TheBuddah

@WINFB2018

 Thanks and back at ya

@westlake888

 Thanks bud and bol to ya on your play.

Let's look at some numbers:

          Miami    84 38 89 126
-3.5     Ohio     33 88 80 121

Ohio opens up as a 3.5 fav, currently around -3 (madduxsports.com) .     Ohio is better in total off rank at 33, sagarin rank at 80 vs 89 and better in schedule strength at 121 vs 126.    Miami Oh. is only better in Total Def at 38 vs 88.    When you look at the opening line and compare that to previous games where the scenario is similar - a majority of the data indicates the away team often convers and very likely to win it straight up.    

My Play: 

1. Taking Miami Oh +3   

Good luck all

@westlake888

 Nice hit bud !!!!!    

@Macwestie1

 Nice hit .     

@Macwestie1

 Thanks bud .    

@FelixFermin21

 No problem bud . 

@umgmu

 Thanks bud and back at ya . 

@Brooklyncapper

 Bol bud 

@Macwestie1

 Bol Mac 

@westlake888

 BOL   

@westlake888

 No problem bud.   Either way Bol.   

@Brooklyncapper

 Thanks bud - bol to ya

Last week we went 5-3.   A Positive Week.   Let's look at some numbers:

-3  Detroit       20

     Memphis    41   

Detroit opened up as 3 pt fav currently 4.5 (madduxsports.com)  I recognize the injuries on the part of the Griz and the travelling to Mexico for Detroit.   The  oddsmakers deal with this and put 3 on the game .   Based on my numbers - I think Memphis covers - my data indicates the home team often wins straight up but I'll take the points.   

My plays for tonight:

1. Memphis +4.5  

2.   2 team 4 pt teaser   Bost -6.5 to Dallas +16.5  +119  

Good luck all

@Fuse

 Bol bud 

@Digitalkarma

 On it as well bol

@Macwestie1

 Bol luck - yes let’s get this !!!!

@LuckyGuy

 Bol bud 

@thehuntman

 Back at ya bud.    

@Macwestie1

 Yes In deed - BOL Mac

Wow what a game 6 - ball got stuck and I got fucked - lol.   Anyways - movin on to Game 7.   WS Record stands at 5-3.    Let's look at some numbers:

-135  LAD  Ohtani       -2   

        TOR  Scherzer   199   

LAD opened up as a 135 fav currently around -138 .   Regular season ratings have Ohtani at -2 (great rating for a pitcher) and he has more strikeouts than innings pitched.  Scherzer has a rating of 199, he pitched 85 innings and had 82 strikeouts - not the Max we are used to seeing - who would typically have a lot more strikeouts than I.p but he was injured.   

Playoff wise - Ohtani pitched Oct 28 and took the loss while giving up 4 runs.  Max pitched on Oct 27 and got a No decision where he gave up 3 runs.    Let's look at some angles on this game:

1. The line opened at 135 for the away team pitcher - just like yesterday - in the playoffs since i've been collecting data we have had this situation 5 times - 2 times the away team has won on the run line (including lastnight) - 2 times the home team has won outright and once the home team covered the run line.   

2.  Ohtani last pitched the 28th - only a few days of rest  from pitching - but he's been hitting as well.    Max, had an extra day of rest and this will be his first playoff start at home.  Obviously all hands on deck and short leash tonite.   

3. Looking at the ratings and an opening line of 135 where the away team pitcher has more strikeouts than innings pitched, there's no playoff data that I have where the line was 135 for the away team and the rating was -2 and the home team pitcher has a rating 199.     However, looking at the regular season data - there are several data points that meet this criteria but none with a line of 135 - close 140 , 130, 125, 120, and others.   The data indicates the home team can win it outright as very often they have.   I'm going with my numbers.

My Plays tonite:

1.  Toronto +125 

2.  LAD/Toronto over 8  

Good luck all - it's been a great series enjoy the game.   

@vankiep_0007

 Back at ya bud