Boisestateand8

@spottie2935

I have my eye on Virginia too. The 'Noles will have their hands full with Chandler Morris. They also have Miami on deck. BOL Spottie!

@Fuse

@umgmu

Brutal Saturday. I'm treading lightly today.

3* Jets +6' over BUCCANEERS 

3* CHARGERS -3 over Broncos 

Writeups on my other thread. BOL

Late Sunday games

CHARGERS -3 vs. Broncos - After opening the season with wins over division rivals Kansas City and Las Vegas, the Chargers are going for the trifecta here. Khalil Mack's injury hurts, but QB Justin Herbert is looking like an MVP candidate, completing 72% of his passes for 560 yards and five TDs. Meanwhile, Denver's Bo Nix seems to be undergoing a bit of a sophomore slump. He's thrown four TD passes, but he's been picked off three times. The Bolts won both meetings a year ago by a TD, and they look like the better team here. 

SEAHAWKS -7 vs. Saints - New Orleans QB Spencer Rattler is looking for his first win as a starter after eight tries. He hasn't played that bad under first time HC Kellen Moore. Seattle has a banged up secondary, but they're second in the league with four picks. Tough call. 

Cowboys -1' at BEARS - This one should be a track meet. Dallas is allowing 404 yards a game, 301 through the air. Chicago is allowing 382.5 yards a game, and opposing QBs are completing 75% of their passes with a 136.9 passer rating. The two teams combined gave up 89 points last week. The punters might not even dress for this one.

49ERS -2' vs. Cardinals - Arizona's top three cornerbacks are hurt. The Niners are missing QB Brock Purdy and much of their receiving corps. Their defense has carried them to a 2-0 start, and will have to come up big again. The Cardinals are also 2-0, and actually swept the series a year ago. This one could go either way. 

Tough slate this week. BOL

Late addition

3* EAST CAROLINA +6' over Byu - Trusting my gut.

Early Sunday games

Falcons -5' at PANTHERS - Atlanta's pass rush is much improved from a year ago. They racked up six sacks at Minnesota last week, and face a Carolina team missing two starters on their offensive line. The Panthers run defense is of the swiss cheese variety. They're allowing over five yards per rush over the past two seasons, and will face a stiff challenge from Bijan Robinson and Tyler Allgeier. For what it's worth, the Blact Cats are on a 5-0 ATS run as a home dog.

Packers -8' at BROWNS - Green Bay will have had three extra days to prep for a top notch Browns defense that's allowed the fewest yards in the league (191.5 YPG). In fact, despite being 0-2, the Browns have outgained both of their first two opponents by a combined 267 yards, as turnovers and special teams breakdowns have plagued them. If they can play clean they have a chance here, but I'm not betting on it. The Packers are the best team in the NFC, and I won't step in front of them here.

JAGUARS -1' vs. Texans - Houston is in an early must win situation, but their revamped offensive line has allowed C.J. Stroud to be sacked six times thus far. The Jags are leading the NFL in rushing at 169.5 yards a game, and will test a Texans defense that allowed 169 yards to Tampa on Monday night. 

VIKINGS -3 vs. Bengals - This is a battle of backup QBs. Cincy's Jake Browning has completed 71.5% of his passes in seven starts, but last week he threw three interceptions. Minny's Carson Wentz just joined the team a few weeks ago and may not have a firm grasp of the offense. Tough call in this one.

Steelers -1' at PATRIOTS - Pittsburgh's defense has been very un-Steeler like, and they're missing three, maybe four starters for this one. They're giving up nearly 150 yards a game on the ground (4.4 YPR), and they're rushing for less than 63 (3.0). That's a bad combination. But Aaron Rodgers should be able to rack up some yardage against a Pats pass defense that's ranked last in the NFL, giving up 338.5 YPG.

EAGLES -3' vs. Rams - This is the second straight long road trip and early start time for the Rams, who are seeking revenge for two losses a year ago, 37-20 in the regular season and 28-22 in the playoffs. In order to win this one though they'll have to do a better job of stopping Eagles RB Saquon Barkley, who rushed for a combined 460 yards in those two games.

BUCCANEERS -6' vs. Jets - QB Justin Fields is out with a concussion, but I don't think the Jets lose anything with backup Tyrod Taylor. This is a bad spot for the Bucs, off a 20-17 win at Atlanta in Week One, and a 20-19 win at Houston on Monday night. On a short week, and being down three starters on the offensive line, AND, with the Super Bowl champion Eagles on deck, the Flyboys could surprise here. 

Colts -4' at TITANS - Indy's Jonathan Taylor leads the NFL in rushing with 236 yards (5.5 YPR), while Tennessee is giving up 150 a game (5.5). The Colts have been one of the early surprises of the young season, and new QB Daniel Jones is a big reason for that, but the one thing they haven't done well is rush the passer. That could change in this game. Titans rookie QB Cam Ward has already been sacked 11 times in just two games! 

REDSKINS -3 vs. Raiders - Huge rest advantage for the 'Skins, having played last Thursday with the Raiders off a Monday night game. QB Marcus Mariota is in for injured Jayden Daniels, and Washington will also be without starting RB Austin Ekeler, who was lost for the season. The Raiders need to get their run game going. 

@Macwestie1

 I'm with you on the Gators. We're getting some line value based on what's happened the last two weeks. Napier has his shortcomings but he's money when he has a losing record in his career (7-2 SU, 6-1-1 ATS). BOL on all your plays, brother!

@KillyKill

 Backatcha!

@Fuse

 BOL my friend. 

@undermysac

 I took NC State +3. What I like about them is that they're making the big plays in the fourth quarter to win games. They haven't dominated anyone, but they're playing clean football. Duke is -6 in net turnovers and had some special teams gaffes at Tulane. Bottom line, I think the wrong team is favored here. BOL!

4* NEBRASKA +1 over Michigan 

4* MISSOURI -10 over South Carolina 

3* OLE MISS -12 over Tulane

3* Nc State +3 over DUKE

3* Florida +7' over MIAMI FL 

That's it.......for now. Still pondering Byu-ECU.

BOL boys and girls! 

4* NEBRASKA +1 over Michigan 

4* MISSOURI -10 over South Carolina 

3* OLE MISS -12 over Tulane

3* Nc State +3 over DUKE

3* Florida +7' over MIAMI FL 

That's it.......for now. Still pondering Byu-ECU.

BOL boys and girls! 

Final update

Arkansas -7' at MEMPHIS - Hard to ignore the Tigers 44-6 record at home since 2017, but this is by far their toughest test to date this year. Hogs are on the road again after a tough loss at Ole Miss, with Notre Dame on deck.

OKLAHOMA -6' vs. Auburn - i was mistaken when I earlier stated it was Oklahoma's Homecoming game. Home chalk in that situation is usually a fade for me. Still leaning War Eagle but I liked it better at +7.

OLE MISS -12 vs. Tulane - The announcement that backup QB Trinidad Chambliss will be starting for the Rebels in place of injured Austin Simmons has me looking hard at Ole Miss here. I'm not so sure that Chambliss shouldn't be the starter! All he's done is complete 25 of 35 passes for 412 yards and two TDs, while rushing for 83 yards and two more scores. Simmons has thrown four picks to go with four TD passes. Got a feeling the Green Wave could be overwhelmed here. 

NOTRE DAME -24' vs. Purdue - If the Boilermakers can avoid the mistakes they made last week vs. USC the Irish could have their hands full here. This is a much improved team under Barry Odom.

Michigan -1' at NEBRASKA - The Cornhuskers haven't beat a ranked team since 2016, losing 27 straight. They have a good chance to end that streak here. Wolverines HC Sherrone Moore is suspended and frosh QB Bryce Underwood will have to play a lot better than he did in his first road start at Oklahoma two weeks ago (9 of 24 for 142 yards).

DUKE -3 vs. Nc State - I think the Wolfpack are the better team getting points, with two extra days prep time and playing with a chip on their shoulder after losing to the Blue Devils the last two years. They're undefeated because they're winning the fourth quarter on defense, and they're taking care of the football. Duke is -6 in net turnovers and have had special teams gaffes. 

MISSOURI -10 vs. South Carolina - I'm not stepping in front of the Tigers right now. They're playing well in all phases and have owned this series, except for last year's 34-30 road loss, which snapped a five game win streak. Spread wise Mizzou has covered six straight vs. the Gamecocks, who are a far cry from the team they were a year ago. LaNorris Sellers will play, but how effective will he be? 

Byu -6' at EAST CAROLINA - This is a new addition to my potential playlist. It's a long road trip for the Stormin' Mormans and true frosh QB Bear Bachmeier is making his first road start, after easy wins over FCS Portland St. and Stanford in Provo. The Pirates showed their mettle in a narrow Week One loss at NC State. They won't be an easy out. Call this one a gut feeling.

MIAMI-FL -7' vs. Florida - Hopefully the Gators don't make me look stupid here, but the old axiom should apply, "No team is as good as they looked the week before and no team is as bad as they looked the week before." I don't think Billy Napier is a bad coach, and when he has a losing record he's 7-2 SU and 7-1-1 ATS in his career. Hopefully, DJ Lagway gets the memo and doesn't throw five picks again.

VIRGINIA -16' vs. Stanford - Another new game that caught my attention. It's a long road trip for the Cardinal, and last week's win over BC didn't convince me they're any good. The Eagles were in a bad spot travel wise, off an overtime loss at Michigan St. and then having to go coast to coast to face the Cardinal. QB Chandler Morris has the Cavalier offense humming and even though this is pretty heavy chalk I don't think Stan can keep up. 

@Craginator

Best of luck Doc! I like a couple of those myself. 

@TRAIN69

Somebody asked me what my top three was. I told him he was on the wronnnnnng thread. 

Friday update 

Iowa -2' at RUTGERS - This line is holding steady, but over 70% of the public money is on the Scarlet Knights, and I hate backing public dogs. Still, this dog might have some bite to it. Might play it if it goes to +3. +3' is wishful thinking.

No interest in the other game tonight. More later.

@MrBator

 Who else do you like this week Bator? Tough card with so many injuries. I kinda think the Chargers hit the trifecta this week, with their third AFC West win in a row. Also, I'm not sure the Jags should be favored over the Texans, and I've got my eye on the Jets. I don't think they lose anything with Tyrod Taylor starting in place of Justin Fields, and the Bucs are coming off a Monday night road win. Still digging.

And THIS is why I never lay double digits in the NFL! 

@MrBator

 BOL! It's probably a winner. Hopefully they lock the back door.  I'm on Seattle for my eliminator pick.