Detroit @ Cincinnati props

Great American Ball Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Gio Urshela Total Hits Props • Detroit

G. Urshela
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Gio Urshela is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. Batting from the same side that Carson Spiers throws from, Gio Urshela will have a tough matchup today. Gio Urshela will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. There has been a decrease in Gio Urshela's average exit velocity this year, from 87.5 mph last year to 85.2 mph now Gio Urshela has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.2-mph dropping to 77.7-mph in the last week.

Gio Urshela

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Gio Urshela is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year. Batting from the same side that Carson Spiers throws from, Gio Urshela will have a tough matchup today. Gio Urshela will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. There has been a decrease in Gio Urshela's average exit velocity this year, from 87.5 mph last year to 85.2 mph now Gio Urshela has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.2-mph dropping to 77.7-mph in the last week.

Matt Vierling Total Hits Props • Detroit

M. Vierling
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

Batting from the same side that Carson Spiers throws from, Matt Vierling has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matt Vierling in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Matt Vierling's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.3-mph over the course of the season to 93.7-mph in recent games. When it comes to plate discipline, Matt Vierling's talent is quite bad, sporting a 5.08 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 6th percentile.

Matt Vierling

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Batting from the same side that Carson Spiers throws from, Matt Vierling has a tough challenge in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matt Vierling in today's matchup. In the last 7 days, Matt Vierling's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.3-mph over the course of the season to 93.7-mph in recent games. When it comes to plate discipline, Matt Vierling's talent is quite bad, sporting a 5.08 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 6th percentile.

Stuart Fairchild Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

S. Fairchild
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Stuart Fairchild pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Stuart Fairchild will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Stuart Fairchild's launch angle this season (21.2°) is considerably higher than his 14.1° figure last season.

Stuart Fairchild

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Stuart Fairchild pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Stuart Fairchild will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Stuart Fairchild's launch angle this season (21.2°) is considerably higher than his 14.1° figure last season.

Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit

R. Greene
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 5th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. Riley Greene is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage against Carson Spiers today.

Riley Greene

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 5th-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. Riley Greene is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage against Carson Spiers today.

Noelvi Marte Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

N. Marte
shortstop SS • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Noelvi Marte has hit one of the hardest balls in the league over the past 7 days — 111.5-mph — which is a favorable measure of recent form and raw power.

Noelvi Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Noelvi Marte has hit one of the hardest balls in the league over the past 7 days — 111.5-mph — which is a favorable measure of recent form and raw power.

Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. India
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Jonathan India pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Jonathan India

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Jonathan India pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Wenceel Pérez Total Hits Props • Detroit

W. Pérez
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Wenceel Perez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Wenceel Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team on the slate today.

Wenceel Pérez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Wenceel Perez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Wenceel Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team on the slate today.

Mark Canha Total Hits Props • Detroit

M. Canha
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Mark Canha is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 6th-shallowest. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of the day (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

Mark Canha

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Canha in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Mark Canha is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Among all parks, Great American Ball Park's left field fences are the 6th-shallowest. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of the day (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.

Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

T. Stephenson
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

Tyler Stephenson's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Tyler Stephenson has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Tyler Stephenson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Tyler Stephenson's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Tyler Stephenson has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Elly De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

E. De La Cruz
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side against Reese Olson in today's matchup.

Elly De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Elly De La Cruz will get to bat from his strong side against Reese Olson in today's matchup.

Colt Keith Total Hits Props • Detroit

C. Keith
second base 2B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Colt Keith is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Colt Keith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carson Spiers in today's matchup.

Colt Keith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Colt Keith is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Colt Keith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carson Spiers in today's matchup.

Jake Rogers Total Hits Props • Detroit

J. Rogers
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of the day at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.6-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Jake Rogers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team on the slate today. Jake Rogers has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 93.4-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Jake Rogers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather report predicts temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of the day at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.6-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Jake Rogers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team on the slate today. Jake Rogers has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 93.4-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Will Benson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

W. Benson
center outfield CF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-104
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-104
Projection Rating

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage over Reese Olson in today's matchup. Will Benson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Will Benson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13% up to 25%.

Will Benson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Will Benson will hold the platoon advantage over Reese Olson in today's matchup. Will Benson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Will Benson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13% up to 25%.

Jake Fraley Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. Fraley
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of the day (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Reese Olson throws from, Jake Fraley will have an edge today. Jake Fraley pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Jake Fraley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of the day (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Reese Olson throws from, Jake Fraley will have an edge today. Jake Fraley pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Z. McKinstry
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-170
Projection Rating

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of the day (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage over Carson Spiers in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Zach McKinstry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of the day (80%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage over Carson Spiers in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

S. Steer
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Spencer Steer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Steer is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. Candelario
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Jeimer Candelario pulls many of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jeimer Candelario will hold that advantage today.

Jeimer Candelario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Jeimer Candelario pulls many of his flyballs (38.4% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Jeimer Candelario will hold that advantage today.

Nick Martini Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

N. Martini
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

Nick Martini has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Reese Olson throws from, Nick Martini will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Martini will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Nick Martini

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nick Martini has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Great American Ball Park profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Hitting from the opposite that Reese Olson throws from, Nick Martini will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Nick Martini will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Detroit

C. Kelly
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (93% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team on the slate today. Carson Kelly has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season's 90.3-mph EV.

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Carson Kelly has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (93% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team on the slate today. Carson Kelly has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season's 90.3-mph EV.

Ryan Kreidler Total Hits Props • Detroit

R. Kreidler
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team on the slate today.

Ryan Kreidler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The #6 stadium in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. This game is projected to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of the day (77%); there is a small but significant correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team on the slate today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast