Dallas 5th Western Conference50-32
Sacramento 9th Western Conference46-36

Dallas @ Sacramento props

Golden 1 Center

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tim Hardaway Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

T. Hardaway Jr.
shooting guard SG • Dallas
Prop
9.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.2
Best Odds
Over
-120

Among all players in the league, Tim Hardaway Jr. ranks in the 84th percentile for shots taken when playing on the road, logging 12.7 per game this year. Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 7.9 treys per game this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Mavericks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road. The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks.

Tim Hardaway Jr.

Prop: 9.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.2
Prop:
9.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.2

Among all players in the league, Tim Hardaway Jr. ranks in the 84th percentile for shots taken when playing on the road, logging 12.7 per game this year. Tim Hardaway Jr. has attempted 7.9 treys per game this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA. The Mavericks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road. The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks.

P.J. Washington Points Scored Props • Dallas

P. Washington
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
10.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.5
Best Odds
Over
-115

Among all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington comes in at the 79th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 29.7 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The Mavericks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road. This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 52.6% on shot attempts from the field (6th-best in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, making this a strong matchup. The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks.

P.J. Washington

Prop: 10.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.5
Prop:
10.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.5

Among all players in the NBA, P.J. Washington comes in at the 79th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 29.7 minutes per game when playing away from home this year. The Mavericks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road. This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 52.6% on shot attempts from the field (6th-best in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings, making this a strong matchup. The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks.

Keon Ellis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Ellis
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.7
Best Odds
Over
-120

Keon Ellis has attempted 3.3 shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.0 mark last season. Keon Ellis has been on the court for 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 10.2 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year at home. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (5th-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a favorable matchup. The matchup against Kyrie Irving is a favorable one for shots from the field; when Irving is on the visiting team fellow starting SGs this year, they have converted a colossal 51.1% of their field goal attempts (97th percentile). The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Sacramento Kings.

Keon Ellis

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.7
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.7

Keon Ellis has attempted 3.3 shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.0 mark last season. Keon Ellis has been on the court for 28.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 10.2 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year at home. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (5th-most in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, designating this as a favorable matchup. The matchup against Kyrie Irving is a favorable one for shots from the field; when Irving is on the visiting team fellow starting SGs this year, they have converted a colossal 51.1% of their field goal attempts (97th percentile). The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Sacramento Kings.

Derrick Jones Jr. Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Jones Jr.
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
6.5
Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
6.5 Points Scored
Projection
7.3
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Derrick Jones Jr. has compiled an impressive 8.8 points per game this year, significantly more than his 4.8 points per game last year. Relative to last year's 1.2 rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s 3-point attempts have risen this year to 3.2 per game. Derrick Jones Jr. has played a whopping 23.3 minutes per game this season, quite a bit more than his 13.7 minutes per game last season. The Mavericks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road. This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Kings, making this a good matchup.

Derrick Jones Jr.

Prop: 6.5 Points Scored
Projection: 7.3
Prop:
6.5 Points Scored
Projection:
7.3

Derrick Jones Jr. has compiled an impressive 8.8 points per game this year, significantly more than his 4.8 points per game last year. Relative to last year's 1.2 rate, Derrick Jones Jr.'s 3-point attempts have risen this year to 3.2 per game. Derrick Jones Jr. has played a whopping 23.3 minutes per game this season, quite a bit more than his 13.7 minutes per game last season. The Mavericks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road. This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SFs have averaged 6.1 3-point attempts per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Kings, making this a good matchup.

Malik Monk Points Scored Props • Sacramento

M. Monk
shooting guard SG • Sacramento
Prop
17.5
Points Scored
Projection
16.3
Best Odds
Under
-122

Malik Monk has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games.

Malik Monk

Prop: 17.5 Points Scored
Projection: 16.3
Prop:
17.5 Points Scored
Projection:
16.3

Malik Monk has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated in all games this season. The Sacramento Kings rank as the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games.

Harrison Barnes Points Scored Props • Sacramento

H. Barnes
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
12.4
Best Odds
Over
-106

Harrison Barnes has attempted 6.0 treys per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.9 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home. The matchup against the Mavericks is a strong one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Harrison Barnes has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 18.5% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while at home.

Harrison Barnes

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 12.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
12.4

Harrison Barnes has attempted 6.0 treys per game over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, 1.9 higher than he's attempted in all games this year at home. The matchup against the Mavericks is a strong one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (16.0). The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games. Harrison Barnes has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 18.5% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season while at home.

De'Aaron Fox Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Fox
point guard PG • Sacramento
Prop
25.5
Points Scored
Projection
26.7
Best Odds
Over
-110

Relative to last season's 18.7 clip, De'Aaron Fox's shots from the field have increased this season to 20.8 per game. In comparison to last season's 1.8 clip, De'Aaron Fox's 3-point shots sunk have jumped this season to 2.8 per game. De'Aaron Fox has averaged 35.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 98th percentile. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 2.4 three-pointers per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Sacramento Kings.

De'Aaron Fox

Prop: 25.5 Points Scored
Projection: 26.7
Prop:
25.5 Points Scored
Projection:
26.7

Relative to last season's 18.7 clip, De'Aaron Fox's shots from the field have increased this season to 20.8 per game. In comparison to last season's 1.8 clip, De'Aaron Fox's 3-point shots sunk have jumped this season to 2.8 per game. De'Aaron Fox has averaged 35.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 98th percentile. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have tallied 2.4 three-pointers per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a favorable matchup. The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Sacramento Kings.

Luka Doncic Points Scored Props • Dallas

L. Doncic
small forward SF • Dallas
Prop
33.5
Points Scored
Projection
32.3
Best Odds
Under
-118

This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PGs have averaged 30.6% on 3-pointers (9th-lowest in the league) against the Kings, labeling this as a challenging matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA when playing away from home with only 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. In contrast to last year's 10.5 rate, Luka Doncic's number of foul shot attempts has fallen this year to 8.9 foul shot attempts per game. Luka Doncic will likely see a decline in performance in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this matchup.

Luka Doncic

Prop: 33.5 Points Scored
Projection: 32.3
Prop:
33.5 Points Scored
Projection:
32.3

This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PGs have averaged 30.6% on 3-pointers (9th-lowest in the league) against the Kings, labeling this as a challenging matchup. Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA when playing away from home with only 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. In contrast to last year's 10.5 rate, Luka Doncic's number of foul shot attempts has fallen this year to 8.9 foul shot attempts per game. Luka Doncic will likely see a decline in performance in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this matchup.

Domantas Sabonis Points Scored Props • Sacramento

D. Sabonis
power forward PF • Sacramento
Prop
19.5
Points Scored
Projection
20.4
Best Odds
Over
-110

Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis places in the 90th percentile for shots made while playing at home, compiling a whopping 7.7 per game this year. Domantas Sabonis has made 40.1% of his three-pointers with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 75th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis slots into the 98th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 35.9 minutes per game this year. The number of points totaled against Daniel Gafford has been very high (16.0 per game) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (90th percentile). The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Sacramento Kings.

Domantas Sabonis

Prop: 19.5 Points Scored
Projection: 20.4
Prop:
19.5 Points Scored
Projection:
20.4

Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis places in the 90th percentile for shots made while playing at home, compiling a whopping 7.7 per game this year. Domantas Sabonis has made 40.1% of his three-pointers with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 75th percentile among all players in the league. Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis slots into the 98th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 35.9 minutes per game this year. The number of points totaled against Daniel Gafford has been very high (16.0 per game) when matched up against other starting Cs this year (90th percentile). The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Sacramento Kings.

Daniel Gafford Points Scored Props • Dallas

D. Gafford
power forward PF • Dallas
Prop
11.5
Points Scored
Projection
11.4
Best Odds
Under
-105

Out of all players in the league, Daniel Gafford rates in the 5th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while playing on the road, averaging 0.0 per game this year. Daniel Gafford has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (98th percentile). The matchup vs. Domantas Sabonis is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have finished with just 0.4 three-point shots per game (10th percentile). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA when playing away from home with only 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. The faceoff with Domantas Sabonis with respect to getting to the foul line registers in the 23rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting just 2.8 foul shots per game this year.

Daniel Gafford

Prop: 11.5 Points Scored
Projection: 11.4
Prop:
11.5 Points Scored
Projection:
11.4

Out of all players in the league, Daniel Gafford rates in the 5th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc while playing on the road, averaging 0.0 per game this year. Daniel Gafford has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (98th percentile). The matchup vs. Domantas Sabonis is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have finished with just 0.4 three-point shots per game (10th percentile). Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Mavericks rank 1stworst in in the NBA when playing away from home with only 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games. The faceoff with Domantas Sabonis with respect to getting to the foul line registers in the 23rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting just 2.8 foul shots per game this year.

Kyrie Irving Points Scored Props • Dallas

K. Irving
point guard PG • Dallas
Prop
24.5
Points Scored
Projection
25
Best Odds
Over
-106

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving lands in the 98th percentile for shots hit, tallying a monstrous 9.6 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has tallied 33.3 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Mavericks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road. This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 18.1 points per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Kings, labeling this as a favorable matchup for offensive output. The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks.

Kyrie Irving

Prop: 24.5 Points Scored
Projection: 25
Prop:
24.5 Points Scored
Projection:
25

Out of all players in the NBA, Kyrie Irving lands in the 98th percentile for shots hit, tallying a monstrous 9.6 per game this year. Kyrie Irving has tallied 33.3 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA. The Mavericks check in as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road. This year, the other team's starting SGs have totaled 18.1 points per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Kings, labeling this as a favorable matchup for offensive output. The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Mavericks.

Keegan Murray Points Scored Props • Sacramento

K. Murray
small forward SF • Sacramento
Prop
15.5
Points Scored
Projection
15.5
Best Odds
Over
-122

Keegan Murray has converted 7.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the net overall this year. Keegan Murray has attempted 8.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 33.2 minutes per game this year. The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Keegan Murray

Prop: 15.5 Points Scored
Projection: 15.5
Prop:
15.5 Points Scored
Projection:
15.5

Keegan Murray has converted 7.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the net overall this year. Keegan Murray has attempted 8.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.7 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home. Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray measures in the 90th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 33.2 minutes per game this year. The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Sacramento Kings. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 6th-best in in the NBA with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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