Milwaukee Bucks

1st in NBA Central (49 - 33)

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Sun, Apr 28 19:00 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Damian Lillard Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

D. Lillard
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
22.3
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Damian Lillard has attempted just 8.7 3-pointers per game this season, significantly lower than his 11.3 rate last season. The matchup against the Pacers is a tough one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.6). The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Damian Lillard will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player production in all facets of the game.

Damian Lillard

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.3
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.3

Damian Lillard has attempted just 8.7 3-pointers per game this season, significantly lower than his 11.3 rate last season. The matchup against the Pacers is a tough one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the least three attempts per game in the league this year (4.6). The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Damian Lillard will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player production in all facets of the game.

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Patrick Beverley Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

P. Beverley
point guard PG • Milwaukee
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.1
Best Odds
Over
-108

Patrick Beverley has tallied 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 11.9 more than he's tallied overall this year. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Bucks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Pacers). Patrick Beverley has sunk 96.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 12.3% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. The matchup against Indiana may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Indiana Pacers have the home court advantage (7th-most in the NBA).

Patrick Beverley

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.1

Patrick Beverley has tallied 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 11.9 more than he's tallied overall this year. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Bucks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Pacers). Patrick Beverley has sunk 96.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 10 games, 12.3% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. The matchup against Indiana may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Indiana Pacers have the home court advantage (7th-most in the NBA).

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Pascal Siakam Points Scored Props • Indiana

P. Siakam
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.5
Best Odds
Under
-108

Pascal Siakam has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Indiana Pacers. The Indiana Pacers have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Pascal Siakam has converted a measly 3.6 free throws per game this year, significantly less than his 5.2 rate last year. The matchup vs. the Bucks may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game over the last 25 games (least in the league).

Pascal Siakam

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.5
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.5

Pascal Siakam has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game while at home this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Indiana Pacers. The Indiana Pacers have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists). Pascal Siakam has converted a measly 3.6 free throws per game this year, significantly less than his 5.2 rate last year. The matchup vs. the Bucks may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game over the last 25 games (least in the league).

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Tyrese Haliburton Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. Haliburton
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
16.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.3
Best Odds
Over
-125

Tyrese Haliburton has attempted 15.1 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league. Tyrese Haliburton has attempted 7.3 3-point shots per game at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Tyrese Haliburton measures in the 85th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 32.0 minutes per game while at home this year. With respect to offense, the Pacers's excellent 122.8 points per game settles in as the highest in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have registered 21.7 points per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, creating a positive matchup for offensive efficiency.

Tyrese Haliburton

Prop: 16.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.3
Prop:
16.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.3

Tyrese Haliburton has attempted 15.1 field goals per game this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league. Tyrese Haliburton has attempted 7.3 3-point shots per game at home this year, ranking him in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the league, Tyrese Haliburton measures in the 85th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 32.0 minutes per game while at home this year. With respect to offense, the Pacers's excellent 122.8 points per game settles in as the highest in the league this year. This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have registered 21.7 points per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, creating a positive matchup for offensive efficiency.

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Khris Middleton Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

K. Middleton
small forward SF • Milwaukee
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.3
Best Odds
Under
-110

Among all players in the NBA, Khris Middleton ranks in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.6 fouls per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 2.9 three attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, labeling this as a challenging matchup. The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Khris Middleton should suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

Khris Middleton

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.3
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.3

Among all players in the NBA, Khris Middleton ranks in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.6 fouls per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting SFs have tallied 2.9 three attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, labeling this as a challenging matchup. The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Khris Middleton should suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

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Aaron Nesmith Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nesmith
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.8
Best Odds
Over
-115

Aaron Nesmith has converted a whopping 42.4% of his three-point shots this season, a big improvement over his 32.8 rate last season. Aaron Nesmith has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 higher than he's averaged overall this year. With respect to offense, the Pacers's excellent 122.8 points per game settles in as the highest in the league this year. The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Bucks are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most baskets per game in the league this year (7.0). The most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.8
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.8

Aaron Nesmith has converted a whopping 42.4% of his three-point shots this season, a big improvement over his 32.8 rate last season. Aaron Nesmith has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 higher than he's averaged overall this year. With respect to offense, the Pacers's excellent 122.8 points per game settles in as the highest in the league this year. The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Bucks are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have totaled the 3rd-most baskets per game in the league this year (7.0). The most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pacers.

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T.J. McConnell Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. McConnell
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

T.J. McConnell has made 6.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.3 higher than he's made over the course of the year on his home court. With respect to offense, the Pacers's excellent 122.8 points per game settles in as the highest in the league this year. The most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pacers. T.J. McConnell has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.7% more than he's sunk in all games this year. T.J. McConnell will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

T.J. McConnell

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

T.J. McConnell has made 6.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.3 higher than he's made over the course of the year on his home court. With respect to offense, the Pacers's excellent 122.8 points per game settles in as the highest in the league this year. The most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pacers. T.J. McConnell has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.7% more than he's sunk in all games this year. T.J. McConnell will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

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Andrew Nembhard Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nembhard
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.3
Best Odds
Under
+100

Andrew Nembhard has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's accumulated overall this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Indiana Pacers. The Indiana Pacers have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Andrew Nembhard

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.3
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.3

Andrew Nembhard has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's accumulated overall this year. The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Indiana Pacers. The Indiana Pacers have been the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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Brook Lopez Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Lopez
center C • Milwaukee
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.3
Best Odds
Under
-102

Brook Lopez has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (85th percentile). The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Myles Turner has been quite low (1.3 per game) when on his home court and defending opposing starting Cs this year (6th percentile). The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Brook Lopez ought to see a decline in production for all stats considering playing away from home in this matchup.

Brook Lopez

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.3

Brook Lopez has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (85th percentile). The number of shots from behind the three-point arc attempted against Myles Turner has been quite low (1.3 per game) when on his home court and defending opposing starting Cs this year (6th percentile). The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists). Brook Lopez ought to see a decline in production for all stats considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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Bobby Portis Points Scored Props • Milwaukee

B. Portis
power forward PF • Milwaukee
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Over
-118

Bobby Portis has converted 7.5 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 higher than he's converted in all games this year. Bobby Portis has successfully made 45.6% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 10.9% more than he's sunk overall this year. Bobby Portis has tallied 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Bucks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Pacers).

Bobby Portis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.4
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.4

Bobby Portis has converted 7.5 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 higher than he's converted in all games this year. Bobby Portis has successfully made 45.6% of his attempts from downtown over the last 10 games, 10.9% more than he's sunk overall this year. Bobby Portis has tallied 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league this year. The Bucks will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from competing against the quickest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Pacers).

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Myles Turner Points Scored Props • Indiana

M. Turner
center C • Indiana
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Over
-128

Myles Turner has successfully made 8.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Myles Turner has sunk 53.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 17.6% more than he's converted in all games this year at home. Myles Turner has averaged 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. With respect to offense, the Pacers's excellent 122.8 points per game settles in as the highest in the league this year. When matched up against fellow starting Cs, Brook Lopez places in the 100th percentile with a whopping 2.4 three-pointers attempted against him per game this year.

Myles Turner

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.4
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.4

Myles Turner has successfully made 8.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's sunk in all games this season. Myles Turner has sunk 53.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games at home, 17.6% more than he's converted in all games this year at home. Myles Turner has averaged 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. With respect to offense, the Pacers's excellent 122.8 points per game settles in as the highest in the league this year. When matched up against fellow starting Cs, Brook Lopez places in the 100th percentile with a whopping 2.4 three-pointers attempted against him per game this year.

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How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

About the Milwaukee Bucks

The Milwaukee Bucks rode a 12-game win streak into the 2022-23 All-Star Break. Along with the Boston Celtics, the 2021 NBA Champion Bucks have separated themselves from the competition in the NBA’s Eastern Conference this year, with Giannis Antetokounmpo putting up another MVP-caliber season. The Bucks are on pace for a 56-win season. They should easily walk into two rounds of home-court advantage in the Eastern Conference playoffs.

Last year, this Bucks team lost to the Celtics, short their all-star shooting guard Kris Middleton. Still, with some trade-deadline additions, such as former Phoenix Suns power forward Jae Crowder, and a mostly healthy roster, the Bucks believe they can beat anybody this year with how the playoff bracket could shake out are set up for a possible Eastern Conference Finals showdown against Boston.

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