Dallas 5th Western Conference50-32
Oklahoma City 1st Western Conference57-25

Dallas @ Oklahoma City props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dereck Lively II Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Lively II
center C • Dallas
Prop
2.5
Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
+3000
Prop
2.5 Points Scored
Projection
6.3
Best Odds
Over
+3000
Projection Rating

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II lands in the 98th percentile for shooting performance away from his home court with a terrific 69.4% rate this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Dereck Lively II

Prop: 2.5 Points Scored
Projection: 6.3
Prop:
2.5 Points Scored
Projection:
6.3

Among all players in the NBA, Dereck Lively II lands in the 98th percentile for shooting performance away from his home court with a terrific 69.4% rate this year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
29.5
Points Scored
Projection
30.3
Best Odds
Over
+360
Prop
29.5 Points Scored
Projection
30.3
Best Odds
Over
+360
Projection Rating

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic places in the 100th percentile, logging a monstrous 33.4 points per game this year. In comparison to last year's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from downtown have increased this year to 10.6 per game. Luka Doncic has played 37.6 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 7.7 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Thunder, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 29.5 Points Scored
Projection: 30.3
Prop:
29.5 Points Scored
Projection:
30.3

Out of all players in the league, Luka Doncic places in the 100th percentile, logging a monstrous 33.4 points per game this year. In comparison to last year's 8.2 mark, Luka Doncic's shot attempts from downtown have increased this year to 10.6 per game. Luka Doncic has played 37.6 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league. This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 7.7 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Thunder, labeling this as a favorable matchup. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Points Scored
Projection
23.7
Best Odds
Over
+125

Kyrie Irving has sunk 9.4 field goals per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league. Kyrie Irving has sunk 2.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup against the Thunder is a good one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SGs have shot for the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.1%). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 7.5 Points Scored
Projection: 23.7
Prop:
7.5 Points Scored
Projection:
23.7

Kyrie Irving has sunk 9.4 field goals per game when playing on the road this year, ranking in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league. Kyrie Irving has sunk 2.9 shots from behind the three-point arc per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA. The matchup against the Thunder is a good one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting SGs have shot for the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.1%). The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Luguentz Dort Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

L. Dort
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
10.6
Best Odds
Over
+110

Luguentz Dort has converted 2.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Luguentz Dort has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year. The 5th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Thunder. Luguentz Dort has converted 87.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 8.1% more than he's made over the course of the season on his home court.

Luguentz Dort

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 10.6
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
10.6

Luguentz Dort has converted 2.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year. Luguentz Dort has tallied 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year. The 5th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Thunder. Luguentz Dort has converted 87.5% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 8.1% more than he's made over the course of the season on his home court.

Chet Holmgren Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

C. Holmgren
center C • Oklahoma City
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.1
Best Odds
Over
-111

Chet Holmgren has converted 61.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 6.8% higher than he's put through the net overall this year on his home court. Chet Holmgren has averaged 29.2 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a positive one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The 5th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Thunder.

Chet Holmgren

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.1
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.1

Chet Holmgren has converted 61.3% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 6.8% higher than he's put through the net overall this year on his home court. Chet Holmgren has averaged 29.2 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 76th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a positive one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The 5th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Thunder.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.4
Best Odds
Under
-129

Daniel Gafford has converted a lowly 69.1% of his shot attempts from the field this year, quite a bit lower than his 75.2 mark last year. Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 shots from downtown per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 5th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford ranks in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 3.0 fouls per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. Daniel Gafford figures to see a decline in production across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.4
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.4

Daniel Gafford has converted a lowly 69.1% of his shot attempts from the field this year, quite a bit lower than his 75.2 mark last year. Daniel Gafford has attempted 0.0 shots from downtown per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 5th percentile among all players in the league. Among all players in the league, Daniel Gafford ranks in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 3.0 fouls per game this year. The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games. Daniel Gafford figures to see a decline in production across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.

Josh Giddey Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Giddey
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.7
Best Odds
Over
-138

Josh Giddey has converted 1.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made overall this season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year. The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Mavericks are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 9th-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4). The 5th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Thunder. Josh Giddey has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 17.5% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year with the home court advantage.

Josh Giddey

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.7

Josh Giddey has converted 1.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made overall this season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year. The matchup vs. Dallas is a good one for 3-point shots; when the Mavericks are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 9th-most 3-point shots per game in the league this year (2.4). The 5th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Thunder. Josh Giddey has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 17.5% more than he's put through the hoop overall this year with the home court advantage.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
point guard PG • Oklahoma City
Prop
35.5
Points Scored
Projection
28
Best Odds
Under
-174

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should decrease possessions for the Thunder. The Thunder check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted a measly 8.7 foul shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 10.8 rate last year. The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the NBA).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Prop: 35.5 Points Scored
Projection: 28
Prop:
35.5 Points Scored
Projection:
28

The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should decrease possessions for the Thunder. The Thunder check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists). Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has attempted a measly 8.7 foul shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 10.8 rate last year. The matchup vs. the Mavericks may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (6th-least in the NBA).

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.9
Best Odds
Over
-120

P.J. Washington has attempted 5.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league. P.J. Washington has played 30.0 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 4.5 free throws per game (10th-highest in the league) vs. the Thunder, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.9
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.9

P.J. Washington has attempted 5.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league. P.J. Washington has played 30.0 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 81st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 4.5 free throws per game (10th-highest in the league) vs. the Thunder, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Aaron Wiggins Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

A. Wiggins
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 72.8% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 14.4% higher than he's put through the net overall this year playing at home. Relative to last year's 36.9% mark, Aaron Wiggins's 3-point efficiency has spiked this year to 50.8%. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year. The 5th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Thunder. Aaron Wiggins is expected to see a spike in performance for all stats in light of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Aaron Wiggins

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7

Aaron Wiggins has successfully made 72.8% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 14.4% higher than he's put through the net overall this year playing at home. Relative to last year's 36.9% mark, Aaron Wiggins's 3-point efficiency has spiked this year to 50.8%. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year. The 5th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Thunder. Aaron Wiggins is expected to see a spike in performance for all stats in light of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
8.5
Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
8.5 Points Scored
Projection
9.2
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, significantly more than his 1.2 rate last year. Derrick Jones Jr. has played 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 more than he's played over the course of the season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 4.2 free throws per game (7th-most in the league) against the Thunder, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 8.5 Points Scored
Projection: 9.2
Prop:
8.5 Points Scored
Projection:
9.2

Derrick Jones Jr. has attempted 3.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, significantly more than his 1.2 rate last year. Derrick Jones Jr. has played 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.3 more than he's played over the course of the season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which should boost plays for the Dallas Mavericks. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Dallas Mavericks rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games. Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 4.2 free throws per game (7th-most in the league) against the Thunder, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Jalen Williams Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

J. Williams
shooting guard SG • Oklahoma City
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
19.9
Best Odds
Over
-115

Jalen Williams has attempted 16.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Jalen Williams has converted a whopping 42.5% of his treys this year, quite a bit higher than his 33.7 mark last year. Jalen Williams has tallied 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a positive one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0).

Jalen Williams

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 19.9
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
19.9

Jalen Williams has attempted 16.6 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this season. Jalen Williams has converted a whopping 42.5% of his treys this year, quite a bit higher than his 33.7 mark last year. Jalen Williams has tallied 36.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.1 more than he's tallied over the course of the season. The Oklahoma City Thunder have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year. The matchup vs. the Dallas Mavericks is a positive one for shots from the field; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0).

Gordon Hayward Points Scored Props • Oklahoma City

G. Hayward
small forward SF • Oklahoma City
Prop
0.5
Points Scored
Projection
8.62
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Points Scored
Season Avg.
8.62
Best Odds

Gordon Hayward has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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