music City Miracle.  

I'm on the same side tonight so let's bring home some crab cakes 

good luck 

Ok thanks, means a lot more upcoming wins to get over 60% .  Let's hope it starts with tonight. 

@Irisheric777

You must be from Detroit.  I think the overall message is that without Ben Johnson as OC things are different, which they are.  Offense is similar but play calling different.  Didnt' matter last week for the Lions but it did matter on the road the opening weekend vs. GB.  I think the latter is more on par with what to expect, maybe not to that dismal showing, vs the former.  The Lions will score, but they are playing outside on MNF against Lamar Jackson and I don't see their offense putting up 30 points personally.

Good luck either way 

I'm about to catch a flight and am connecting now so this will be my last chance to post I think before it gets too close to game time and I'm surrounded by family and friends.

Still can't go back and for whatever reason get my older posts, been trying to do that to update record but regardless time not on my side so let me just script this.

I've been quite solid on the Ravens both in past years and so far this year, seeing that they score a LOT more than in previous years, it's hard to go under on them.  I did lose the FH play last week on the OVER but I think this is a far different matchup, just not a far different result.

Lamar Jackson is 7-2 SU in MNF games AND 7-2 ATS in MNF games.  One would take from that he's as good in covering the games as the Ravens are in winning those, so long as he is under center.  He is also a mind boggling, and I'm not joking, 24-2 SU vs. teams from the NFC!!!  Think about that for a moment, in all those years and in all the competitive games, he has only lost TWICE out of 26 tries.  And, if you don't believe me, feel free to check on ChatGPT :).

The Ravens are going to be short a couple of key defenders so I do think the Lions will get on the board.  But I also think that last week was not a real barometer of where their offense is without Ben Johnson as the Bears were hardly the type of opponent that could score on them and give them a game.  Not last week that is, this week they seemed to have found something or Dallas is just really awful.

On top of all of this, John Harbaugh is exquisite in prime time games and the Ravens are at home after all.  The offense will not change and I'm a bit on edge about our secondary, for as heralded as it is, but this will be a big game on a big stage in front of one of the loudest crowds in the NFL, so I don't think motivation will be an issue.  I think special teams, even without Tucker as the Ravens kicker, also favors Baltimore.  

I'm going to SMASH this game as I think the line is a little low for the Ravens at home and in this spot.  But I'm also conscious of the hook when laying the number as a 4 point deficit might very well be late in the game so I'm going to give myself some comfort, even though I am very confident in Baltimore getting the job done tonight.

BALTIMORE (-4)...bought half point...SMASH PLAY!!!:  This is really up to you how many units but to be transparent for record keeping sake I'm keeping this a 2 unit play regardless if I win 10 or 5 or, obviously in the worst case scenario, lose it outright.

I'll take a small stab at the OVER 26.5 FH (DET/BAL) since I don't think the Ravens go two weeks not hitting this and it's high and juicy high so thinking oddsmakers don't want us on this.  I also expect both teams to be having to defend on their heels out the gate which should lead to accelerated scoring.

Let's see those things play out, I've been so mediocre this year I'm still waiting for one of those early slates that I wipe up vs. getting turned around.  Great Philly win and cover yesterday though.  Todays a new day and, as always, do your own research, keep comments positive and, tail or fade, good luck to all...

Yeah I'm all over this as well though I'd buy the half point.  Lamar is outstanding against NFC and on MNF and this being an early season game they will do everything to not lose which means scoring often.  They play KC next week in KC so they know much better chance of winning tonight given the history.

I'll check out that OVER as well, you know me, I'm all over the FH overs when they are that low too 

I'll be writing up on this I can't get to my previous posts and about to board an airplane but for years I've had a pulse on the Ravens.  Lamar is 6-1 vs Detroit, 4-1 vs Goff, is 7-2 on MNF and 7-2 ATS on MNF.  He also has 20 TDs to ZERO INT's.  Oh, and he's 24-4 against the NFC.

The Lions have consistently beaten up on the Bears so I don't see last weeks' game as a barometer of where they currently are.  I think they will have a hard time keeping up tonight.

Thinking about adding the LV/WAS UNDER.  Not sure how they will get over the number with Daniels not under center and the WAS D a solid group especially at home.

UNDER 44 (LV/WAS):  Too many missing pieces and while the LV isn't great they will get enough pressure to force errant throws and notch some sacks.  I'm not sure Geno Smith will be able to offset much with regards to the Commanders D and they will surely want to get Jeaty the ball early and often.  Really like this spot for an under.

Ok, that's it for the morning slates.  Will be assessing soon enough 

YTD (NFL):  9-12-1 ATS  (BIG PLAY!!!:  2-4-1 ATS)

The frustrating start to the season continued on Monday night as I was NOT able to access this website and post my plays, which were both BIG PLAY winners (OVER 25 FH & OVER FG 51).  At one point I had gotten to the page where I was scripting the thread but then once I tried to post it I was restricted.  Must have tried close to 25 times and that's how much I loved those plays on Monday night.

Today is clearly not Monday night (though when tomorrow night comes I am going to slam my Ravens play) and the early Sunday games have puzzlingly gone very awry for me.  I'm going to keep it pretty simple with the plays.  Can't understand the love for the Rams today who play an Eagles team that has all but controlled the series and been victors 9 out of the past 10 times and have failed to cover the spread in 8 out of those ten games played.

Here is what I am on personally:

INDIANAPOLIS (-5)...BIG PLAY!!!:  Daniel Jones is trying to, and succeeding, in making people a believer as to what he can do when leading a team.  Funny enough, as much as I like Brian Daboll I think he might very well be the problem or perhaps that makeshift offensive line.  No matter, Jones is dealing in Indy and the Colts have gone 10-3 SU in the past 13 matchups played IN Tennessee and 5-2 ATS during the past 7 played in Nashville.  I think the Titans are decent but not on the same level as the Colts.  I appreciate the home advantage but at the end of the day I think the Colts get this done rather comfortably.

HOUSTON (+1.5)...BIG PLAY!!!:  Another game I really love.  Houston needs this game in a BAD way after crumbling against TB last week.  They are 11-2 SU in JAX and since they are getting points I don't even need to go into their prowess against the spread.

NEW ENGLAND (+2):  I'd probably make this a BIG PLAY if both the others also weren't and the Steelers defense had already shown up this year.  But since they have been asleep at the wheel these past couple games, I'm not sure what I'll get.  BUT, the Steelers are also 1-6 SU in the past 7 in NE and 1-6-1 ATS in the last 8 there.  

PHILADELPHIA FH (-2.5):  I can't resist, I just don't see the Eagles down at the half and this is a rather short line against a team they have manhandled.  Maybe the Rams come back late and cover what's now a 3.5 point line, I would have taken this at 3 but since the line has moved, I'm good with cashing on the FH.

I'm going to stick with these and come back shortly.  As always, do your own research and keep comments positive.  Tail or fade, good luck to all...

Huh?  What did I miss just turned on the TV and by my count it went OVER

nice hit.  

Thanks will be back later to assess and try to get my record up and posted