Phoenix Suns

2nd in NBA Pacific (49 - 33)

Next Game

Sun, Apr 28 21:30 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jusuf Nurkic Points Scored Props • Phoenix

J. Nurkic
center C • Phoenix
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.9
Best Odds
Over
-120

The 4th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Suns. Jusuf Nurkic has attempted 3.4 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league. As a team, the Suns have been terrific at getting to the charity stripe while at home: best in the league this year, totaling 25.3 foul shot attempts per game. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Rudy Gobert has been very high this year (4.0 free throw attempts per game when they are on their home court: 88th percentile). Jusuf Nurkic will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually raises player performance in all stat categories.

Jusuf Nurkic

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.9
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.9

The 4th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Suns. Jusuf Nurkic has attempted 3.4 foul shots per game this year, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league. As a team, the Suns have been terrific at getting to the charity stripe while at home: best in the league this year, totaling 25.3 foul shot attempts per game. The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Rudy Gobert has been very high this year (4.0 free throw attempts per game when they are on their home court: 88th percentile). Jusuf Nurkic will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually raises player performance in all stat categories.

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Kevin Durant Points Scored Props • Phoenix

K. Durant
small forward SF • Phoenix
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Under
+102

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (14.5). The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the NBA away from their home city this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Suns. The Suns rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kevin Durant

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.3
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.3

The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a hard one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (14.5). The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the NBA away from their home city this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Suns. The Suns rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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Jaden McDaniels Points Scored Props • Minnesota

J. McDaniels
small forward SF • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
-120

Among all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels comes in at the 79th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 29.5 minutes per game this year. In regard to shooting, the Timberwolves's superb 115.6 points per game on the road settles in as the 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Suns have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which ought to increase possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Jaden McDaniels has attempted 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.3 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Jaden McDaniels

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Among all players in the league, Jaden McDaniels comes in at the 79th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 29.5 minutes per game this year. In regard to shooting, the Timberwolves's superb 115.6 points per game on the road settles in as the 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Suns have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which ought to increase possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Jaden McDaniels has attempted 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted in all games this year. Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.3 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Phoenix Suns, easily managing to get to the foul line.

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Nickeil Alexander-Walker Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Alexander-Walker
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.3
Best Odds
Over
-102

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has converted 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. In regard to shooting, the Timberwolves's superb 115.6 points per game on the road settles in as the 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Suns have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which ought to increase possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 21.6% more than he's converted in all games this season.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.3
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.3

Nickeil Alexander-Walker has converted 2.6 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year. In regard to shooting, the Timberwolves's superb 115.6 points per game on the road settles in as the 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Suns have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which ought to increase possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Nickeil Alexander-Walker has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 21.6% more than he's converted in all games this season.

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Karl-Anthony Towns Points Scored Props • Minnesota

K. Towns
center C • Minnesota
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.9
Best Odds
Under
-101

Karl-Anthony Towns has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The matchup vs. the Phoenix Suns is a tough one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 3rd-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (29.1%). The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA while on the road this year. The Timberwolves check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Karl-Anthony Towns should suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats in light of being on the road in this contest.

Karl-Anthony Towns

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.9
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.9

Karl-Anthony Towns has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone. The matchup vs. the Phoenix Suns is a tough one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 3rd-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (29.1%). The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA while on the road this year. The Timberwolves check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Karl-Anthony Towns should suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats in light of being on the road in this contest.

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Naz Reid Points Scored Props • Minnesota

N. Reid
center C • Minnesota
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.1
Best Odds
Over
+105

Naz Reid has tallied 17.6 points per game over the last 10 games while playing on the road, 4.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road. Naz Reid has sunk 2.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year away from his home court. Naz Reid has played 29.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 5.2 higher than he's played over the course of the season on the road. In regard to shooting, the Timberwolves's superb 115.6 points per game on the road settles in as the 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Suns have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which ought to increase possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Naz Reid

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.1

Naz Reid has tallied 17.6 points per game over the last 10 games while playing on the road, 4.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road. Naz Reid has sunk 2.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.7 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year away from his home court. Naz Reid has played 29.6 minutes per game over the last 10 games while on the road, 5.2 higher than he's played over the course of the season on the road. In regard to shooting, the Timberwolves's superb 115.6 points per game on the road settles in as the 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Suns have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which ought to increase possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.

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Devin Booker Points Scored Props • Phoenix

D. Booker
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
24.3
Best Odds
Under
-102

Devin Booker has committed 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's committed overall this year. The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one for scoring; opposing starting PGs have compiled the lowest FG% in the league this year (39.8%). The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the NBA away from their home city this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Suns. The Suns rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.2 free throws per game over the last 20 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

Devin Booker

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 24.3
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
24.3

Devin Booker has committed 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's committed overall this year. The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves is a difficult one for scoring; opposing starting PGs have compiled the lowest FG% in the league this year (39.8%). The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the NBA away from their home city this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Suns. The Suns rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). The matchup against the Minnesota Timberwolves may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.2 free throws per game over the last 20 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

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Mike Conley Points Scored Props • Minnesota

M. Conley
point guard PG • Minnesota
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Prop
12.5 Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Under
-115
Projection Rating

Mike Conley has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the season. The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA while on the road this year. The Timberwolves check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Mike Conley should experience a decrease in performance for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

Mike Conley

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Mike Conley has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's committed over the course of the season. The Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the NBA while on the road this year. The Timberwolves check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists). Mike Conley should experience a decrease in performance for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

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Bradley Beal Points Scored Props • Phoenix

B. Beal
shooting guard SG • Phoenix
Prop
18.5
Points Scored
Projection
18.7
Best Odds
Over
-108

Bradley Beal has successfully made 56.9% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games at home, 12.1% more than he's sunk in all games this year while playing at home. Bradley Beal has played 38.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he's played in all games this season. The matchup vs. Minnesota is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.6). The 4th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Suns. Bradley Beal has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 14.9% higher than he's made overall this year while at home.

Bradley Beal

Prop: 18.5 Points Scored
Projection: 18.7
Prop:
18.5 Points Scored
Projection:
18.7

Bradley Beal has successfully made 56.9% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games at home, 12.1% more than he's sunk in all games this year while playing at home. Bradley Beal has played 38.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.0 higher than he's played in all games this season. The matchup vs. Minnesota is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.6). The 4th-fastest pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Suns. Bradley Beal has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 14.9% higher than he's made overall this year while at home.

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Rudy Gobert Points Scored Props • Minnesota

R. Gobert
center C • Minnesota
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-120

Rudy Gobert has averaged 19.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. Rudy Gobert has converted 73.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.8% higher than he's converted in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert slots into the 92nd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 33.9 minutes per game away from his home court this year. In regard to shooting, the Timberwolves's superb 115.6 points per game on the road settles in as the 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Suns have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which ought to increase possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Rudy Gobert

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Rudy Gobert has averaged 19.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this season. Rudy Gobert has converted 73.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 6.8% higher than he's converted in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert slots into the 92nd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 33.9 minutes per game away from his home court this year. In regard to shooting, the Timberwolves's superb 115.6 points per game on the road settles in as the 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Suns have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which ought to increase possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.

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Anthony Edwards Points Scored Props • Minnesota

A. Edwards
shooting guard SG • Minnesota
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.5
Best Odds
Over
-113

Anthony Edwards has sunk 10.9 baskets per game over the last 15 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year while playing on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards registers in the 96th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 35.3 minutes per game this year. In regard to shooting, the Timberwolves's superb 115.6 points per game on the road settles in as the 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Suns have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which ought to increase possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Anthony Edwards has converted 6.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's sunk overall this year.

Anthony Edwards

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.5
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.5

Anthony Edwards has sunk 10.9 baskets per game over the last 15 games on the road, 1.3 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year while playing on the road. Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards registers in the 96th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 35.3 minutes per game this year. In regard to shooting, the Timberwolves's superb 115.6 points per game on the road settles in as the 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 15 games. The Suns have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games at home, which ought to increase possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves. Anthony Edwards has converted 6.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's sunk overall this year.

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How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

About the Phoenix Suns

The Phoenix Suns are the talk of the NBA following the trade deadline. With new ownership and sky-high ambitions, the Suns acquired Kevin Durant from the Brooklyn Nets in a blockbuster deal. After a disappointing playoff upset at the hands of the Dallas Mavericks last year and a slow start to the year, it looked like the sun might be finally setting on this iteration of Phoenix. That’s all changed now, with most sportsbooks having them as the presumptive favorite to get out of the West. Following the 2022-23 All-Star break, the Suns had +400 odds of winning the NBA Finals.

Durant should integrate seamlessly alongside Chris Paul and Devin Booker in a mid-range-focused offense, and Deandre Ayton will have a chance to shine as a third or fourth option when this elite guard and wing combo gets it going.

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