theclaw

week--- 5-1, won 2.35 units

season ---- 14-13, lost .95 units

Bounce Factor did it again, 2-1 on the day. 5-1 now.

My other system bounce back and avoided back to back losing weeks. Only 4-4 but with 2 winning weeks and 1 losing week.

Not counting the 7-2 run prior to making any plays on the system with games I did post but not play.

But this method my bounce along around .500 and then will go on a nice run of winning weeks so we remain patient. 

@kimoinsd808.............

@Brooklyncapper.............

@Tushpush....................

@kidd22.....................

@DogbiteWilliams................

Thanks for the kind words guys .............

Get down now on Seahawks line is moving to -3.5

other system ................4-4

Seahawks -3 (-120) over Texans --- 1.2 units

Bounce Factor II ............. 1-0

Seahawks -3 (-120) over Texans --- 1.2 units 

We have 2 methods on Seahawks so we play both.

BF II was on Titans over Zona so by rights I should of had 2 units on them . I put 1 unit at -8.5 was waiting for possible 9 but then forgot to put the other 1 unit.

I did have 2 units in king of covers contest

Week 1 Top 3 Performers.........

Packers off 3 ATS losses great spot to back these teams.

Packers -6 (-120) over Zona --- 1.2 units

Thank you Munny..........

Broncos mauled the Jets, their defense completely shut them down.

Fields with a negative  ave per pass attempt, you don't see that very often. 

I built into PR II a max performance  any team can do, I don't use it very often but had to in this game.

But much as I suggested the Jets won the TO battle and got their very 1st fumble recovery of the season

According to PR II Broncos should of won by just over 20 pts.

Let's roll ...............

Should be a fun game to watch .

Ravens loss was too much. They had a 3rd and goal at the 1 yard line just before half and failed to get the TD on 3rd and on 4th and 1 which would have given them a 10-3 halftime lead.

2-1 to this point , geez Louise.

Coach Tomlin did it again after a bye, got to him credit, he just keeps winning.

Steelers did completely outplay Browns, outgained them by like 79 yards.

Rodgers played well, Tomlin deserves credit for getting this team to playing better in that win.

KC -2.5 (-115) over Lions --- .58 units to win .5 units

Lions so close to being a Bounce Factor fade and with KC not looking so good losing to Jags but PR II had KC should of won by over 5 pts.

Have to back KC here ..............

Yes they had a very good shot to win SU............

Today's  action .......

Ravens +7.5

Bengals +14.5

Raiders -3.5 (-115)

Zona +7 , half a unit

Jets +7.50 (-115)

Wow Zona now +9.5 Murray must have been ruled out. Didn't really keep up with that situation  the way I should of.

Steelers 21st on 3rd down conversions, defense 21st as well = like (-2%)

4th down only 3 attempts while opp has 12 attempts.converted 1 of 3 while opps convert 8 of 12.

Red zone 13 trips with opps 15trips but have converted 68.2% to 60% opps.

Big difference  is Steelers +7 in TO's with being 5-0  in fumbles recovered.

So Steelers have recovered every fumble in their games.

Rodgers does have a 102 Passer Rating which is good no doubt.

I can't see this Steelers team keep on winning if they continue  to play like they have.

They either have to start playing better, actually  outplaying opps or I think they won't win to many more games the way they are going.

So another game it have to be Browns or no play.

No play for me today. We'll  see how this Tomlin spot goes today.

Steelers outgain by over 100 yards in 3 of 4 games, the other game outgained by 59 yards.

They rank 30th in yards gained and 28 in yards given up.

Out gained by almost 500 yards on the season in only 4 games.

Ave per play is a pathetic 4.9 yards while giving up 5.7 =(-.8)

Ave per pass 6.2 ranks 16th giving up 6.9 ranks 25th = (-.7)

Roger's success rate 42.7%, J. Fields is over 51%.

Make that 3-1 record make sense ?

I saw on you tube guy was saying coach Tomlin is very good off a bye. This game is a Tomlin game.

Initially I think division game getting 6 or 6.5 you'd have to take Browns.

Looking up Steelers, wow, crazy how this team can have a winning record.

Then been outgained by over 100 yards in 3 of the 4 games. Say what !#$%?

And by 59 yards in the other game.

30th in yards, 28th on defense.

Ave per play 4.9-5.7= (-.8)

Ave per pass 6.2, 16th in league

Defense 6.9, 25th in league

= (-.7)

Rodgers success rate 42.7%

They been in red zone 13 times but opps been 15 times.

Make that 3-1 record make sense ?

Yes he did say his picks this year have been bad.

But everyone has off years. I was wondering if he has done well in other years predicting games.

If you have followed players and coaches over the years Bob you'd know they are not good at predicting  games, it is a completely different skill Bob.

Those are facts.

Joe Montana did some studio time and was horrendous at making picks, he was well into last place of all the guys in the studio.

I have nothing against Gruden Bob I have no clue how you arrived at that from my past post.

I like Gruden but if you watch the video you will not learn anything about predicting  games Bob, I am not making that up.

Much of what he says is well know by most who watch games and have any clue and is baked into the line, there is no advantage to that info and that is exactly what I thought his video's  would be so hence why I never watched them.

Now if you are a fan more the a sports bettor then I can understand why you'd want to watch. He did give some information  that a coach/player would only know, that stuff is very interesting  and nice to learn but won't help you predict sports.

He does play his tough guy act, make his faces he is famous for doing on the sidelines as coach, brings high energy and that is fun to watch for sure Bob but lacks any substance as far as predicting games goes 

Again that is a fact Bob, I am not making it up.

I'd rather watch substance then show any day of the week Bob and that has nothing to do with Gruden.

People tend to get caught up in the show and I am not talking about Gruden, I'm talking about any video, people like flash and glitter and a big show to distract them from life instead of working on themselves and their own life and to do this Bob you need substance not show. 

That is all I am saying about him Bob, nothing bad in that at all that I see, maybe you can correct me if I am wrong.

last week--- 2-2

season --- 11-9

Raiders -4.5

Arizona --- +9.5

Ravens +7

Bengals +14.5

You nailed on perfectly Jimmy, the fact they look so pathetic is when you want to take them.

It is called regression or law of averages.

Things average out over time.

Do you know if Gruden has been successful predicting games Bob ?

I see his video's  but never watch them.

My thoughts are he knows the NFL obviously, the X's and O's but I doubt he knows how to predict games .

Predicting games is different from coaching  or playing, completely different skills.

I watched the video , skipped though many times , then at the end he gives no reason for his pick that I saw .

I got bored with his analysis as he talks only about this played does this, that player does this.

Lots of which is widely known. Nothing that has anything to do with predicting games. And then gives no reason for his pick 

I think we need to click on menu top right on my phone.

Then community , then go to bottom click on contest.

A number of contest come up.

Then click on daily contest is what I saw someone mention.

I was there I saw Survivor contest but not the pick 4 contest.

I looked through the other contest but didn't see anything.

This is BS in my book. 

Somebody needs to tells us where to go. Last year I got knocked out of survivor because of this very thing.

I had no idea where to post my pick. They stopped posting survivor thread in nfl forum but no instructions where to find the survivor contest.

 It was in the daily contest. Why would I look for a weekly contest in the daily contest tab ?

It is BS for sure.

How do they expect people to participate in these contest with this nonsense ?

People here asking and no response from covers .