Tampa Bay @ Texas props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Globe Life Field as the worst ballpark in the game for righty BABIP. Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest CF fences in the league. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching. Michael Lorenzen will have the handedness advantage against Yandy Diaz today. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yandy Diaz in today's matchup.

Josh Smith is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Given Aaron Civale's large platoon split, Josh Smith will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's matchup. Josh Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Josh Smith's launch angle in recent games (27.4° in the past two weeks) is a significant increase over his 16.2° seasonal figure. Josh Smith has notched a .363 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Aaron Civale will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nathaniel Lowe in today's matchup... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Civale's large platoon split. Nathaniel Lowe will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Nathaniel Lowe has displayed strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 81st percentile with a 1.86 K/BB rate.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Considering Aaron Civale's large platoon split, Corey Seager will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today's matchup. Corey Seager will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Corey Seager has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 94.5-mph in the last 14 days.

Considering Aaron Civale's large platoon split, Travis Jankowski will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today. Travis Jankowski will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Last year, Travis Jankowski had an average launch angle of 1.1° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 5.5°. By putting up a 1.69 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Travis Jankowski has displayed impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 78th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Leody Taveras's launch angle this year (13.5°) is a significant increase over his 9.9° figure last season. In the past week's worth of games, Leody Taveras's 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. This season, Jose Siri has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.7 mph compared to last year's 94 mph mark. In the past week's worth of games, Jose Siri's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.7-mph over the course of the season to 100.9-mph in recent games. Jose Siri's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, rising from 19.3% on the season to 30.8% in the past 7 days. Based on Statcast metrics, Jose Siri is in the 78th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .335.

Ben Rortvedt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's game. Ben Rortvedt will probably have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers has just 1 same-handed RP. Ben Rortvedt has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph EV. Ben Rortvedt has recorded a .272 batting average this year, ranking in the 78th percentile.

Richie Palacios will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup. Richie Palacios will probably have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP. Richie Palacios has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, placing in the 80th percentile with a 1.88 K/BB rate.

Jonah Heim will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Over the last week, Jonah Heim's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.7% up to 30%. Jonah Heim has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 96.1-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.5-mph average.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage today. Adolis Garcia has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 14.5% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last 7 days. Adolis Garcia has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph to 96.6-mph over the last 7 days.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Jonathan Ornelas will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Derek Hill's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Derek Hill will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Derek Hill has been hot in recent games, notching a a 33.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) over the last 7 days. Derek Hill has been hot in recent games, putting up a 95.9-mph average exit velocity in the last 7 days. In the past week, Derek Hill's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 44.4% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Randy Arozarena has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.8% seasonal rate to 18.5% over the last two weeks. Randy Arozarena has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.9-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 94.7-mph. Randy Arozarena's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 39% on the season to 59.3% in the last 14 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Marcus Semien ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Marcus Semien will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Marcus Semien's launch angle in recent games (21.5° in the last week) is a considerable increase over his 16.3° seasonal figure. Using Statcast metrics, Marcus Semien grades out in the 84th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .342.

Taylor Walls has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 3.1% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last 7 days. Taylor Walls has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.8-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 93.3-mph.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Michael Lorenzen today. The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Brandon Lowe has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14.6% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the last week.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Isaac Paredes's launch angle of late (28.6° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is a significant increase over his 23.3° seasonal figure. Last year, Isaac Paredes had an average launch angle of 18° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 22.9°. Isaac Paredes has put up a .366 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 89th percentile. Isaac Paredes has shown impressive plate discipline this year, placing in the 92nd percentile with a 1.54 K/BB rate.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Amed Rosario has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.