DAL 6.5 o209.5
BOS -6.5 u209.5
Boston 1st Eastern Conference64-18
Indiana 6th Eastern Conference47-35
ESPN, ESPN2, Sportsnet

Boston @ Indiana props

Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Myles Turner Points Scored Props • Indiana

M. Turner
center C • Indiana
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.1
Best Odds
Over
-120

Myles Turner has made 2.3 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from three over the course of the season. Myles Turner has averaged 32.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.8 more than he's averaged overall this year. The Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. When facing other starting Cs, Al Horford has been in the 100th percentile with a massive 11.5 shots from the field against him per game this year. Myles Turner has converted 95.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.5% higher than he's made overall this season.

Myles Turner

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.1

Myles Turner has made 2.3 three-pointers per game over the last 15 games, 0.6 more than he's converted from three over the course of the season. Myles Turner has averaged 32.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.8 more than he's averaged overall this year. The Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. When facing other starting Cs, Al Horford has been in the 100th percentile with a massive 11.5 shots from the field against him per game this year. Myles Turner has converted 95.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 18.5% higher than he's made overall this season.

Andrew Nembhard Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nembhard
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.2
Best Odds
Under
-156

Andrew Nembhard has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 more than he's accumulated overall this season. The 5th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Indiana Pacers. The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games while traveling, which should lead to fewer plays for the Indiana Pacers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 9thworst in in the league playing at home with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.3 free throws per game this year (least in the league).

Andrew Nembhard

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.2
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.2

Andrew Nembhard has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 more than he's accumulated overall this season. The 5th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Indiana Pacers. The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games while traveling, which should lead to fewer plays for the Indiana Pacers. Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 9thworst in in the league playing at home with a mere 10.0 offensive rebounds per game this year. The matchup against the Boston Celtics is a hard one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 2.3 free throws per game this year (least in the league).

Jayson Tatum Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Tatum
small forward SF • Boston
Prop
26.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.2
Best Odds
Over
-101

Jayson Tatum has successfully made 10.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's sunk in all games this season. Jayson Tatum has tallied 43.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 more than he's tallied in all games this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 9th-best in in the league when playing on the road with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Jayson Tatum has sunk 8.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.5 higher than he's made in all games this year while on the road. This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 5.8 foul shots per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Jayson Tatum

Prop: 26.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.2
Prop:
26.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.2

Jayson Tatum has successfully made 10.6 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's sunk in all games this season. Jayson Tatum has tallied 43.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 more than he's tallied in all games this year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 9th-best in in the league when playing on the road with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Jayson Tatum has sunk 8.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.5 higher than he's made in all games this year while on the road. This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 5.8 foul shots per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Al Horford Points Scored Props • Boston

A. Horford
center C • Boston
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
11
Best Odds
Over
+120

Al Horford has attempted 8.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Al Horford has averaged 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's averaged in all games this season. The matchup vs. Myles Turner is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have successfully made an enormous 33.2% of their 3-point shots (100th percentile). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 9th-best in in the league when playing on the road with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Al Horford has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 14.3% more than he's made in all games this year away from home.

Al Horford

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11

Al Horford has attempted 8.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this year. Al Horford has averaged 32.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 more than he's averaged in all games this season. The matchup vs. Myles Turner is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have successfully made an enormous 33.2% of their 3-point shots (100th percentile). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 9th-best in in the league when playing on the road with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Al Horford has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 14.3% more than he's made in all games this year away from home.

T.J. McConnell Points Scored Props • Indiana

T. McConnell
point guard PG • Indiana
Prop
13.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.7
Best Odds
Over
+101

T.J. McConnell has converted 6.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's sunk overall this year. The Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. T.J. McConnell has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 14.2% higher than he's converted in all games this season on his home court. T.J. McConnell will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually increases stat production in all stat categories.

T.J. McConnell

Prop: 13.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.7
Prop:
13.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.7

T.J. McConnell has converted 6.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 more than he's sunk overall this year. The Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. T.J. McConnell has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 14.2% higher than he's converted in all games this season on his home court. T.J. McConnell will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium usually increases stat production in all stat categories.

Jrue Holiday Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Holiday
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
14
Best Odds
Under
-108

The matchup against the Pacers is a tough one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6). The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Indiana Pacers have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce plays for the Celtics. Jrue Holiday ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this matchup.

Jrue Holiday

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 14
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
14

The matchup against the Pacers is a tough one for three-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.6). The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court. The Indiana Pacers have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce plays for the Celtics. Jrue Holiday ought to suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this matchup.

Payton Pritchard Points Scored Props • Boston

P. Pritchard
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.9
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Payton Pritchard has attempted 4.5 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly higher than his 2.8 rate last year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 9th-best in in the league when playing on the road with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Payton Pritchard has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 16.4% more than he's made over the course of the season.

Payton Pritchard

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.9
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.9

Payton Pritchard has attempted 4.5 shots from downtown per game this year, significantly higher than his 2.8 rate last year. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 9th-best in in the league when playing on the road with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Payton Pritchard has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 16.4% more than he's made over the course of the season.

Ben Sheppard Points Scored Props • Indiana

B. Sheppard
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
4.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
4.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Ben Sheppard has converted 40.1% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 9.7% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. The Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. Ben Sheppard has made 89.5% of his free throw attempts this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Ben Sheppard should see a rise in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Ben Sheppard

Prop: 4.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.8
Prop:
4.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.8

Ben Sheppard has converted 40.1% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 9.7% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season. The Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. Ben Sheppard has made 89.5% of his free throw attempts this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile among all players in the NBA. Ben Sheppard should see a rise in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Pascal Siakam Points Scored Props • Indiana

P. Siakam
power forward PF • Indiana
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
21.2
Best Odds
Over
-114

Pascal Siakam has converted 10.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Pascal Siakam has missed 2.0 3-point shots per game this season, significantly less than his 2.7 mark last season. The Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. Pascal Siakam figures to get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories in light of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Pascal Siakam

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 21.2
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
21.2

Pascal Siakam has converted 10.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year. Pascal Siakam has missed 2.0 3-point shots per game this season, significantly less than his 2.7 mark last season. The Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. Pascal Siakam figures to get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories in light of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Aaron Nesmith Points Scored Props • Indiana

A. Nesmith
shooting guard SG • Indiana
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-122

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 58.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 9.9% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Aaron Nesmith has sunk 40.8% of his 3-point attempts this year, putting him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. Boston is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Boston Celtics are on the road, opposing starting SFs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.7). Aaron Nesmith will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally boosts player performance for all stats.

Aaron Nesmith

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Aaron Nesmith has sunk 58.6% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 9.9% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year. Aaron Nesmith has sunk 40.8% of his 3-point attempts this year, putting him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA. The Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year. The matchup vs. Boston is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Boston Celtics are on the road, opposing starting SFs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.7). Aaron Nesmith will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally boosts player performance for all stats.

Jaylen Brown Points Scored Props • Boston

J. Brown
shooting guard SG • Boston
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.4
Best Odds
Over
+100

Jaylen Brown has converted 9.1 baskets per game this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown slots into the 88th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, logging 5.8 per game this year. Jaylen Brown has been on the court for 38.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 9th-best in in the league when playing on the road with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Jaylen Brown has attempted 7.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Jaylen Brown

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.4
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.4

Jaylen Brown has converted 9.1 baskets per game this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Jaylen Brown slots into the 88th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, logging 5.8 per game this year. Jaylen Brown has been on the court for 38.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 9th-best in in the league when playing on the road with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games. Jaylen Brown has attempted 7.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Derrick White Points Scored Props • Boston

D. White
point guard PG • Boston
Prop
14.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Over
-164

Derrick White has attempted 14.1 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Derrick White has attempted 9.0 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, Derrick White rates in the 88th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 32.9 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 19.0 points per game (most in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, marking this as a good matchup for offensive production. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 9th-best in in the league when playing on the road with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Derrick White

Prop: 14.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
14.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Derrick White has attempted 14.1 shots per game over the last 10 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Derrick White has attempted 9.0 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 2.0 more than he's attempted in all games this season. Among all players in the NBA, Derrick White rates in the 88th percentile for playing time, posting a massive 32.9 minutes per game this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 19.0 points per game (most in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, marking this as a good matchup for offensive production. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics rank 9th-best in in the league when playing on the road with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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