Pliskova vs Sabalenka Picks for Wimbledon Women's Semifinal

Two heavy-hitting foes face off in the Wimbledon women's semifinal. Find out who will earn a shot at a major crown as we break down the Pliskova vs. Sabalenka matchup with our Wimbledon semifinal picks.

Jul 7, 2021 • 10:25 ET • 3 min read
Aryna Sabalenka Wimbledon women's semifinal
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

After multiple majors of newcomers in the ladies’ game, natural order has been somewhat restored at Wimbledon. Three of the four semi-finalists have reached this stage at a major before, while Aryna Sabalenka’s debut is hardly surprising. 10 WTA titles and a 46-31 record against Top-10 players suggested a deep run was only a matter of time. 

Covers Experts' resident tennis expert Tennis Insiders breaks down this Karolina Pliskova vs Aryna Sabalenka match with our Wimbledon women’s semifinal picks.   

Wimbledon women's semifinal betting preview

Karolina Pliskova betting breakdown

Pliskova’s ability has never been doubted but she’s failed to build on her US Open final run in 2017. She’s now reached the last four of all four majors but has yet to produce a title, and she has spoken openly about struggling with high expectations. Her level has been remarkably consistent all tournament and she hasn’t suffered from the dips in play that have scuppered her title chances on previous occasions.

Aryna Sabalenka betting breakdown

Sabalenka has struggled to produce her best tennis on the biggest stage, but her performances against Elena Rybakina & Ons Jabeur have been highly encouraging. She refused to yield on the big points, ‘I said to myself, this time you have to stay aggressive, you have to dictate.’ Her biggest let-downs in majors have often been accompanied by unforced errors and self-doubt in her heavy ball-striking style, but she has remained aggressive throughout this tournament.

Wimbledon women's semifinal matchup preview

Brutal power meets… brutal power in this matchup. Two of the biggest servers on the WTA Tour go head-to-head for the second time on grass. Their first meeting will likely be a good indicator of how tight this matchup will be, a final set tiebreaker was needed on that occasion.

Neither player possesses huge variety, but both have enormous linear power. Sabalenka’s adjusted her elaborate backswing on the forehand to hit more effectively on the grass, while Pliskova’s serving has been immaculate throughout the tournament.

Wimbledon women's semifinal picks

  • Over 0.5 Tiebreaks +250
  • Aryna Sabalenka Over 4.5 Double Faults -120

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