Miami Heat

NBA Player Props

Jayson Tatum has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this year. The most sluggish pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Boston Celtics. The Celtics are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Heat). With respect to drawing fouls, the Boston Celtics's feeble 16.2 foul shots per game places worst in the league over the last 15 games. Jayson Tatum will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases stat production for all stats.

Out of all players in the league, Jaime Jaquez Jr. places in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, registering an enormous 2.2 fouls per game this year. The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Heat. The Celtics have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 4thworst in in the league with only 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Out of all players in the league, Jrue Holiday registers in the 86th percentile for three-point efficiency away from his home court with a phenomenal 41.0% rate this year. Among all players in the NBA, Jrue Holiday lands in the 89th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 32.9 minutes per game this year. The matchup against the Heat is a strong one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the NBA when playing on the road with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Jrue Holiday has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games, 15.4% higher than he's made in all games this year.

Payton Pritchard has sunk 7.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 3.4 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season. Payton Pritchard has tallied 28.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the NBA when playing on the road with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Payton Pritchard has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 18.1% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Bam Adebayo has attempted 0.7 3-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 18th percentile out of all players in the league. The matchup against Al Horford is a tough one for three-pointers; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have averaged a lowly 0.5 three-pointers per game (8th percentile). The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Heat. The Celtics have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 4thworst in in the league with only 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Heat. The Celtics have played at the most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games while traveling, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Heat. Offensive rebounds continue possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 4thworst in in the league with only 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year. This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.3 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

Among all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis measures in the 90th percentile, posting a monstrous 19.8 points per game this year. Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 5.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking in the 84th percentile among all players in the NBA. Among all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis registers in the 80th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 29.7 minutes per game this year. The matchup against Miami is a good one for three-point shots; when the Miami Heat are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have posted the highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (46.4%). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the NBA when playing on the road with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Nikola Jovic has successfully made 58.7% of his shots from downtown over the last 5 games, 17.6% higher than he's made from three in all games this year. Nikola Jovic has played 25.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.7 more than he's played overall this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. Nikola Jovic has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 11 games at home, 28.7% more than he's made in all games this year while at home. Nikola Jovic stands to get a boost in output across the board considering owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Derrick White has successfully made 3.4 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season when playing away from home. Derrick White has played 32.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 88th percentile. This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, marking this as a good matchup. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the NBA when playing on the road with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Derrick White has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 10.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Caleb Martin has made 50.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 10 games, 11.1% more than he's made in all games this year. The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc. This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have tallied 6.7 three attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, resulting in a positive matchup. Caleb Martin has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 18.3% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season on his home court. Caleb Martin should see an increase in output in all facets of the game on account of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Al Horford has converted 54.7% of his treys over the last 15 games, 12.7% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year. The showdown with Bam Adebayo lands in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs burying a whopping 61.8% of their field goal attempts this year when they are away from home. Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the NBA when playing on the road with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. Al Horford has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 14.3% higher than he's converted overall this season away from home.

Jaylen Brown has attempted 21.2 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games away from his home court, 2.3 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road. Jaylen Brown has attempted 5.9 treys per game this year, placing him in the 89th percentile among all players in the league. Jaylen Brown has played 33.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 91st percentile. The matchup against the Heat is a positive one for field goal attempts; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 7th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (12.2). Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the NBA when playing on the road with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Sam Hauser has gone over 5.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.