Noonball

Here’s 3 plays I studied and am playing. I’ll spare you the details on how I got there.

Santa Clara-12.5

Eastern Wash+7.5

Oregon St-3.5

@Shortporch

 Thanks man! Trying too!

@D-Town

  Thanks!

@Yabbo1979

 All good. I was kinda making fun of myself because I actually break things down too much I think sometimes. GL as well!

Both teams back up qbs, primarily running qbs, number is too high. Under 25.5 1st half

@Yabbo1979

 Interesting. Yeah I don’t really evaluate things deeply like you do. GL on your plays!

@Yabbo1979

 Sounds like Nicholls is the right side huh?

@Yabbo1979

 Gotcha. HCU is 8-3 Ats which makes this even stranger. Thanks for that info.

@ayashifx55

 I hear ya. Just wondering if anyone has knowledge on this game. Strange line.

Anyone have info on this game? Line doesn’t make sense. 5-6 Houston Christian coming off a hard fought loss to McNeese St  and Nicholls 2-7 just beat a Biblical Studies D3 school.

Nicholls is -4.5. Sharps moved this from -3 open. Anyone have info here? This seems too easy which I know it’s not. Battle tested team just playing top notch comp vs a team just playing a cupcake. Is Houston Christian a trap?

Took a break after UNA-1.5 blew a 22-9 1st half lead and shot 1-15 last 7:09 to play into break. That’s gambling! Congrats Bama A&M backers!

The tempo that UIC plays with is they get a shot up every 16.4 secs into the shot clock ranking 51st nationally. This doesn’t advise well against Northern Iowa who has the 22nd ranked defense on field goals against percentage. The fact that UIC looks to shoot early and often against a team that doesn’t crash the boards and gets back to hedge and recover extremely well makes me think UNI has a significant advantage vs the number.

UNI also breaks teams down in the half court and UIC has put the other tean in the double bonus with over 4 mins to go in the 1st half in its last 3 games. UNI shoots free throws at 81 pct from its starters and 67 pct as a team which isn’t great, but 1st half I’m hoping the starters play the majority of the half.

I say play UNI-2.5 1st half.

Those into exotic bets, oddsmakers typically make sure they don’t get middled and will only go so high. Bands 4-6 and 7-9 10-13 laddered once the game starts all around +630 may be worth a sprinkle.

Or of course Bama A and M wins outright. GL all!!

I see 1st half is -1.5, not 2. Late fouls and back doors aren’t in the equation from a traditional sense. Really like this play for those interested. Like really like this!

@Xdoge

 Thanks for correcting me! Bad info. Appreciate the education and apologize for the assumption!!! Just tried to make the write more interesting. Nothing about my capping involved my assuming these were HBCU rivals. In fact would’ve leaned other way if that mattered.

@Parlay_pal

 Nice! I always bet on Tomlin when they don’t seem to be the play and against when Steelers seem like obvious play.

GL on your par! Hope it hits!!!!

@flutie

 I agree, huge HBCU rivalry. I’d be guessing on rest vs rust because I found nothing to compare it to. 
I thankfully took it right away and have -1.5 so 4.5 is quite the jump. 
I will say the talent disparity is massive. UNA dominates at the guard position and rebounds better. If you change take UNA-2 1sr half. I think it’s a good bet that hits at 61 pct of the time at A and M

@ayashifx55

 When I was younger happened to me often. You’re right. It’s psychological. I used to think the money deposited into my bank account was just as easy to redeposit back in. If you’re used to seeing say 5000 dollars for example and you take half it out you mentally think your balance should remain at that level.

The degeneracy of my early twenties would make for a hilarious read!

@totter

 Thanks man! You too!

@Xdoge

 Good stuff man! I saw that when comparing their schedules and even better is UNA returns 64 pct of their scoring and A and M only has 25 pct back. Be wary if the number jumps too high. I have 1.5. I think some books it’s jumped to 4.5.

Like you alluded too, books typically find a way to avoid being middled and the line it ends on will generally cover as a rule still.

The talent disparity is so much that I’d feel safe laying 3.5 or 4 without worrying about a backdoor. I had UNA 10 pts better in a vaccuum.