Dallas 5th Western Conference50-32
Boston 1st Eastern Conference64-18

Dallas @ Boston props

TD Garden

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
27.2
Best Odds
Over
-108

Jayson Tatum has attempted 21.3 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Jayson Tatum comes in at the 97th percentile for three-point attempts, totaling 8.0 per game this year. Jayson Tatum has averaged 35.8 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Boston Celtics have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. The matchup against the Mavericks is a positive one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the most FG attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 27.2
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
27.2

Jayson Tatum has attempted 21.3 shots from the field per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Among all players in the league, Jayson Tatum comes in at the 97th percentile for three-point attempts, totaling 8.0 per game this year. Jayson Tatum has averaged 35.8 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA. The Boston Celtics have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. The matchup against the Mavericks is a positive one for field goal attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the most FG attempts per game in the league this year (16.0).

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.6
Best Odds
Over
+104

Daniel Gafford has successfully made 78.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 8.0% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup against Al Horford is a favorable one; he has allowed a massive 15.0 points per game when playing at home when defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). Out of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford places in the 78th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, totaling a whopping 2.5 free throw attempts per game this year.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.6
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.6

Daniel Gafford has successfully made 78.0% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 8.0% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup against Al Horford is a favorable one; he has allowed a massive 15.0 points per game when playing at home when defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile). Out of all players in the NBA, Daniel Gafford places in the 78th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, totaling a whopping 2.5 free throw attempts per game this year.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.3
Best Odds
Over
-117

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving registers in the 97th percentile for shots scored when playing on the road, averaging a colossal 9.1 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Kyrie Irving places in the 95th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 35.2 minutes per game away from his home court this year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 6.8 3-point attempts per game (4th-most in the league) against the Boston Celtics, labeling this as a strong matchup.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.3

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving registers in the 97th percentile for shots scored when playing on the road, averaging a colossal 9.1 per game this year. Among all players in the league, Kyrie Irving places in the 95th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 35.2 minutes per game away from his home court this year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 6.8 3-point attempts per game (4th-most in the league) against the Boston Celtics, labeling this as a strong matchup.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-108
Prop
7.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Over
-108
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 53.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 22.9% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Derrick Jones Jr. has successfully made 53.3% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games, 22.9% higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Boston Celtics is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 2nd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
20.5
Points Scored
Projection
22.8
Best Odds
Over
+104

Jaylen Brown has compiled 28.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's compiled over the course of the season. Jaylen Brown has attempted 5.7 3-pointers per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jaylen Brown has tallied 33.2 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Boston Celtics have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. Jaylen Brown has attempted 4.6 free throws per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among all players in the league.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 20.5 Points Scored
Projection: 22.8
Prop:
20.5 Points Scored
Projection:
22.8

Jaylen Brown has compiled 28.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's compiled over the course of the season. Jaylen Brown has attempted 5.7 3-pointers per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 86th percentile out of all players in the NBA. Jaylen Brown has tallied 33.2 minutes per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Boston Celtics have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. Jaylen Brown has attempted 4.6 free throws per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among all players in the league.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
13.4
Best Odds
Over
-115

P.J. Washington has attempted 7.0 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Out of all players in the league, P.J. Washington ranks in the 82nd percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 30.7 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Celtics, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13.4

P.J. Washington has attempted 7.0 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Out of all players in the league, P.J. Washington ranks in the 82nd percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 30.7 minutes per game while playing away from home this year. The Dallas Mavericks have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year. This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Celtics, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
32.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.2
Best Odds
Under
-120
Prop
32.5 Points Scored
Projection
30.2
Best Odds
Under
-120
Projection Rating

The Mavericks have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Celtics). Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 6thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with a mere 9.4 offensive boards per game this year. This year, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.3 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line. Luka Doncic will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production across the board.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 32.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.2
Prop:
32.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.2

The Mavericks have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games. The Mavericks are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Celtics). Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 6thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with a mere 9.4 offensive boards per game this year. This year, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.3 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line. Luka Doncic will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually decreases stat production across the board.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.7
Best Odds
Over
-142

Derrick White has successfully made 3.4 threes per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season. Derrick White has averaged 32.3 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Boston Celtics have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 three attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, resulting in a good matchup. The matchup vs. Kyrie Irving is a good one for field goals; when defending fellow starting SGs this year, they have converted an enormous 44.0% of their field goals (100th percentile).

Derrick White

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.7
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.7

Derrick White has successfully made 3.4 threes per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this season. Derrick White has averaged 32.3 minutes per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA. The Boston Celtics have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 three attempts per game (5th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, resulting in a good matchup. The matchup vs. Kyrie Irving is a good one for field goals; when defending fellow starting SGs this year, they have converted an enormous 44.0% of their field goals (100th percentile).

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.6
Best Odds
Over
-172

Al Horford has attempted 10.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 3.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Al Horford has attempted 7.6 treys per game over the last 5 games while at home, 3.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. The Boston Celtics have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. The matchup with Daniel Gafford places in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs registering a massive 15.2 points per game this year. The showdown with Daniel Gafford as it relates to getting to the free-throw line rates in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting a massive 3.7 foul shots per game this year.

Al Horford

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 8.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
8.6

Al Horford has attempted 10.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 3.8 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home. Al Horford has attempted 7.6 treys per game over the last 5 games while at home, 3.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home. The Boston Celtics have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. The matchup with Daniel Gafford places in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs registering a massive 15.2 points per game this year. The showdown with Daniel Gafford as it relates to getting to the free-throw line rates in just the 100th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting a massive 3.7 foul shots per game this year.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
12.5
Points Scored
Projection
13
Best Odds
Over
+100

Jrue Holiday has compiled 17.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's compiled overall this season. Jrue Holiday has attempted 5.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Jrue Holiday has averaged 32.8 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Boston Celtics have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 2.4 3-pointers per game (9th-most in the league) against the Mavericks, labeling this as a strong matchup.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 12.5 Points Scored
Projection: 13
Prop:
12.5 Points Scored
Projection:
13

Jrue Holiday has compiled 17.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's compiled overall this season. Jrue Holiday has attempted 5.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's attempted over the course of the season. Jrue Holiday has averaged 32.8 minutes per game at home this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA. The Boston Celtics have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 2.4 3-pointers per game (9th-most in the league) against the Mavericks, labeling this as a strong matchup.

Kristaps Porzingis Points Scored Props • Boston

K. Porzingis
power forward PF • Boston
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
14.6
Best Odds
Over
-162

Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis slots into the 75th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 28.6 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Boston Celtics have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. Kristaps Porzingis has made 4.2 foul shots per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA. Kristaps Porzingis ought to see an increase in performance for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Kristaps Porzingis

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14.6
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14.6

Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis slots into the 75th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 28.6 minutes per game playing at home this year. The Boston Celtics have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court. Kristaps Porzingis has made 4.2 foul shots per game while on his home court this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA. Kristaps Porzingis ought to see an increase in performance for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.90
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-105
Under
-125
Prop
2.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
12.90
Best Odds
Over
-105
Under
-125

Tim Hardaway Jr. has gone over 2.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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